anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Fv3 aint too shabby either. Nice uptick, and at 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Now let’s get the RGEM to play nice. Setting the over/under imby at 4”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3k NAM as far as she goes out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said: 3k NAM as far as she goes out... Kind of classic significant east coast snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Kind of classic significant east coast snowstorm. The 12k shows it better (although it goes out longer too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHVI believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Heisy said: I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys . Could be.....just a wee bit out of the range I count the NAM as accurate..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHV Yup very close to being classic setup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Heisy said: I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys . Yep, really classic setup. Feels like it has been 10 years 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Yep, really classic setup. Feels like it has been 10 yearsI think there’s a legit chance someone in those classic NW zones sees 10”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Yup very close to being classic setup Now we need to proverbial train tracks and get this track to repeat in Feb, our snowiest month historically. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Now we need to proverbial train tracks and get this track to repeat in Feb, our snowiest month historically. I believe it has a very good chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 20 minutes ago, Heisy said: I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys . Agree classic snow up from the SSW then everything collapses southeast getting colder as she goes with better snow ratios north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Just now, anthonyweather said: RGEM Rgem is another tick or 2 s and e from being a mecs for i95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I have never seen a model more steadfast in it's runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 ICON hits the i95 corridor. Good run. Think we are seeing the windshield wipers now with the rgem being farthest nw and nam 12k being farthest s and e. Icon/GFS/Euro blend ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Just now, RedSky said: I have never seen a model more steadfast in it's runs Euro ai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 GFS looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Gfs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Euro needs to wake up and smell the coffee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 CMC hammers Lehigh valley 12.0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 A Winter storm warning should be issued tomorrow by early afternoon for the LV. I only say that time frame because of the nuisance precip should get out of the way first but I am not Mt Holly. They could be confident enough to issue Sat morning however Its been a long time coming. Plowable snow - its about time. . This will be the heaviest snow since last year in Feb from the freak snow banding event giving us a localized snow of 15 inches or so in Macungie ( we only got warned during mid stream of last years event- not MT Hollys fault) as seen on 2/16/24 in my deck picture below. I expect Monday morning to look pretty similar with about 10+ inches. The huge difference is that this will blow everywhere by Monday evening as the snow will be very fluffy from the high snow ratios. I do expect rural plowed roads I the LV (Nazareth area) to be drifted shut if the winds pick up as I expect. Again, I emphasize the cold temps. This will be the coldest outbreak we have seen in many years. Say goodbye to many nuisance bugs for next spring. Ice jams on local rivers will become a problem in Feb should we have some moderation with these cold temps but ice jamming will become an issue in the future regardless. The typical frozen pipes, especially outside faucets that have not been properly winterized will burst. Many of drivers will burn through a ton of windshield wiper solution as the salt brine spray will become unbearable as exampled by todays quick melt off and of course car wash will be backed up with long lines on the sunny days. Do not be surprised as many car washes will close down with these cold temps next week too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro ai I have- its called the HEMP - Historical Experience Meteorological Patterns ---Model - used by us old geezers on occasion before the internet and commodore computers. LMAO Below is how I played modelogy back in the late 70's to early 80"s. they were games:---Wow how have things changed as being more serious and talk about changing from run to run every 6 hours? LMAO https://www.mobygames.com/game/174994/weather-tamers/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 UKMET plenty cold for I95 and a little wetter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 DT 6-8" on the PA side of I95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, RedSky said: DT 6-8" on the PA side of I95 Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, snowwors2 said: Link? See MA thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, RedSky said: See MA thread Do I have to⁉️ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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