neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 3:52 PM, GaWx said: 1.5 hours ago it was looking like ATL could have snow before noon. And now you two both think it probably won’t snow at all? Expand I still think it will snow, I was just saying what TWC said. @SnowGoose69 what are your thoughts on ATL? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:02 PM, neatlburbwthrguy said: I still think it will snow, I was just saying what TWC said. @SnowGoose69 what are your thoughts on ATL? Expand I really doubt much happens N of I-20. I think from there to the airport could see a half inch and definitely the towns S of ATL could see 1-1.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:03 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I really doubt much happens N of I-20. I think from there to the airport could see a half inch and definitely the towns S of ATL could see 1-1.5 Expand Do you have a good feel for about when S of I-20 would likely get their up to 1/2”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 We keep getting little bouts of flurries here. Very light and usually lasts about 5-10 minutes. Happening since about 930 or so this am. Its trying, but the column is still too dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:05 PM, GaWx said: Do you have a good feel for about when S of I-20 would likely get their up to 1/2”? Expand I'd say 2-6pm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Looking at super-res reflectivity - the first thing you want to see if you are in ATL is the virga create a giant circle around the radar site (which is happening now). Next you will see that shield slowly enclose on itself as the column moistens. Likely still a few hours away from getting closer to that - the question then becomes how far north the band sets up once returns equal ground truth. Still think half an inch could be possible for inside the perimeter 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:02 PM, Brick Tamland said: Latest RAP Expand That’s a big uptick here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:08 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I'd say 2-6pm Expand Thanks. Fwiw, Greenville, AL, which is S of Montgomery, has snow that started a little while ago. Only official station N of Mobile area with snow. But that’s still pretty far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 New Bern looking golden 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Latest HRRR model has Pensacola at 9 inches. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 HRRR at 18. Still snowing at the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 3:51 PM, QC_Halo said: Been in this exact spot in NOLA many times….but not like this! https://www.earthcam.com/usa/louisiana/neworleans/bourbonstreet/?cam=bourbonstreet Expand beautiful! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Here’s a ground report from Lafayette from my family: 6-8” already. Just had thundersnow! Cannot see houses across the street. 2 foot drifts around house. Pics look like full on blizzard. Wish I could post them. They have a lot of snow to come. Might crack 10” 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:08 PM, Alfoman said: Looking at super-res reflectivity - the first thing you want to see if you are in ATL is the virga create a giant circle around the radar site (which is happening now). Next you will see that shield slowly enclose on itself as the column moistens. Likely still a few hours away from getting closer to that - the question then becomes how far north the band sets up once returns equal ground truth. Still think half an inch could be possible for inside the perimeter Expand My only concern would be...once the atmosphere gets saturated....will the precip already moved south and east. That goes for my neck of the woods in the Upstate of SC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:25 PM, StantonParkHoya said: New Bern looking golden Expand I sure hope so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:29 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Here’s a ground report from Lafayette from my family: 6-8” already. Just had thundersnow! Cannot see houses across the street. 2 foot drifts around house. Pics look like full on blizzard. Wish I could post them. They have a lot of snow to come. Might crack 10” Expand Wild. The radar is amazing for NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHCWEATHER Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 God, I wish I didn't have so much work and would drive to my roots in Carteret County. They are gonna get pasted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:32 PM, wncsnow said: Wild. The radar is amazing for NO. Expand Yep. It’s a firehose into NO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:34 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Yep. It’s a firehose into NO Expand New Orleans is getting crushed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:35 PM, USCG RS said: New Orleans is getting crushed. Expand Hope that will translate further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:35 PM, USCG RS said: New Orleans is getting crushed. Expand https://youtu.be/A1UD36ucfkc 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:35 PM, USCG RS said: New Orleans is getting crushed. Expand And here we can barely get a dusting in three years. Makes no sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:38 PM, lilj4425 said: And here we can barely get a dusting in three years. Makes no sense. Expand Weather is a fickle mistress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:14 PM, NorthHillsWx said: That’s a big uptick here. That shield’s going to end up a bit NW of that I bet. Like it virtually always does:. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:37 PM, Brick Tamland said: Hope that will translate further north. Expand You appear to be right on the cusp. Given the pattern and movement, I would not be surprised if you get a moderate hit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 RAH just put Cumberland and Sampson County under a WS Warning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 3:48 PM, yotaman said: 8" for my area. I'll take it. Expand How the heck can New Bern get 8" with Greenville up the road only 2"? I can't imagine a gradient like that here on the coastal plain for such a short distance but of course anything's possible. When's the last time you got 8" down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 McComb, MS, in far S MS just N of LA border 100 miles NNW of N.O. started snowing at 9AM EST and went to heavy snow (1/4 mile vis) at 11AM! Comparing that to latest models: HRRR, Euro, NAM 3km, and Icon significantly too light while CMC and GFS closer to reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 4:43 PM, Silver Meteor said: How the heck can New Bern get 8" with Greenville up the road only 2"? I can't imagine a gradient like that here on the coastal plain for such a short distance but of course anything's possible. When's the last time you got 8" down there? Expand Not with this storm. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHCWEATHER Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 2:46 PM, NorthHillsWx said: I think Wake county gets 1-2” tonight. Triad will be tricky with the edge but I think you go from no accumulation to 1” pretty quick then you have a large area of 1-2” before the coastal plain increase Expand 1-2" will be solid. And nearly every flake will stick. Gonna be like Feb 25th, 2015 storm but w/ a later start. Cars were stranded all over the Triangle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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