Uncle Nasty Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 hours ago, Cheeznado said: SREF probabilities shifted significantly south. I think I might be lucky to see any snow at all. A small surprise can happen. At this point, give me 1" of snow to make the roads white and icy, and I'll be happy. I don't want automobile accidents, of course, just a mini version of Atlanta Snowmageddon. I hope you score a decent event. Still time to ignore models and let Mother Nature do her thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Are there any reliable models that still show any snow in ATL? If not I will drive south to Macon or may need to go further south to Tifton or Albany? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Are there any reliable models that still show any snow in ATL? If not I will drive south to Macon or may need to go further south to Tifton or Albany? Chances are dwindling. Maybe 40 or 50 miles south of ATL could pick up an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Are there any reliable models that still show any snow in ATL? If not I will drive south to Macon or may need to go further south to Tifton or Albany? The Euro has consistently shown the warm advection band reaching them. Otherwise just the high res GFS did today. RGEM was close but just south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Both euro and eps shifted NW. I’m surprised folks here have given up unless I’m the only one in southeast wake or east of that. Still going to be some pretty snow falling and might surprise some folks. . 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bankdawg Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Are there any reliable models that still show any snow in ATL? If not I will drive south to Macon or may need to go further south to Tifton or Albany? im hoping for an inch in Cordele Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 hours ago, PackGrad05 said: Both euro and eps shifted NW. I’m surprised folks here have given up unless I’m the only one in southeast wake or east of that. Still going to be some pretty snow falling and might surprise some folks. . Whatever does fall will stick, at least on grassy areas. If at night, then it sticks everywhere. The sun does here is quite something. Last week is was 28/29 with ZR and the blacktop was still wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 If it was a situation where we were on the rain/snow line and if it shifted 50 miles west we’d be screwed, I promise we’d be effed. But of course it won’t work when we need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fig Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Both euro and eps shifted NW. I’m surprised folks here have given up unless I’m the only one in southeast wake or east of that. Still going to be some pretty snow falling and might surprise some folks. . Still holding out hope for a few inches down in Wilmington. Rarely do we not have temp issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Both euro and eps shifted NW. I’m surprised folks here have given up unless I’m the only one in southeast wake or east of that. Still going to be some pretty snow falling and might surprise some folks. .Yall deserve something because that is the screw zone for sure. I’m 4 miles NE of airport therefore I’m in trouble this time.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 19 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro has consistently shown the warm advection band reaching them. Otherwise just the high res GFS did today. RGEM was close but just south when does the next hrrr come out? I need that to have ATL in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Both euro and eps shifted NW. I’m surprised folks here have given up unless I’m the only one in southeast wake or east of that. Still going to be some pretty snow falling and might surprise some folks. . Can you post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18 minutes ago, bankdawg said: im hoping for an inch in Cordele I think that you are in a great spot. Cordele I could see getting 2-3 inches possibly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 The other thing that’s annoying about this is it isn’t even crazy cold anymore. Mid 20s and lower teens been replaced with 30s and mid to upper teens. As in almost the same as our last cold blast. Like if you’re going to suppress our storm to Florida at least give us something interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18Z Euro: still going for at least a once in a generation storm in much of deep SE/Gulf coast! Looks to be a pretty quick mover. I’m fading these amounts as of now in deference to some of the drier other models. Kuchera snow: Sleet: ZR: qpf: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 26 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Can you post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, gamecockinupstateSC said: never doubt the NW trend... watch it come back into warnings for central SC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bankdawg Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 10 minutes ago, GaWx said: 18Z Euro: still going for at least a once in a generation storm in much of deep SE/Gulf coast! Looks to be a pretty quick mover. I’m fading these amounts as of now in deference to some of the drier other models. Kuchera snow: Sleet: ZR: qpf: 4" in Albany would have to be a record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Jacksonville NC is my call 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Jacksonville NC is my call I like this call I'm located in Jacksonville haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 35 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The other thing that’s annoying about this is it isn’t even crazy cold anymore. Mid 20s and lower teens been replaced with 30s and mid to upper teens. As in almost the same as our last cold blast. Like if you’re going to suppress our storm to Florida at least give us something interesting I thought the extreme cold was the reason it would be so suppressed, too. So why is it still being so suppressed if we aren't even going to get the extreme cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: I thought the extreme cold was the reason it would be so suppressed, too. So why is it still being so suppressed if we aren't even going to get the extreme cold? thickness of the HP... reason it isnt as cold is because of the fact Hudson Bay is not completely iced over so it had a chance to moderate a bit but the thickness is still there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 The suppression is not the only reason. The storm is less amped and stayed too positive tilt to really ramp up and move north. The path is there if it strengthens . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Seems a decent Low but the track isn't useful for us: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: thickness of the HP... reason it isnt as cold is because of the fact Hudson Bay is not completely iced over so it had a chance to moderate a bit but the thickness is still there That and it’s not just suppression. It’s just a flat wave. It has no chance to go up the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Going down to 16 tonight, 18 tomorrow night and 13 Tuesday night. I don't know what people are talking about it not being cold. Maybe the coast is gonna be warmer than modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 9 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: I thought the extreme cold was the reason it would be so suppressed, too. So why is it still being so suppressed if we aren't even going to get the extreme cold? Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, suzook said: Going down to 16 tonight, 18 tomorrow night and 13 Tuesday night. I don't know what people are talking about it not being cold. Maybe the coast is gonna be warmer than modeled? It’s very cold but not extreme. Tuesday has moved from a high of 26 to 32 here and lowest temp is 16 which is about 1 degree colder than lowest we got last cold snap Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 10 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: The suppression is not the only reason. The storm is less amped and stayed too positive tilt to really ramp up and move north. The path is there if it strengthens . Not in the upper levels. Stop looking at the surface maps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: I thought the extreme cold was the reason it would be so suppressed, too. So why is it still being so suppressed if we aren't even going to get the extreme cold? Wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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