GaWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Areas in SE GA/S SC that were ZR on 0Z CMC have sleet on 12Z CMC due to further SE track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 There is a pretty good consensus, currently, with regard to forecast track progression of the low and corresponding area of heaviest snow shield…as can be seen below. Still ample time to change, obviously. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 That GDPS had the classic signal of an NE NC snowstorm, elizabeth city version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Both GFS and Canadian seem to jump the low pressure from the Gulf to the Atlantic, the moisture seems to be getting strung out across the frontal boundary instead of being able to consolidate and lift. The moisture seems like it is following on a railroad track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 CMC is further south but it still gives most of everyone a little snow love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Snow line further S on 12Z CMC: better run for deep SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 cmc showing 6.7 right over my house here in the Florida panhandle. Not sure how we are going to handle that here. Whether its all snow, or mixed with sleet or slush. I'd love a couple inches...but that's just too much for Florida...period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 3:40 PM, SnowDawg said: I'm just hoping for a decent finger of precip to deliver an inch or two of high ratio powder up this way. I'm fine with missing the bulk of this one for those that rarely have the chance to score one. Expand Feels like this storm is giving us the finger. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I'm rooting for the entire state of South Carolina to be snow covered in the same day. Something that has NEVER happened. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 12Z GEFS vs 6Z/0Z: further SE/weaker GOM low, drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:34 PM, Tony Sisk said: I'm rooting for the entire state of South Carolina to be snow covered in the same day. Something that has NEVER happened. Expand What about Feb 12 or 13 of 1899? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The GEFS looks awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Frankly, hard to ignore at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 This may be called SuppressedSaturday if the Euro and EPS go towards the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 GEFS has been remarkably consistent with 1" probabilities for central NC. Approximately 10-20% chance over the last three runs. You knew the models would suppress today after all the talk on TV about northwest trends. That's why Brad P was so hesitant to bite on it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:36 PM, GaWx said: What about Feb 12 or 13 of 1899? Expand according to Google, it has never happened. But that one is a great historic event to read up on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:38 PM, BornAgain13 said: This may be called SuppressedSaturday if the Euro and EPS go towards the GFS. Expand Suppression will cause depression 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 What are people’s thoughts on snow chances for New Orleans? Seems like they might be on the edge of the snow/freezing rain line but will probably at least get some snow, with a chance it’ll be one of their biggest snowfalls in history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU_Pi Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:43 PM, sarcean said: Expand This is a weird Lost reboot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The thread was started and this thing evaporated. GEFS looks awful for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 GFS looks like it tries to phase more with a wave near CA and stays flatter... Euro misses the phase and does more a Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 It’s like this forum has a bad Muzak cover of Mickey Gilley’s Here Comes the Hurt Again, playing in the background since the last run. Bummer vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Since 0z it’s been nonstop bummer vibes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Ummm. Not sure where the NBM gets it's information. But the latest is significantly higher than 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:54 PM, BornAgain13 said: Ummm. Not sure where the NBM gets it's information. But the latest is significantly higher than 12z. Expand I'm not exactly sure, but I think that's the average of the 6z suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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