anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: You're exactly correct. She said this is a difficult forecast and they look at different models especially the euro. Wild how different the euro is. It’s every model vs euro as far as outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: Wild how different the euro is. It’s every model vs euro as far as outlier I thought the rgem was the outlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Wild how different the euro is. It’s every model vs euro as far as outlier It always seems like Channel 6 (Accu Weather) is conservative with their snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I thought the rgem was the outlier? Yeah RGEM as far as crazy amped, but euro being so far east compared to everything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: It always seems like Channel 6 (Accu Weather) is conservative with their snow totals. And generally rather accurate Ive noticed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Ok who's got the blender model that often does a good job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ok who's got the blender model that often does a good job Nevermind it's worse than accu weather yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Weather World has southeast Pa in less than or equal to 3" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Gfs ftw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Gfs ftw It won? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Euro looks good on TT too how’s the snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 like the euro ai def looks like a good hit am I crazy? The reg euro wasn’t bad either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The first evening model 0z HRRR has an extremely sharp modeled snow vs ice pellets/freezing rain signal that would make a big difference from say Philadelphia vs. Northwest Chester/Berks/Lehigh Counties. With no more than 2 inches at Philly with plenty of non snow mixing to a solid 7" to 10" across NW Chesco up thru the LHV and points northeast. Not a forecast but something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 14 minutes ago, The Iceman said: like the euro ai def looks like a good hit am I crazy? The reg euro wasn’t bad either. There is the tiniest of bullseyes there in N Montco nosing into my neighborhood in S Central Bucks, so I choose this run of the AI to verify. And I always liked Iverson so it just seems right to go with the AI. Now LFG no more NW ticks, etc. Only good vibes next 36-48 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: The first evening model 0z HRRR has an extremely sharp modeled snow vs ice pellets/freezing rain signal that would make a big difference from say Philadelphia vs. Northwest Chester/Berks/Lehigh Counties. With no more than 2 inches at Philly with plenty of non snow mixing to a solid 7" to 10" across NW Chesco up thru the LHV and points northeast. Not a forecast but something to keep an eye on. Hrrr is ok with thunderstorms at 5-6 hours....winter storms at 36 hrs nasomuch 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 I could be wrong, but pretty sure the 12k is about to nam us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 13 minutes ago, The Iceman said: like the euro ai def looks like a good hit am I crazy? The reg euro wasn’t bad either. Wow classic hit!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Hrrr is ok with thunderstorms at 5-6 hours....winter storms at 36 hrs nasomuch If it wasn't for the relative consistent CMC I would agree....let's see what the NAM which me thinks will not be too far of a drift from the HRRR shows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Hrrr is ok with thunderstorms at 5-6 hours....winter storms at 36 hrs nasomuch Yes think back to last storm that drove it north giving us 8-14” then 4 runs later we dwindled to 1-2” lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I could be wrong, but pretty sure the 12k is about to nam us Predictable normal times are officially Back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 12k is colder and snowier vs it's 18z run. Awaiting 3k. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Noticed the 12k was colder because it jumped the low east over the convection 150 miles+ off the coast. Key takeaway, no inside runner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The 0z 3k NAM looks a bit drier at 4pm.....than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Nevermind it's worse than accu weather yuck Blendy McBlendface. Keeping the powder REAL dry! 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I could be wrong, but pretty sure the 12k is about to nam us It's looking a bit juicier but still has some frames to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, ChescoWx said: The 0z 3k NAM looks a bit drier at 4pm.....than 18z My bad and Wrong! snowier at 7pm.....models are fun!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 LV jackpot again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Noticed the 12k was colder because it jumped the low east over the convection 150 miles+ off the coast. Key takeaway, no inside runner. Convective feedback! Yep we back! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 3k is a namming. SECSy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: LV jackpot again Hmmm looks bandy??? Dynamic per snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: LV jackpot again Fv3 aint too shabby either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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