Matthew70 Posted Saturday at 02:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:25 PM 1 hour ago, jaxjagman said: lol...if we miss out on snow from the mid of next week until Feb im going to severe,systems seem close to every 3-4 days I am with you. Cold & dry I will take a hard pass on that type of wx. Plus yesterday near 60 was great. My grass really is green after the snow melted off of it. Spring bring it on! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:47 PM 1 hour ago, *Flash* said: 12z HRRR paints a slightly more realistic picture than it was yesterday, though there are still several 1" bands on the map. The plateau looks good to me. Hopefully, we can capitalize on what will be the mid-state's best chance for snow during the next 7 days... s It's been terrible in my area. So far it has underforecasted Snowfall amounts at close range here. I suspect bad reporting from the " official" NWS Observer Site's is at least partially responsible as that goes into the Model Ingest System. It tends to overdo downsloping as well as John has noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Saturday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:48 PM 1 hour ago, Matthew70 said: I am with you. Cold & dry I will take a hard pass on that type of wx. Plus yesterday near 60 was great. My grass really is green after the snow melted off of it. Spring bring it on! Yeah yesterday was fantastic. 53 at my house but felt like 65. Kick this cold to the curb if we can’t cash in. However it’s good for the environment to get cold for a while. It’s also good for lawn. Freezing and thawing over and over again is a good natural ground aerator. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted Saturday at 07:09 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 07:09 PM OHX hoists WWAs for Cumberland and Fentress. 1-2 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 07:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:26 PM Wwa up for here as well. Rap looks good for area. As usual the HRRR showing it's flaws. Nam looks suspect for it for whole area. Hopefully the Low forms a bit further South and intensifies rapidly and brings the heavier snow shield further South. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuCoVaWx Posted Saturday at 07:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:46 PM Just issued this, must be expecting a bit of higher totals. .WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and central, northern, southeast, and southern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 8 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 07:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:47 PM MRX doesn't include anyone else in the WWA but issues an extreme cold watch. Sort of surprises me as most of the CAMs show 1-2 inches for their Northern Plateau counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted Saturday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:55 PM Health pending, I’ll likely be in Monterey tomorrow so I’ll follow up with some ground truth this time tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Saturday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:02 PM 14 minutes ago, John1122 said: MRX doesn't include anyone else in the WWA but issues an extreme cold watch. Sort of surprises me as most of the CAMs show 1-2 inches for their Northern Plateau counties. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:07 PM They must have just updated. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted Saturday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:13 PM 1 minute ago, John1122 said: They must have just updated. They update or install new advisories strange some times. There was 22 minutes between the cold weather advisory and the WWA. Seems like maybe 5 to 10 minutes or so between the updates is enough time unless they were having IT issues 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:40 PM 52 minutes ago, BuCoVaWx said: Just issued this, must be expecting a bit of higher totals. .WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and central, northern, southeast, and southern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 8 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. Yeah, you're looking great up there. Some Models showing 6+ there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted Saturday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:48 PM More fun from Bobby: “4 pm Update 1/18 for Middle Tennessee winter Weather later tonight and Sunday morning. We get into the left exit region of that 100 kt speed max in the overnight hours tonight into Sunday morning. The latest forecast soundings have found more moisture than previous runs. I now think 1/2 inch with up to 1 inch looks possible in the Nashville area. 1 inch along the plateau but upwards of 2 possible in the Upper Cumberland. That 10 model blend looks good to me for amounts through 6 pm Sunday. CAMS blend is also good. Freezing almost down to Kuttawa Kentucky at 3 pm 1/18. I'll do another update this evening.” 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 11:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:36 PM My snow didn't melt off in the rain. I've had snow on the ground since Jan 5th. I should manage to make it until at least the 26th or 27th if not longer. Barring a return to some of the modeling looks, this will be the first time in my life with 20+ days of snow on the ground in January that didn't feature double digit snowfall totals, generally 17-24 inches. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted Saturday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:47 PM I noticed quite a bit of snow down by the lake (Cherokee) behind my house this afternoon. There is a cove where the sun doesn’t shine on part of the ground at all this time of year. That area had a large area of snow that was an inch deep still in spots. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted yesterday at 12:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:03 AM I also still have some large areas of snow that survived the rain on my property. If lucky might beat last year when snow survived 16 days. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted yesterday at 01:38 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:38 AM Have had Snow on north facing slopes since Jan. 3rd. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM 12k NAM looks a little more healthy for tomorrow 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted yesterday at 02:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:49 AM The only snow left around here is parking lot piles and some snowman corpses. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted yesterday at 04:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:35 AM Starting to fall back into the 30s now. Probably the warmest it's going to be until Friday or Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted yesterday at 04:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:53 AM Latest NBM has backed off on amounts for Tomorrow. There appears to be a slight trend North with it. We wanted a southerly one. RAP is clearly evident. More widespread 2-3" amounts cover more of Kentucky, now back to Central Ky.. SREF same deal except more widespread 1-3" area extending Northward into Ohio. Hopefully, the area will expand further SE again but, I wouldn't bank on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted yesterday at 05:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:06 AM 11 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Latest NBM has backed off on amounts for Tomorrow. There appears to be a slight trend North with it. We wanted a southerly one. RAP is clearly evident. More widespread 2-3" amounts cover more of Kentucky, now back to Central Ky.. SREF same deal except more widespread 1-3" area extending Northward into Ohio. Hopefully, the area will expand further SE again but, I wouldn't bank on it. Looks like the CAM are leaning heavily into downsloping SW VA and they are a major player in the NBM inside 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9697 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago We have a dusting so far, edges of the road are starting to be covered; I dont think anyone did any pretreatment so hope we dont get too much! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Dusting here as well. 31 degrees and falling. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago Latets HRRR has some pretty good returns over the central valley starting between 10 and 11 am and it thinks they will mostly be snow: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago I wonder how Knoxtron is doing? I have a slushy accumulation of less than .10th of an inch, lol. At least some of my old snow in shaded areas got to meet some new. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Getting a rain sleet mix right now here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9697 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago I am down to 24 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9697 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Also have fat quarter dollar size flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago 4 minutes ago, matt9697 said: Also have fat quarter dollar size flakes Are they rippin' though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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