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TV Severe Weather2025-?


jaxjagman
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High Risk of a QLCS! I'll believe these discrete cells ahead when I see them. RRFS is on an island all alone. Then the HRRR today wants to go in Mid-Tenn. Low level shear is wild but the mid-levels are too warm. What's the MLB and NBA TV schedule this evening? Blue Bloods reruns on Ion channel 3.3 in KCHA.

I hope my cynicism assures some who are storm anxious. That said, follow official sources if it gets hairy tonight!

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 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 98
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   250 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Eastern and South-Central Arkansas
     Southern Illinois
     Southwest Indiana
     Western Kentucky
     Southeast Missouri
     Northern Mississippi
     Western Tennessee

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 250 PM until Midnight
     CDT.

   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

   * Primary threats include...
     Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
     Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
       mph likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
       inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Storms are expected to develop this afternoon initially
   across the ArkLaMiss and Mid-South, with the overall environment
   becoming increasingly favorable for tornadoes through late afternoon
   into early/mid-evening. Some of these tornadoes may be strong or
   intense (EF3+), with widespread damaging winds also likely across
   the region by evening. This is a Particularly Dangerous Situation
   with intense storms expected over a relatively broad regional area,
   with multiple rounds of severe storms possible in some areas.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 55 miles southeast of Pine Bluff AR to
   30 miles northwest of Evansville IN. For a complete depiction of the
   watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
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If this brigade of tornadic supercells in Eastern Arkansas holds together West Tennessee is in some serious trouble in the next 2-3 hours.

Mesoscale Discussion 363
< Previous MD
MD 363 graphic
   Mesoscale Discussion 0363
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0612 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-South

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 98...

   Valid 022312Z - 030045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 98 continues.

   SUMMARY...Numerous discrete supercells are intensifying in a very
   favorable environment for strong to intense tornadoes across the
   Mid-South.

   DISCUSSION...Numerous discrete right-moving supercells are
   intensifying across the open warm sector in the Mid-South as of 23Z.
   The NQA VWP depicts very large, clockwise-curved hodographs with
   ample streamwise vorticity for these storms (around 330 m2/s2 0-500m
   SRH). Given a moist/unstable boundary layer, ample low-level shear,
   and the well-established discrete supercells, several strong to
   intense tornadoes are possible through this corridor over the next
   couple hours.

   ..Weinman.. 04/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34009085 34259159 34699169 35159159 36289066 36499019
               36468975 36348926 36078903 35798902 34179016 34009085 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...155-190 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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5 minutes ago, kayman said:

If those brigade of tornadic supercells in Eastern Arkansas holds together West Tennessee is in some serious trouble in the next 2-3 hours.

Mesoscale Discussion 363
< Previous MD
MD 363 graphic
   Mesoscale Discussion 0363
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0612 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-South

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 98...

   Valid 022312Z - 030045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 98 continues.

   SUMMARY...Numerous discrete supercells are intensifying in a very
   favorable environment for strong to intense tornadoes across the
   Mid-South.

   DISCUSSION...Numerous discrete right-moving supercells are
   intensifying across the open warm sector in the Mid-South as of 23Z.
   The NQA VWP depicts very large, clockwise-curved hodographs with
   ample streamwise vorticity for these storms (around 330 m2/s2 0-500m
   SRH). Given a moist/unstable boundary layer, ample low-level shear,
   and the well-established discrete supercells, several strong to
   intense tornadoes are possible through this corridor over the next
   couple hours.

   ..Weinman.. 04/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34009085 34259159 34699169 35159159 36289066 36499019
               36468975 36348926 36078903 35798902 34179016 34009085 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...155-190 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

Looks like a large tor over Bay ,Ark,NROT is showing a 2.0 and its a confirmed cell

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1 minute ago, jaxjagman said:

2,5 now on NROT

Yeah, the language used by the NWS MEG (Memphis) office is scary af:

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
640 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARC031-093-111-MOC069-155-030045-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0055.000000T0000Z-250403T0045Z/
Craighead AR-Poinsett AR-Mississippi AR-Pemiscot MO-Dunklin MO-
640 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR LAKE CITY AR...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
CRAIGHEAD...NORTH CENTRAL POINSETT...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHWESTERN PEMISCOT AND SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTIES...

At 639 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Lake City, moving northeast at 40 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for Lake City AR. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jolliff Store, West Hermondale, Paulding, Delfore, Calumet, Dearman,
New Survey, Vail, Denton, Gobler, Carmi, Covington, Gum Point, Whisp,
Buckeye, Lester, Deer Land, Arkmo, Temples Corner, and Caraway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3622 8992 3593 8972 3565 9052 3583 9066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 233DEG 36KT 3580 9049

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

cad
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
651 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARC031-093-MOC069-155-030045-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0055.000000T0000Z-250403T0045Z/
Craighead AR-Mississippi AR-Pemiscot MO-Dunklin MO-
651 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR MONETTE...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWESTERN PEMISCOT
AND SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTIES...

At 650 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Monette, moving northeast at 40 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for MONETTE. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar and spotter confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jolliff Store, West Hermondale, Paulding, Delfore, Calumet, Dearman,
New Survey, Vail, Denton, Gobler, Carmi, Covington, Whisp, Buckeye,
Lester, Caruth, Deer Land, Arkmo, Temples Corner, and Caraway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3622 8992 3593 8972 3574 9038 3590 9054
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 234DEG 36KT 3589 9036

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

CAD
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WMC-TV apparently has this live on air from an AR DOT traffic camera live on TV.

