wncsnow Posted yesterday at 08:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:30 PM Flurries in Old Fort 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted yesterday at 08:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:30 PM 1/8 S+ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted yesterday at 08:31 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:31 PM Where‘s [mention=1490]Brick Tamland[/mention] someone send him the NAM asap!I am flabbergasted. Could this legit happen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted yesterday at 08:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:34 PM Already going past a dusting here, and coming down noticeably harder. Maybe GFS and 06z NAM had this one right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYweatherguy Posted yesterday at 08:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:37 PM It's been snowing for two hours now here in south Hall County Georgia. We have more than a dusting and the radar returns look solid. Could we get a couple of inches here? Crazy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago My sis in Emory area FaceTimed me and it is coming down heaviest yet with a nice dusting! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Light snow here. It’s a cold 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 2 hours ago, GaWx said: Thanks for your insight! Based on the 12Z models, I agree 100%. And regardless, all of the models have increased qpf substantially! For our corridor, Euro is on the low side with 0.65-0.8”. 17Z HRRR is 0.85-1”. ICON and CMC are 0.9-1”. The others are 1-1.25”! The variance in 850s from model to model strongly is affecting predominant precip types (Kuchera snow except Icon): -The ICON and NAM, which have <0.7” of SN, have 850s mainly +1 to +2C favoring IP/ZR. NAM has 1-2” of IP and 0.55-0.80” of ZR as it has ~1.1-1.2” total qpf. ICON doesn’t show IP or ZR, but it would have to be quite high considering the 0.9-1” qpf! -CMC is in between with 0 to +1C 850s till going <0C late. It has ~3.5-4” of SN/IP with ~1.5-2” of IP. It has only ~0.05” of ZR. -Euro: ~+1C 850z til late when it goes <0C. But it somehow still gives 2.5-4” of snow and 3-5” of SN/IP, combined. ZR light (<0.1”). -GFS is significantly colder with 850s starting ~0C and later falling from there. With qpf up to 1-1.25”, it gives 4-6.5” snow/IP (mainly SN)! ZR is surprisingly high considering the 850s with 0.3-0.4”! That looks highly suspect. -17Z HRRR is on the high end of snow/IP (almost all snow) with 7.5-8.5”!! ZR is minimal. Qpf is high at 1.05-1.35”. 850s: start +1 to 0C but fall pretty quickly. So, lots of variance on wintry precip forms for our corridor depending on 850s with this likely historic storm! @Awesomesauce81 @gtg947h 18Z NAM is now starting to show those colder 850s. Cuts freezing rain totals in half and significantly higher snow totals across the region. Our winter storm warning is now saying up to 3 inches of snow and 0.10 of ice. Slowly trending into being potentially biggest snowstorm on record here lol. It's 44F outside rn, but I'm not concerned about that. DP is in mid 20s and we should be below at or below freezing about a couple of hours after the onset of precipitation. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago If someone just pulled up the radar and saw this with temps in the 20's across the region, he would be pretty impressed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Some of you were really giving Brick a hard time the other day when things didn’t look so great (I kept receipts) so I hope if you’re getting snow you say something nice to him. I think I saw someone say they couldn’t believe that we let Brick start the thread. Not cool. I know it can be frustrating when you want snow so desperately and you’re not getting it, but we need to be kind to each other here. I hope everyone gets a little winter wonderland today!!! 14 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Charlotte snow hole at its finest!! Looks like the Atlantic might be starting to churn up moisture around Charleston and the Lowcountry. Was this progged? Seems like the eastern Carolinas are about to get buried (like the gulf is). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ObiWanKarlNobi Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Models have come a long way, but we still got room for improvement. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sinterpol Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 5 minutes ago, snowinnc said: Some of you were really giving Brick a hard time the other day when things didn’t look so great (I kept receipts) so I hope if you’re getting snow you say something nice to him. I think I saw someone say they couldn’t believe that we let Brick start the thread. Not cool. I know it can be frustrating when you want snow so desperately and you’re not getting it, but we need to be kind to each other here. I hope everyone gets a little winter wonderland today!!! This. Attaboy @Brick Tamland 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Some of you were really giving Brick a hard time the other day when things didn’t look so great (I kept receipts) so I hope if you’re getting snow you say something nice to him. I think I saw someone say they couldn’t believe that we let Brick start the thread. Not cool. I know it can be frustrating when you want snow so desperately and you’re not getting it, but we need to be kind to each other here. I hope everyone gets a little winter wonderland today!!!I agree. I don’t know the back story with Brick but he has always been given a hard time, even in 2010 when I joined the boards. Cannot figure out why but I assume it’s all in fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 49 minutes ago, wake4est said: Oh my lord the NAM just did that. 2 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 10 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Models have come a long way, but we still got room for improvement. RAP has improved, too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasleyWXNovice Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago flurries in dn town Greenville, SC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago What's really ironic is that a lot of models said we would get .2 to .4 and that will be exactly correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 36 minutes ago, GaWx said: My sis in Emory area FaceTimed me and it is coming down heaviest yet with a nice dusting! That's where I am. It was heavy for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Are we seeing… positive trends… into go time… with temps in mid 20s and no mix issues…. ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Any chance the NWS issues a Blizzard Warning for FL? They’re one of the few states that’s never had one. Louisiana got their first one earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Ok Brick, I don’t think you’re very far from me, so you need to do something to raise our dewpoint and saturate the heck out of the skies. You brought it for a lot of people, so bring it on home to us in Northern Wake County. I believe in you! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: What's really ironic is that a lot of models said we would get .2 to .4 and that will be exactly correct. Ratios seem to be closer to 10:1 so I think the official airport measurement will be 0.7 or something near that which is what the Euro 10:1 maps showed when I had the major airports on them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 29 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Models have come a long way, but we still got room for improvement. The Triad just gasped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Happy for the board! For the Triad, maybe a few flakes but honestly I'm not feeling this one at all. Radar trajectory still favors the Triangle and east and the NAM isnt Namming for us here. I honestly dont need a nuisance snow anyway. All or nothing please. Wow these pics out of LA and FL are nuts!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: The Triad just gasped Virga is going to chew that up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYweatherguy Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Schools are annoucing closures for tomorrow here in the ATL metro. It has been snowing here in south Hall County since 2pm and we have about a half inch on the grass. This storm definitely overperformed in the north metro Atlanta area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Just now, kvegas-wx said: Virga is going to chew that up Absolutely!! It’s been over us here in rockingham all afternoon and the atmosphere is just soaking it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago The HRRRRRRRRR doesn't seem impressed with the NAM and RAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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