RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 9:30 PM, Hurricane Agnes said: Blend is keeping it conservative (might be seeing the west shift). Expand This model makes me lose sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 9:32 PM, RedSky said: This model makes me lose sleep Expand I loathe this model at times, seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 38F/DP 36F Hopefully all downhill from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 9:42 PM, JTA66 said: 38F/DP 36F Hopefully all downhill from here. Expand In a good way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 18z herpderpy coming in hot and heavy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Hrdps can it please get this one right? It does do well with banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Temp 39f dew point 37f on the way down skies turning partly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 HRDPS East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 10:02 PM, LVblizzard said: I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range. Expand I’ll go 3-6” for Royersford. Seems to be consensus for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 9:42 PM, JTA66 said: 38F/DP 36F Hopefully all downhill from here. Expand If any normal non-weenie outside person read this they would think we have issues... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 "Always the bridesmaid" feeling with those Advisories, but I think they are keen to play this conservative and let it go over those amounts rather than over-predict and under-deliver. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 10:02 PM, LVblizzard said: I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range. Expand I think our corridor from western Chester, Berks up through LV do really well tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kickingupastorm Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 inches isn’t a snowstorm. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18z runs cut 1-2"off 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 11:39 PM, RedSky said: 18z runs cut 1-2"off Expand Noise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I’m going with 5” central bucks down to lower bucks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/18/2025 at 11:53 PM, Violentweatherfan said: I’m going with 5” central bucks down to lower bucks Expand Central bucks, decent to good shot. Lower bucks, up in the air... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:01 AM, Birds~69 said: Central bucks, decent to good shot. Lower bucks, up in the air... Expand I’m in Yardley/Morrisville area…keep you guys posted tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 Bar for Warminster set at 2.1"...don't like the bl warmth leading in nor the dry-slot look on some of the mesos for here. Just being realistic, not a downer. Would rather hedge low and maybe get a surprise. I will say, the mesos that handle banding well are going apeshit...so whoever ends up under one of those convective bands will see 2"/hr+ rates and even thunder as Steve D noted in his vlog. Good luck everyone and Go Eagles!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:13 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Bar for Warminster set at 2.1"...don't like the bl warmth leading in nor the dry-slot look on some of the mesos for here. Just being realistic, not a downer. Would rather hedge low and maybe get a surprise. I will say, the mesos that handle banding well are going apeshit...so whoever ends up under one of those convective bands will see 2"/hr+ rates and even thunder as Steve D noted in his vlog. Good luck everyone and Go Eagles!! Expand Wow, you're going super low. I'm going with 4" but damn at least get 3 ". A Birds win will make it a lot easier if we get shafted snow wise... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:19 AM, Birds~69 said: Wow, you're going super low. I'm going with 4" but damn at least get 3 ". A Birds win will make it a lot easier if we get shafted snow wise... Expand If we end up with an inch of slop and a Birds loss, I may just delete this bookmark. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:31 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: If we end up with an inch of slop and a Birds loss, I may just delete this bookmark. Expand I have a pretty good feeling on both ends. If the Birds play their cards/game right they win. And I think we can crank out at least a couple inches. From there Arctic moves in and this stuff isn't going anywhere... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Going with 5" here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Latest NWS Graphic....shaved a bit off Chesco with the exception of the far Northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I said 4” imby yesterday and I’ll ride with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 How about some 18z maps....NAM the lowest and Oh Canada the highest....let the games begin! Personally I ride the Euro.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:50 AM, ChescoWx said: How about some 18z maps....NAM the lowest and Oh Canada the highest....let the games begin! Personally I ride the Euro.... Expand Not picking an argument, but Paul, why are you posting the Kuchera maps for this event? These are extremely misleading as ratios for much of the event will be 10:1-12:1 maybe slightly higher towards the back end as system pulls away and colder air works in. I would cut most of those map totals by 35-40% tbh. This system will be hauling ass to boot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Reveal hidden contents My under over here in Media will be 3.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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