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
654 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARC037-123-030015-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0052.000000T0000Z-250403T0015Z/
St. Francis AR-Cross AR-
654 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL ST. FRANCIS AND CENTRAL CROSS COUNTIES...

At 654 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Vanndale, or 8
miles northwest of Wynne, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Wynne, Hawkins, Horton, Rosenbaum, River Front, Fitzgerald Crossing,
Crow Creek, Caldwell, Wittsburg, Village Creek State Park, McElroy,
Vanndale, Mersman, Colt, Fair Field, Cherry Valley, Ellis Chapel,
Levesque, Hamlin, and Princedale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3511 9098 3528 9092 3544 9095 3545 9074
      3519 9057 3503 9089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 219DEG 51KT 3534 9085

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

MJ
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This one is headed for Crittenden County, AR on the west side of the Memphis metro area.

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
657 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARC035-077-123-030045-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-250403T0045Z/
Lee AR-St. Francis AR-Crittenden AR-
657 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR LEE...ST.
FRANCIS AND SOUTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTIES...

At 656 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Moro, or 12 miles
west of Marianna, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Garret Grove, Cody, Hughes, Cottonwood Corner, New Castle, Soudan,
Round Pond, Beck, Brickeys, Ball Point, Tongin, Raggio, Gill,
Hawkins, Mississippi River State Park, Penjur, Four Forks, Burnt
Cane, Colt, and Dodsons Corner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3487 9110 3515 9090 3515 9076 3494 9028
      3485 9043 3489 9044 3489 9048 3486 9048
      3483 9046 3465 9105 3473 9105 3474 9110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 227DEG 40KT 3475 9099

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Schlessiger
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Tonight is a rare instance where the lead supercells choked off the line behind, rather than coexisting with the line or being absorbed. Probably just right (just wrong) flow angle crossing boundaries. Line doesn't catch up. Sups go nuts!

Re Arkansas I saw some streams with radar/locations in corner put together like Zoom. Definitely different cells. Multiple damaging tornadoes were in progress. Can't link preview. I won't try to rate strength, but they were all big specimens.

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
714 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARC077-123-030045-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-250403T0045Z/
Lee AR-St. Francis AR-
714 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL LEE AND CENTRAL ST. FRANCIS COUNTIES...

At 714 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Haynes, or 7
miles south of Forrest City, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Whitmore, Madison, Gill, Bonair, Cottonwood Corner, Crow Creek,
Caldwell, Forrest City, New Castle, Four Forks, Burnt Cane,
Palestine, Haynes, Round Pond, Widener, Blackfish, Colt, Dodsons
Corner, Heustess, and New Home.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3515 9080 3515 9076 3502 9045 3484 9084
      3490 9095 3502 9090
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 227DEG 40KT 3491 9079

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

Schlessiger
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13 minutes ago, nrgjeff said:

Tonight is a rare instance where the lead supercells choked off the line behind, rather than coexisting with the line or being absorbed. Probably just right (just wrong) flow angle crossing boundaries. Line doesn't catch up. Sups go nuts!

Re Arkansas I saw some streams with radar/locations in corner put together like Zoom. Definitely different cells. Multiple damaging tornadoes were in progress. Can't link preview. I won't try to rate strength, but they were all big specimens.

Yep, and this is basically a line of tornadic supercells.

Anyone from Downtown Memphis and northward along the Mississippi River might need to be prepared for one of those supercells.

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3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

NWS Paducah WFO came within yards of getting hit by a tornado. Looks like the City of Paducah is taking a direct hit.

You're correct1947568178_Screenshot2025-04-029_40_49PM.thumb.png.0f35e92b8c2ceef7a23c033352bb329d.png

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
836 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ILC127-151-KYC145-030200-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0073.000000T0000Z-250403T0200Z/
Massac IL-Pope IL-McCracken KY-
836 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MASSAC...SOUTHEASTERN POPE AND CENTRAL MCCRACKEN
COUNTIES...

At 835 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over midtown Paducah
near Park Avenue , moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Paducah, Reidland, and Brookport around 840 PM CDT.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 24 in Kentucky between Mile Markers 1 and 11.
 Interstate 24 in Illinois between Mile Markers 34 and 38.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3732 8850 3729 8851 3726 8851 3722 8847
      3721 8845 3716 8843 3707 8847 3707 8853
      3708 8857 3707 8857 3703 8852 3698 8869
      3713 8884
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 247DEG 44KT 3710 8864

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

JGG
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
906 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

KYC033-055-143-030230-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0075.000000T0000Z-250403T0230Z/
Crittenden KY-Caldwell KY-Lyon KY-
906 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CRITTENDEN...NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL AND NORTH CENTRAL LYON
COUNTIES...

At 906 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Eddyville, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Creswell and Farmersville around 910 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Fredonia.

This includes Interstate 69 in Kentucky between Mile Markers 71 and
73.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3722 8820 3736 8799 3718 8782 3714 8791
      3708 8809
TIME...MOT...LOC 0206Z 239DEG 49KT 3716 8804

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

JGG
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