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January 19 RGEM leeside Apps low and following arctic blast tracking and obs


Holston_River_Rambler
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54 minutes ago, John1122 said:

The Can/RGEM are tossing out crazy low temps for Wednesday morning. RGEM has me around -10. The GGEM -6. Euro 4 and GFS 5.

I noticed that! Without deeper snow cover I’m not sure that’s possible!

 

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Just now, WishingForWarmWeather said:

Central air unit kept trying to kick in aux heating all night. So we had to stay up and keep the fire going. What a brutal cold night here in Clarksville. Tomorrow night into Wednesday morning looks even colder than last night. No freaking thank you. 

It would be alot easier to stomach the heating bills with a big snow storm but at least there's some snow around out there. 

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3 minutes ago, John1122 said:

It would be alot easier to stomach the heating bills with a big snow storm but at least there's some snow around out there. 

This part :( we did get 2 inches very early Saturday morning. But the bitter cold with no fun snow to come with it is crappy. Knowing the low temperature tomorrow night is 3° and even lower with “real feel” makes me and my arthritic bones want to cry. We went through SO much wood last night. -sigh-

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39 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said:

This part :( we did get 2 inches very early Saturday morning. But the bitter cold with no fun snow to come with it is crappy. Knowing the low temperature tomorrow night is 3° and even lower with “real feel” makes me and my arthritic bones want to cry. We went through SO much wood last night. -sigh-

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sorry I'm 8 years old apparently 

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Made it down to 7 this morning and up to 21 today. The temp is currently falling like a rock though even without hardly any snow on the ground. Already down to 14. Since the wind is calm, I got a feeling if the clouds hold off for awhile could be lower than forecast tonight. Maybe back down around the same temp.

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39 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Looks like our low is going to bust unless it clouds up before midnight. I was supposed to get down to 9 tonight and it's already down to 7. 

Same here. At 11 now. They must have been riding with the NAM. 

RGEM looks more realistic with possible lows in the AM. NAM is already busted. nam-nest-ky-t2m_f-7464400.thumb.png.e080822c2b8f65a11ea1820dddee3518.png

 

rgem-all-ky-t2m_f-7464400.png

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1 hour ago, Silas Lang said:

Same here. At 11 now. They must have been riding with the NAM. 

RGEM looks more realistic with possible lows in the AM. NAM is already busted. nam-nest-ky-t2m_f-7464400.thumb.png.e080822c2b8f65a11ea1820dddee3518.png

 

rgem-all-ky-t2m_f-7464400.png

I don't know why anyone would use the Nam to forecast Temps.. It has a well known warm bias in the area. For that matter pretty much all the SRM'S have that bias other than the RGEM although the Nam is worst .

  Down to 7 here and I'm on a Hill so, you can bet a few degrees lower in the Valleys.

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