purduewx80 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 NWS Atlanta will do an 18Z sounding. Most of the 12Z models appear to have initialized too moist at 850mb, and it still appears to be a struggle to saturate looking at the higher scans from BMX and FFC radars. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 RAH making tweaks to warnings. We’ll see if advisories expand westward 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 As a pilot ive seen some pretty crazy stuff with regards to snowfall and coverage. From higher altitudes its hard to fathom how the line can be extremely abrupt. Like someone painted the earth with a brush. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:48 PM, DeltaPilot said: As a pilot ive seen some pretty crazy stuff with regards to snowfall and coverage. From higher altitudes its hard to fathom how the line can be extremely abrupt. Like someone painted the earth with a brush. Expand If someone had a picture... We would all be really thankful..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:47 PM, NorthHillsWx said: RAH making tweaks to warnings. We’ll see if advisories expand westward Expand the afd this morning said that us-1 east should monitor for likely forecast changes and upgraded watches/warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHCWEATHER Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 3:17 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Really think the triangle is in a great spot to break the 1” snow drought Expand Snowball fight in North Hills tonight? I'm near Honey Baked Ham off Six Forks... 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:52 PM, MHCWEATHER said: Snowball fight in North Hills tonight? I'm near Honey Baked Ham off Six Forks... Expand I'm right by Duke Raleigh, count me in 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:43 PM, Silver Meteor said: How the heck can New Bern get 8" with Greenville up the road only 2"? I can't imagine a gradient like that here on the coastal plain for such a short distance but of course anything's possible. When's the last time you got 8" down there? Expand See 1989 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 RAP is lookin Mighty Fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 MSY 211700 METAR 211653Z 01015G24KT 1/8SM PSN FZFG VV007 M03/M03 A3055 RMK AO2 PK WND 36026/1636 SLP349 SNINCR 2/3 P0004 T10281033 RVRNO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:52 PM, MHCWEATHER said: Snowball fight in North Hills tonight? I'm near Honey Baked Ham off Six Forks... Expand On 1/21/2025 at 4:54 PM, KrummWx said: I'm right by Duke Raleigh, count me in Expand I’m super close to both. I am off six forks/millbrook behind the food lion 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 One good thing about the storm already is my son's basketball team that I coach had their game canceled for tonight, and we were probably going to be without our best player. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHCWEATHER Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:55 PM, StantonParkHoya said: See 1989 Expand I’m from MHC and almost got stranded at my friends. Good thing his dad had a Bronco or I’d been celebrating Christmas at the wrong address. 18” of concrete was sweet! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHCWEATHER Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:58 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I’m super close to both. I am off six forks/millbrook behind the food lion Expand Well shoot, I’m on Windel. Maybe I can hit you w/out leaving my driveway 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 WRAL just upped totals at noon 2-3 in Raleigh and 1-2 NW 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:58 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I’m super close to both. I am off six forks/millbrook behind the food lion Expand I'm off St. Mary's near Glenwood Ave. Hopefully the precip line doesn't set up between our group. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:45 PM, purduewx80 said: NWS Atlanta will do an 18Z sounding. Most of the 12Z models appear to have initialized too moist at 850mb, and it still appears to be a struggle to saturate looking at the higher scans from BMX and FFC radars. Expand To elaborate... 288 FXUS62 KFFC 211620 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1120 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025 .UPDATE... Issued at 1107 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025 This morning the main question has been where will the dry air win out. We are doing an 18z sounding to get a better picture of this line and will have more of an update as that comes in. Currently there is a deep layer of dry air at 850mb but our dendritic growth zone is almost saturated at this point. We have been receiving reports of flurries despite this and are seeing a potential moisture surge coming in from Alabama. This along with the 12z models coming in gives us a little more confidence that the 850mb layer will moisten up but we will know more with this sounding. Have just slightly upped snowfall totals to account for this trend but only by a couple tenths of an inch. Will keep an eye on that though. && 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Can see its snowing out over the Gulf right now on this camera https://hiltonpensacolabeach.com/beach-cam/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 5:02 PM, Brick Tamland said: Expand Is that assuming 10:1 ratios only? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 My guess is that RAH will extend WSWs west to US-1 in the early afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 5:08 PM, CaryWx said: Is that assuming 10:1 ratios only? Expand No, that's the Kuchera. It's showing more than the 10:1 ratio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Nice thing about the storm for me, was all schools and Govt offices closed. Made my trip to airport earlier to pick my in-laws up a breeze. Roads were dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:58 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I’m super close to both. I am off six forks/millbrook behind the food lion I work at Millbrook HS but live in Knightdale so I might see more snow than you. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 5:11 PM, Stebaney said: I work at Millbrook HS but live in Knightdale so I might see more snow than you. . Expand Well, pretty sure you won't see school tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Been under "snow" according to the radar for a couple hours now. Hopefully it eventually saturates enough for flakes. You definitely can see a sharp cut off with I20 and north of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 The “snow hole” on ATL radar is starting to shrink, implying we are seeing a more Rapid moistening of the atmosphere and getting closer to them seeing flakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Still very dry air over central and west NC. Hope it fills in within 3-4 hours. Alot of virga going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Montgomery, AL, had light snow just start. It is increasing in Hattiesburg, MS, and continues heavy in McComb and N.O. At Mobile it started 3 hours ago. Pensacola NAS just stated getting flurries at 11AM EST with 28 and DP of 20. An hour earlier it was 32/8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 5:08 PM, wake4est said: My guess is that RAH will extend WSWs west to US-1 in the early afternoon. Expand They have PTSD from getting burned by past storms for being bullish. They wont pull the trigger until the last minute 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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