RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:56 AM, snowwors2 said: Do I have to⁉️ Expand Be quiet and don't say anything about living near Philly 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Euro nudged NW a little and got wetter. Still no warning level snows except for some areas in Berks and Chesco. It’s getting there though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Euro caved we can lock this one up 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Feel like this is a lock for a nice 5-8in snow for places like the Lehigh Valley. Will be a nice little snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6z GFS still holding the line but when I first popped over to the site to check, I got a 306 hr HECS frame initially! Including that eye-popping image after the one for this weekend's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Everything continuing to hold serve right now which is nice. Please no last second horrific surprises lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 12:16 PM, Duca892 said: Everything continuing to hold serve right now which is nice. Please no last second horrific surprises lol Expand Surprise 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 My holly updated their map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 12:36 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Surprise Expand Named in Media!!! Who’s next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 12:38 PM, Violentweatherfan said: My holly updated their map Expand Okay so I’m sure they are going to play the winter weather advisory card then upgrade to a winter storm warning in progress route. Doesn’t matter all Eagles fans will be safely in the nest since most will arrive between 7:30 to 12:00 noon. I have no problem at all about this it’s likely the correct call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 12:56 PM, Kevin Reilly said: Okay so I’m sure they are going to play the winter weather advisory card then upgrade to a winter storm warning in progress route. Doesn’t matter all Eagles fans will be safely in the nest since most will arrive between 7:30 to 12:00 noon. I have no problem at all about this it’s likely the correct call. Expand AND… STILL no WSWatch yet for lower bucks⁉️ How can you issue it for eastern montco but not lower bucks county when the predicted amounts are the same for both areas (as are the criteria)‼️⁉️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:24 PM, snowwors2 said: AND… STILL no WSWatch yet for lower bucks⁉️ How can you issue it for eastern montco but not lower bucks county when the predicted amounts are the same for both areas (as are the criteria)‼️⁉️ Expand I think it’s a temp and timing issue. Colder air will arrive in Montco air will arrive sooner than in Bucks with the precipitation amounting in higher totals in montco go back to that Steve D video I posted he goes into great detail about it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6z Maps 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:53 PM, ChescoWx said: 6z Maps Expand This snow line is going to get interesting really close here in Media GFS has like 7.2" for Media but less than 5" is not far away at all. This will be interesting to see how this unfolds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Come on NAM....I want more than 2 inches this time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Both NAMs are very cold and don’t get the R/S line anywhere remotely close to Philly. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The HRRR gets the 850mb temps to freezing all the way up to the southern LHV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:18 PM, ChescoWx said: The HRRR gets the 850mb temps to freezing all the way up to the southern LHV Expand Still out of range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:20 PM, Blue Dream said: Still out of range Expand Truth! but we track.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAMs might be cold but they’re very dry. Less than 6” everywhere in our region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:24 PM, ChescoWx said: Truth! but we track.... Expand For sure. Gonna be a close call for us around 95 but let’s see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 12z NAMs (12k & 3k) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:24 PM, LVblizzard said: NAMs might be cold but they’re very dry. Less than 6” everywhere in our region. Expand I don’t buy that either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:24 PM, LVblizzard said: NAMs might be cold but they’re very dry. Less than 6” everywhere in our region. Expand So looks like we have ways to go here. Nam more progressive colder drier solution… ggem more amped slower with the cold dry air getting here..,, gfs just right amount of moisture left to get wrung out. This reminds me of December 8th 2013 Eagles Lions game. Quick light rain 35-40 then fall quickly into the mid upper 20s 26 with moderate to heavy snow for 4-5 hours then outta here becoming windy and temps falling into the teens by 11 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 FV3 looks like a compromise between the RGEM & HRRR vs the NAM. In other words, we just can’t know! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:40 PM, JTA66 said: FV3 looks like a compromise between the RGEM & HRRR vs the NAM. In other words, we just can’t know! Expand I-95 is def a nowcast might rain, might be 3-4”’of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 12z NAM + some other mesos are really pushing back the start time of this thing. Some have snow not starting till 2-3 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 12z NAM with more cold but less snow for all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 RGEM shifted a little southeast. I’ll take it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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