Seminole Posted Monday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:57 PM 20 minutes ago, Justicebork said: Question: Wouldn't this current trend open up the flow of moisture from the GOM vs suppressing it with a flatter front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:57 PM 35 minutes ago, accountingdawg2012 said: As someone who lives in Albany it’s gonna be disastrous if we get 3 inches of snow. Place will probably be shut down for 3-4 days with the temps re-freezing every evening. 3” would be near Albany alltime record! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Monday at 10:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:00 PM 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: MAYBE we gave up just a little early…. DON'T GET SUCKED BACK IN!! They're just toying with us. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:01 PM Just now, cbmclean said: DON'T GET SUCKED BACK IN!! They're just toying with us. Honestly I may log off again bc since I left pretty much everything trended this direction 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted Monday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:02 PM Same here! We were forecast to be a high of 32 but we are currently knocking on 40!It’s that much of a delta from here to there? We didn’t get past 31 here in Elon…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Monday at 10:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:05 PM 17 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS gonna push the precip way NW from previous runs I believe To the Triad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted Monday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:06 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 10:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:07 PM If that NS continues to dig to the SW, that's a IF... then it will continue to blossom more moisture to the NW 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted Monday at 10:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:12 PM . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 PM GFS gets 0.05-0.10” all the way to the NW triad this run. Keep in mind 0.15” probably gets you an inch in these temps. Really not a huge adjustment needed to get impactful snows across the piedmont if these trends continue 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Monday at 10:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:14 PM lol it snows in Boone this run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 10:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:15 PM This is beautiful textbook split flow (from 18Z GFS), the pattern that has given the SE some of its biggest winter storms: N stream has WNW H5 flow to our north in the OH valley bringing the Siberian cold while moist WSW H5 flow is over us and to our south bringing plentiful moisture over the low level cold: 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 10:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:16 PM 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: lol it snows in Boone this run I love the GFS so very much. The definition of consistency 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:17 PM How far NW can that moisture get? This is intriguing! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Monday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:17 PM 10 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: Don’t do this to me. I had given up and cliff dived. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted Monday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:17 PM This is beautiful textbook split flow (from 18Z GFS), the pattern that has given the SE some of its biggest winter storms: N stream has WNW H5 flow to our north in the OH valley bringing the Siberian cold while moist WSW H5 flow is over us and to our south bringing plentiful moisture over the low level cold: Just need the L to dig deep enough that it can bomb a bit and fire up the precip shield. Long shot, but not *fully* dead.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Monday at 10:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:18 PM @NorthHillsWxplease log off... lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted Monday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:19 PM 4 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: lol it snows in Boone this run If I fart, it snows in boone 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:20 PM The gulf moisture looks like its pushing up on the shortwave more than modeled… fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted Monday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:29 PM I love the shifts, but I keep having to remind myself about the dry air… it’s the buzzkill right now. Still better changes inland at seeing “something”. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted Monday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:45 PM I love the shifts, but I keep having to remind myself about the dry air… it’s the buzzkill right now. Still better changes inland at seeing “something”. It needs to dig deeper and juice significantly to get it done. Long shot…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Monday at 10:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:49 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Monday at 10:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:50 PM . 3 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Monday at 10:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:53 PM .OH MY GAWD ITS THE UNDERTAKER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Monday at 10:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:57 PM 39 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Don’t do this to me. I had given up and cliff dived. Throw out your parachute! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted Monday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:58 PM 36 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: If I fart, it snows in boone Eat some beans and spread your magic, lol. 27.6 now. Not a bad drop with the sun out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waronxmas Posted Monday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:58 PM 50 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: If this verifies, expect ATL to be an absolute mess tomorrow morning. Everyone is under the impression that this storm is going to be a nothing burger in the city and impact middle GA more. Now where have I heard that before… Good thing I work remote now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted Monday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:03 PM 3 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Throw out your parachute! 42 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Don’t do this to me. I had given up and cliff dived. I am pretty good at SAR (Search and Rescue)... 1 minute ago, waronxmas said: If this verifies, expect ATL to be an absolute mess tomorrow morning. Everyone is under the impression that this storm is going to be a nothing burger in the city and impact middle GA more. Now where have I heard that before… Good thing I work remote now. This has to really dig, to provide a good hard hit for C GA North and into the Upstate of SC and W NC. That withstanding, it will be a good idea to watch the latent heat release of the storms in the Gulf overnight and into tomorrow morning. This will give a good idea of if this storm is really digging or not. Kind of like the JAX Rule for the Northeastern United States. If the storms are really firing, the latent heat release will help to pump the heights further NW and I would then expect that areas N and W of S GA and E NC and SC to be in the game. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted Monday at 11:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:12 PM Bet nobody had the words "blizzard conditions" on their bingo card for Mobile, Alabama. From NWS Mobile. sub-1020mb surface low in the Gulf which will promote strong windsand wind gusts, particularly nearer the coast. While we aren`t anticipating true blizzard conditions (criteria defined as frequent gusts in excess of 35mph, visibility below a quarter mile, and blowing snow all for 3 consecutive hours), we can`t rule out temporary near blizzard conditions along the coast where at least moderate snowfall and frequent gusts to 30mph can be expected reducing visibility below a half mile at times 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted Monday at 11:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:15 PM This board is crazy, but I love it! Did us RDU folks give up too early or should we go back to getting ready for the spring? I’m lost and don’t know what to do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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