Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 01:39 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 01:39 AM Just now, franklin NCwx said: Wrong! What exactly is wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted Monday at 01:39 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:39 AM Wrong!If only we were all as smart as you! . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted Monday at 01:49 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:49 AM Is the HRRR ever wrong by 100 miles bc the snow looks to only make it up to about Macon, doesn't get to ATL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Monday at 02:07 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:07 AM I’ll always remember when Duplin County was supposed to get 24 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fig Posted Monday at 02:07 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:07 AM Just now, StantonParkHoya said: I’ll always remember when Duplin County was supposed to get 24 inches Now instead we are hoping for 2-4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted Monday at 02:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:09 AM Wow, we have gone from 5-8 down to less than 1" in New Bern. Highs and lows have moderate too. Hope it changes tomorrow. Not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 02:10 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:10 AM New Orleans gets clobbered on HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Monday at 02:12 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:12 AM 32 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said: If only we were all as smart as you! . You have been on this board for 15 years. It's not about being smart. You could take some time to learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Monday at 02:13 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:13 AM 33 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: What exactly is wrong? Upper levels drive the pattern brick. Not temps or surface highs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted Monday at 02:26 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted Monday at 02:28 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:28 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 02:37 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 02:37 AM 9 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said: Um, what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 02:52 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:52 AM lol the NAM doesn’t even drop any precip in Charleston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Monday at 02:53 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:53 AM I’ve never seen anything like this with the models. I mean it’s preposterous. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 02:54 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:54 AM Just now, StantonParkHoya said: I’ve never seen anything like this with the models. I mean it’s preposterous. Compare the FV3 to the NAM. It’s freaking comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted Monday at 03:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:00 AM 1 hour ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Is the HRRR ever wrong by 100 miles bc the snow looks to only make it up to about Macon, doesn't get to ATL? Looks like the snow line is going to taper off right around ATL proper. I think north of that its a dusting to non accumulating flakes. South of the airport Looks like we have a chance at some accumulations right now, but its gonna be close. As I said earlier, Ill be happy with half an inch of white stuff, but hoping for 1". Still some time, and predicting where the "line" is right now, and even during the event, is pretty much impossible. I do think we will see widespread snow, but real accumulations will be south of KATL and where Im at in Senoia and more into Central and Southern GA. Earlier everything was trending south and Im still worried we just get some flakes here and no real accumulation, but most of the ensembles and the better models have held on to us south of ATL getting "something" accumulating. Fingers crossed. I think it only needs to be off by 30 miles or so for real differences to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 03:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:00 AM Reggie out to 36... slight tick SE over LA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 03:01 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 03:01 AM Well, this is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted Monday at 03:01 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:01 AM Compare the FV3 to the NAM. It’s freaking comical Just looking at that. It held serve from its previous thinking. NAM is much drier on the NW side.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted Monday at 03:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:02 AM FV3 lower levels are too dry. Does not amount to much, unfortunately. We can put a fork in this one, it appears. Ugh. Tracking the 10th system and now this for 15 minutes of flakes and cloudy skies Tuesday just hurts more because of the sustained cold pattern. This is a kick to the nuts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted Monday at 03:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:02 AM all time flame out..atleast you all got to see it crash and burn the day before so can cry away the sadness. i remember 8 inch storms that turned out to be a dusting to cold rain the day of! that's what radicalized me. lol ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neverSnowsLCSC Posted Monday at 03:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:09 AM I swear I'm moving to Alberta if CHS gets blanked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Monday at 03:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:09 AM We need a hurricane in Winter. That’s the only way we will get snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 03:14 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 03:14 AM 4 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: We need a hurricane in Winter. That’s the only way we will get snow. Probably have a better chance at getting a hurricane now than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Monday at 03:20 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:20 AM 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Probably have a better chance at getting a hurricane now than snow. It’s just crazy isn’t it? Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes... The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 03:29 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:29 AM 0Z ICON continues the general trend of this model moistening up in NW FL as well as in the GA/SC coastal areas: 0Z Icon qpf 0Z Icon 10:1 snow Icon snow from 24 hours ago: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Monday at 03:34 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:34 AM 1 minute ago, GaWx said: 0Z ICON continues the general trend of this model moistening up in NW FL as well as in the GA/SC coastal areas: 0Z Icon qpf 0Z Icon 10:1 snow Icon snow from 24 hours ago: Only need about 400 hundred more model cycles of this NW trend and Central NC will be back in the game!! Icon and FV3 starting an unstoppable trend going from .001 qpf to .01 qpf. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neverSnowsLCSC Posted Monday at 03:37 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:37 AM 6 minutes ago, GaWx said: 0Z ICON continues the general trend of this model moistening up in NW FL as well as in the GA/SC coastal areas: 0Z Icon qpf 0Z Icon 10:1 snow Icon snow from 24 hours ago: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 03:44 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:44 AM 8 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Only need about 400 hundred more model cycles of this NW trend and Central NC will be back in the game!! Icon and FV3 starting an unstoppable trend going from .001 qpf to .01 qpf. Central NC is and has been cooked for a couple days now unless your hope is Pity flakes or a dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 03:46 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 03:46 AM Maybe one day the models can be wrong again like they were in January 2000 and 12 hours out we'll find out the precip is going to be much farther north and everyone gets a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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