RedSky Posted Saturday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:32 PM 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Blend is keeping it conservative (might be seeing the west shift). This model makes me lose sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Saturday at 09:37 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 09:37 PM 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: This model makes me lose sleep I loathe this model at times, seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Saturday at 09:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:42 PM 38F/DP 36F Hopefully all downhill from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Saturday at 09:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:44 PM 2 minutes ago, JTA66 said: 38F/DP 36F Hopefully all downhill from here. In a good way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Saturday at 09:45 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 09:45 PM 18z herpderpy coming in hot and heavy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Saturday at 09:46 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 09:46 PM Hrdps can it please get this one right? It does do well with banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM Temp 39f dew point 37f on the way down skies turning partly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Saturday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:57 PM HRDPS East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Saturday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:02 PM I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted Saturday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:10 PM 7 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range. I’ll go 3-6” for Royersford. Seems to be consensus for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Saturday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:39 PM 54 minutes ago, JTA66 said: 38F/DP 36F Hopefully all downhill from here. If any normal non-weenie outside person read this they would think we have issues... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted Saturday at 10:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:42 PM "Always the bridesmaid" feeling with those Advisories, but I think they are keen to play this conservative and let it go over those amounts rather than over-predict and under-deliver. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted Saturday at 10:52 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:52 PM 48 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range. I think our corridor from western Chester, Berks up through LV do really well tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kickingupastorm Posted Saturday at 10:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:57 PM 2 inches isn’t a snowstorm. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Saturday at 11:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:39 PM 18z runs cut 1-2"off 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted Saturday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:43 PM Uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Saturday at 11:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:51 PM 11 minutes ago, RedSky said: 18z runs cut 1-2"off Noise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted Saturday at 11:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:53 PM I’m going with 5” central bucks down to lower bucks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Sunday at 12:01 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:01 AM 6 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: I’m going with 5” central bucks down to lower bucks Central bucks, decent to good shot. Lower bucks, up in the air... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted Sunday at 12:02 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:02 AM Just now, Birds~69 said: Central bucks, decent to good shot. Lower bucks, up in the air... I’m in Yardley/Morrisville area…keep you guys posted tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 12:13 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:13 AM Bar for Warminster set at 2.1"...don't like the bl warmth leading in nor the dry-slot look on some of the mesos for here. Just being realistic, not a downer. Would rather hedge low and maybe get a surprise. I will say, the mesos that handle banding well are going apeshit...so whoever ends up under one of those convective bands will see 2"/hr+ rates and even thunder as Steve D noted in his vlog. Good luck everyone and Go Eagles!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Sunday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:19 AM 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Bar for Warminster set at 2.1"...don't like the bl warmth leading in nor the dry-slot look on some of the mesos for here. Just being realistic, not a downer. Would rather hedge low and maybe get a surprise. I will say, the mesos that handle banding well are going apeshit...so whoever ends up under one of those convective bands will see 2"/hr+ rates and even thunder as Steve D noted in his vlog. Good luck everyone and Go Eagles!! Wow, you're going super low. I'm going with 4" but damn at least get 3 ". A Birds win will make it a lot easier if we get shafted snow wise... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 12:31 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:31 AM 11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Wow, you're going super low. I'm going with 4" but damn at least get 3 ". A Birds win will make it a lot easier if we get shafted snow wise... If we end up with an inch of slop and a Birds loss, I may just delete this bookmark. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Sunday at 12:39 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:39 AM 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If we end up with an inch of slop and a Birds loss, I may just delete this bookmark. I have a pretty good feeling on both ends. If the Birds play their cards/game right they win. And I think we can crank out at least a couple inches. From there Arctic moves in and this stuff isn't going anywhere... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Sunday at 12:40 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:40 AM Going with 5" here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Sunday at 12:43 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:43 AM Latest NWS Graphic....shaved a bit off Chesco with the exception of the far Northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Sunday at 12:44 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:44 AM I said 4” imby yesterday and I’ll ride with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Sunday at 12:50 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:50 AM How about some 18z maps....NAM the lowest and Oh Canada the highest....let the games begin! Personally I ride the Euro.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 12:59 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:59 AM 5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: How about some 18z maps....NAM the lowest and Oh Canada the highest....let the games begin! Personally I ride the Euro.... Not picking an argument, but Paul, why are you posting the Kuchera maps for this event? These are extremely misleading as ratios for much of the event will be 10:1-12:1 maybe slightly higher towards the back end as system pulls away and colder air works in. I would cut most of those map totals by 35-40% tbh. This system will be hauling ass to boot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Sunday at 01:01 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:01 AM Spoiler My under over here in Media will be 3.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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