Discussion-OBS (if any) for Tuesday afternoon-night (Jan 21-early 22) northwest fringe snowfall from the departing southeast USA winter storm.

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

Long Island in the Bahamas has a higher chance of snow than Long Island, NY lol

My worst vacation was in the Bahamas in early spring.  A cold front brought temps down so low, you couldn't even go in the pools.  

[Roger Smith]

This Atlantic low will go on to cause damaging winds (70-110 knots) in Ireland on Friday. ... model consensus is that it deepens to 940 mbs near 20W and core of strongest winds slams into west coast of Ireland 0600 Friday. ... moderate to extreme damage is possible in western counties and could in worst case model scenarios extend across to Dublin also. 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

20 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

This Atlantic low will go on to cause damaging winds (70-110 knots) in Ireland on Friday. ... model consensus is that it deepens to 940 mbs near 20W and core of strongest winds slams into west coast of Ireland 0600 Friday. ... moderate to extreme damage is possible in western counties and could in worst case model scenarios extend across to Dublin also. 

Just rain there?

[NorthShoreWx]

16 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Just rain there?

Mostly

https://www.met.ie/national-forecast.html

 

[TJW014]

Flurries have started

[wdrag]

3 reports of flurries coastal Ocean County NJ at 745PM...  no big deal I know, but not for naught. Always was fringe. 

[wdrag]

OKX radar showing Long Island lake effect light snow shower fragments translating east along the edge of the virga shield across Li. Take a look. I think the EC had this in some prior cycles for 00z/22. 

[wdrag]

KMIV, KWWD, KACY reporting minor S- since ~730PM. 

[psv88]

29 minutes ago, wdrag said:

OKX radar showing Long Island lake effect light snow shower fragments translating east along the edge of the virga shield across Li. Take a look. I think the EC had this in some prior cycles for 00z/22. 

Not seeing any flurries out here Walt. Radar does have an interesting look though 

[NorthShoreWx]

7 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Not seeing any flurries out here Walt. Radar does have an interesting look though 

More likely on south fork.  But interesting to watch.  I hadn't made any possible connection about OES until I saw Walt's post.  I had nothing but different shades of virga in my head.

[Volcanic Winter]

Nothing here yet, but I’m on the western border with Manchester about as far away from the coast as you can be in Toms River. 

[Redmorninglight]

Nice burst of snow last 90 minutes here in cape May. Just a dusting of very fluffy powder. About 18 degrees. Looks to be done.


.

[NorthShoreWx]

Snowing at Montauk:

https://hamptons.com/east-lake-beach/

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Coating in Montauk. 
 

man. What could have been 

[psv88]

Maybe a flurry here or blowing snow? 

[Volcanic Winter]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Maybe a flurry here or blowing snow? 

Are you on LI? Still nothing here at all, but if this is a dusting for the extreme coast + LI -> SEMA only I’m probably just a bit too far inland. Radar looks well offshore  and like it’s virga anyway, would’ve been cool to see a flake or two but wasn’t expecting anything. 

[NorthShoreWx]

Probably will be little more than a coating around Montauk (ending soon) but the Cape and Islands could get an inch or three.

[Volcanic Winter]

51 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Probably will be little more than a coating around Montauk (ending soon) but the Cape and Islands could get an inch or three.

That’s good for them, I don’t think the cape got really anything in that last event. I kept checking their thermals and they were pretty torched even way later on.