Sunday 1/19 Eagles Game Snow and Stuff

[anthonyweather]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Fv3 aint too shabby either.

Nice uptick, and at 10:1

[JTA66]

Now let’s get the RGEM to play nice.

Setting the over/under imby at 4”.

[Hurricane Agnes]

3k NAM as far as she goes out...

[Kevin Reilly]

1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

3k NAM as far as she goes out...

Kind of classic significant east coast snowstorm. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

2 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Kind of classic significant east coast snowstorm. 

The 12k shows it better (although it goes out longer too).

[ChescoWx]

If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHV

[Heisy]

If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHV

I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys


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[ChescoWx]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys


.

Could be.....just a wee bit out of the range I count the NAM as accurate.....

[penndotguy]

5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHV

Yup very close to being classic setup 

[Ralph Wiggum]

7 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys


.

Yep, really classic setup. Feels like it has been 10 years

[Heisy]

Yep, really classic setup. Feels like it has been 10 years

I think there’s a legit chance someone in those classic NW zones sees 10”


.

[Ralph Wiggum]

3 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

Yup very close to being classic setup 

Now we need to proverbial train tracks and get this track to repeat in Feb, our snowiest month historically.

[penndotguy]

3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Now we need to proverbial train tracks and get this track to repeat in Feb, our snowiest month historically.

I believe it has a very good chance 

[Kevin Reilly]

20 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys


.

Agree classic snow up from the SSW then everything collapses southeast getting colder as she goes with better snow ratios north and west.  

[anthonyweather]

RGEM 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, anthonyweather said:

RGEM 

Rgem is another tick or 2 s and e from being a mecs for i95

[RedSky]

I have never seen a model more steadfast in it's runs

[Ralph Wiggum]

ICON hits the i95 corridor. Good run. Think we are seeing the windshield wipers now with the rgem being farthest nw and nam 12k being farthest s and e. Icon/GFS/Euro blend ftw

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, RedSky said:

I have never seen a model more steadfast in it's runs

Euro ai

[JTA66]

GFS looking good!

[anthonyweather]

Gfs 

[RedSky]

Euro needs to wake up and smell the coffee

 

[anthonyweather]

CMC hammers Lehigh valley 12.0

[Albedoman]

A Winter storm warning should be issued tomorrow by early afternoon for the LV.  I only say that time frame because of the nuisance precip should get out of the way first  but I am not Mt Holly. They could be confident enough to issue Sat morning however Its been a long time coming.  Plowable snow - its about time. . This will be the heaviest snow since last year in Feb  from the freak snow  banding event giving us a  localized snow of 15 inches or so in Macungie ( we only got warned during mid stream of last years event- not MT Hollys fault)  as seen on 2/16/24 in my deck picture below. I expect Monday morning to look pretty similar with about 10+ inches.  The huge difference is that this will blow everywhere by Monday evening as the snow will be very fluffy from the high snow ratios. I do expect rural plowed roads  I the LV  (Nazareth area) to be drifted shut if the winds pick up as I expect.

Again,  I emphasize the cold temps. This will be the coldest outbreak we have seen in many years.  Say goodbye to many nuisance bugs for next spring.  Ice jams on local rivers will become a problem in Feb should we have some moderation with these cold  temps but ice jamming will become an issue in the future regardless. The typical frozen pipes, especially outside faucets that have not been properly winterized will burst. Many of drivers  will burn through a ton of windshield wiper solution as the salt brine spray will become unbearable as exampled by todays quick melt off and of course car wash  will be backed up with long lines on the sunny days. Do not be surprised as many car washes will close down with these cold temps next week too.

 

 

 

[Albedoman]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Euro ai

I have- its called the HEMP - Historical Experience Meteorological  Patterns ---Model - used by us old geezers on occasion before the internet and commodore computers. LMAO 

Below is how I played modelogy  back in the late 70's to early 80"s.  they were games:---Wow how have things changed as being more serious and talk about changing from run to run every 6 hours?  LMAO

https://www.mobygames.com/game/174994/weather-tamers/

 

[RedSky]

UKMET plenty cold for I95 and a little wetter

[RedSky]

DT 6-8" on the PA side of I95

[snowwors2]

Just now, RedSky said:

DT 6-8" on the PA side of I95

Link?

[RedSky]

1 minute ago, snowwors2 said:

Link?

See MA thread

[snowwors2]

Just now, RedSky said:

See MA thread

Do I have to⁉️