GaWx Posted yesterday at 04:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:34 AM 8 minutes ago, metalicwx367 said: 33 and sleet rn lol. Started a good 18 hours early. The sleet is consistent with the modeled 850s of +1 as of now at AYS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 05:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:25 AM Closer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 05:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:25 AM 0Z Euro NW shift vs 18Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted yesterday at 05:27 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:27 AM 1 minute ago, GaWx said: 0Z Euro NW shift vs 18Z And more overall moisture 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 05:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:30 AM Just now, Thrasher Fan said: And more overall moisture Indeed, here’s 0Z Euro qpf: Here’s Kuchera: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 05:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:34 AM 0Z Euro sleet 0Z ZR: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted yesterday at 05:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:43 AM 7 minutes ago, GaWx said: 0Z Euro sleet 0Z ZR: Right on our doorstep and such a disparity of model results still. General trends start to agree, but extents not so much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted yesterday at 05:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:46 AM Looks like Jacksonville will be on the edge of the wintry precip. I would issue a WSW if I were the NWS just to be safe, after all Gainesville is under one… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted yesterday at 05:51 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:51 AM Would it be 15:1 ratios or 10:1 ratios in the Charleston area for snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 06:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:00 AM 1 hour ago, metalicwx367 said: 33 and sleet rn lol. Started a good 18 hours early. We just got some snow pellets over the last 5 minutes since ~12:50AM! This came from the streak of wintry that gave you sleet earlier. First frozen precip here in 7 years. Here they were shaped like sleet but were softer and white. They made sleet like noises when landing. Temp 35.4F. Our modeled 850s are a bit colder, near -1C. Interesting that that light precip made it to the ground. Our dewpoint isn’t overly low, low to mid 20s. I’m easily excited! 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted yesterday at 06:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:01 AM Can someone post snow totals using the The GRAF weather model for South Carolina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted yesterday at 06:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:08 AM 8 minutes ago, GaWx said: We just got some snow pellets over the last 5 minutes since ~12:50AM! First frozen precip here in 7 years. These were shaped like sleet but were softer and white. Temp 35.4F. Our modeled 850s are a bit colder, near -1C. I’m easily excited! Sounds like snow pellets or graupel, aka sleet that was coated with rime crystals. Congrats on the frozen precip! You’ve now outdone both Seattle and Portland for the winter. (Very sad achievement for the Pacific Northwest, one of only two or three truly snowless winters I have experienced here). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted yesterday at 06:09 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:09 AM 9 minutes ago, GaWx said: We just got some snow pellets over the last 5 minutes since ~12:50AM! First frozen precip here in 7 years. These were shaped like sleet but were softer and white. Temp 35.4F. Our modeled 850s are a bit colder, near -1C. I’m easily excited! That's awesome my friend. Happy for you. Enjoy it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago The HRRR has shown a significant NW trend since the 18z run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago The NW trend continues on the NAM as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shenanagins1091 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Sleet in Gulf Shores. Can't believe this is going to happen still lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 18 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: I will be shocked if I get an inch of snow here in Greenville but the models are definitely trending wetter/more northwest and this is in the NAM’s wheelhouse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 34 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: That must be the 12km NAM. Here’s the 3km NAM, which has ~no snow in ATL vs 3.2” on the 12km: Check out the reason: N end of qpf on 3km NAM is quite a bit south on 12km NAM: 6Z NAM 3km qpf: ATL none 6Z NAM 12km qpf: ATL gets 0.35! Why? Isn’t the 3km more accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 4am et 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Raleigh folks must be asleep. Y'all gonna get sticking snow later this evening. Check out the NAM 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Seeing a blizzard warning on the gulf coast is blowing my mind 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Coastal peeps need to be worried about too much of a NW trend. Remember what happened last week? Threading a needle between snow or slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 34 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Raleigh folks must be asleep. Y'all gonna get sticking snow later this evening. Check out the NAM Interesting seeing forecasts calling for virtually nothing in Raleigh to a flurry even after the trends, to .5, to 2in or more. All over the place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Regan said: Interesting seeing forecasts calling for virtually nothing in Raleigh to a flurry even after the trends, to .5, to 2in or more. All over the place. Everyone sticking to their original forecast at the moment. I do think that changes in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago A raging virga storm over the ATL area. None of this is hitting the ground. And where is everyone???? Possible historic event, and everyone is sleeping?? Wake up!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 28 minutes ago, ST21 said: Seeing a blizzard warning on the gulf coast is blowing my mind Wow I saw that today incredible. And apparently Charlotte is expecting snow i had already thrown my towel in Sunday morning lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago WWA now up to Mecklenburg County and the Lake Norman area, I expect them to be extended even more after 12z guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago I'm a bit concerned about the evening commute in the triad wouldn't take much moisture to cause problems. Wouldn't be surprised to see WWAs issued up to Guilford county sometime this morning. News 2 is not really buying into any snow for Guilford county, guess we'll see! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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