PowellVolz Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 The RRFS CAM did well yesterday with the prefrontal supercells. It even got the storms in upstate SC right. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Might be recharging for this afternoon. Wind shear is definitely there with the consta-LLJ. See if destabilization can happen both sides of the boundary. However I'm a lot more interested in Saturday when I'm free. Final wave ejecting is usually boom or bust. Wind speed shear will be plentiful. Turning with height is just barely enough; it will require backing at the surface. Also need a prefrontal trough ahead of that CF. Both depend on an Arkansas surface low for Mississippi chasing. Thursday MD Day 3 Saturday seems mostly synoptic front based. Need ENH across Mississippi but SPC might not be feeling the pre-frontal trough. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Multiple tornadoes in Hardeman county last night, It looks like the city of Grand Junction got hit the worst though. Selmer Tennessee also had a confirmed tornado that did quite a bit of damage based off the reports I am seeing. I had 5 or 6 different tornado warnings from about 5pm to 2 am. I Will post pictures as I get them 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Tornado Watch up - https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0107.html 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Big hail from Holenwald cell ,marker has 4.29" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Finally seeing rotation now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Centerville is showing rotation also now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 That sure look like a tornado to me..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 NROT IS UP TO 2 now that cell headed towards Thompsons Station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Big HAIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 large severe warned supercell by Franklin, TN (hail) edit: tornado warning just issued 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 two more tornado warnings in TN confirmed tornado Quote Lewis TN-Wayne TN-Lawrence TN- 536 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN LEWIS...NORTHEASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES... At 536 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Waynesboro, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 large supercell that is near Memphis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortexse93 Posted Saturday at 03:52 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:52 PM It has been a crazy for me, as I am sure it has been for a lot of people within this group. I do want to get a quick post out before things get a little more crazy this afternoon and evening. For chasing, I have two options in mind to target and these two options are more than doable given my close proximity. Option 1). First option and most ideal, will be head towards Vicksburg, MS this afternoon as it gives me the best option to either head north or continue west into Louisiana. Model guidance shows the potential for discrete cells out ahead of the mainline and in the open warm sector. Secondly, this option allows me to head north into the Mississippi Delta in the event storms decide to track more northward and will still give me plenty of time for a potential intercept. Option 2) This option is a little more aggressive as it leans more towards the RRFS model run and will require a more northward positioning for myself (please take this option with a grain of salt). This option will take me straight into Yazoo City before going into Mississippi Delta. While drive time overall will not change, however, the RRFS is more aggressive with showing the potential for discrete cells further north into Greenville, MS. This northern route will allow me to be closer to Greenville, MS vs Option 1. I do want to point this out, Option 1 still allows me to go northward if needed. However, with Option 2, I am more set on staying north and not as likely to have a viable west option into Louisiana if storms develop before crossing the river. With this being said, I am monitoring the current weather conditions and really waiting on to see if SPC puts another MESO Discussion over Central MS anytime soon. I am close enough to where I can wait and see what happens before making a drive towards either option this afternoon. It is a waiting a game at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM 24 minutes ago, vortexse93 said: It has been a crazy for me, as I am sure it has been for a lot of people within this group. I do want to get a quick post out before things get a little more crazy this afternoon and evening. For chasing, I have two options in mind to target and these two options are more than doable given my close proximity. Option 1). First option and most ideal, will be head towards Vicksburg, MS this afternoon as it gives me the best option to either head north or continue west into Louisiana. Model guidance shows the potential for discrete cells out ahead of the mainline and in the open warm sector. Secondly, this option allows me to head north into the Mississippi Delta in the event storms decide to track more northward and will still give me plenty of time for a potential intercept. Option 2) This option is a little more aggressive as it leans more towards the RRFS model run and will require a more northward positioning for myself (please take this option with a grain of salt). This option will take me straight into Yazoo City before going into Mississippi Delta. While drive time overall will not change, however, the RRFS is more aggressive with showing the potential for discrete cells further north into Greenville, MS. This northern route will allow me to be closer to Greenville, MS vs Option 1. I do want to point this out, Option 1 still allows me to go northward if needed. However, with Option 2, I am more set on staying north and not as likely to have a viable west option into Louisiana if storms develop before crossing the river. With this being said, I am monitoring the current weather conditions and really waiting on to see if SPC puts another MESO Discussion over Central MS anytime soon. I am close enough to where I can wait and see what happens before making a drive towards either option this afternoon. It is a waiting a game at this point. Be watching Auburn so im staying home.Some of the latest Mesoscales look better south of Memphis about 50-75 miles give or take,thats around mid afternoon,it dont look bad even where you are at later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Saturday at 04:44 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:44 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortexse93 Posted Saturday at 04:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:48 PM 2 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: This will be way outside of my chase zone. I am in Jackson, MS so will need something in Greenville, MS at the very least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Saturday at 04:59 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:59 PM 11 minutes ago, vortexse93 said: This will be way outside of my chase zone. I am in Jackson, MS so will need something in Greenville, MS at the very least We had a tornado contest years ago here,I'd always pick Yazoo City in those parts when in storm mode,that town is a tornado magnet..lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortexse93 Posted Saturday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:02 PM 2 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: We had a tornado contest years ago here,I'd always pick Yazoo City in those parts when in storm mode,that town is a tornado magnet..lol So is Hattiesburg lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted Sunday at 03:45 AM Share Posted Sunday at 03:45 AM Crazy intense storms in my hometown today. Synced some local footage to my chase time lapse... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted Sunday at 10:14 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 10:14 PM Think we should have a decent chance of severe as we get around the 20-21 of April.Thats a strong ULL coming into from East China into the Koreas next weekend,all the models are showing this with rising heights into Mongolia and Japan,looks kinda meh until then,dont mean you cant get severe just looks meh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Steep mid-level lapse rates and cool temps at 700 mb and above on Thursday may promote golf balls. Who moved the Masters north? Also the low levels of forecast soundings are inverted V which allows for some gusty wind. Valid Thursday April 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 10 hours ago, nrgjeff said: Steep mid-level lapse rates and cool temps at 700 mb and above on Thursday may promote golf balls. Who moved the Masters north? Also the low levels of forecast soundings are inverted V which allows for some gusty wind. Valid Thursday April 10 Was just telling my Wife a bit ago that large hail up to golf ball.size is a legitimate threat tomorrow. Those lapse rates can get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now