JetsPens87 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Good luck all Total accums ceiling step back slightly but general 2 to 5 across the board with 6 plus (if it's gonna be anywhere) NWNJ into New England. Fast moving storm. Banding dependent. Think highest accums will follow where initial axis of snow is setting up now. Possible second maxima S and E of 95 with coastal development. Screw area if any could be along and just NW of 95 (still 2 to 3) with squeeze in between initial finger and coastal banding later. Models playing around with this and that's a nowcast but just alerting. 9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:03 PM, TJW014 said: App sucks. Use it on my phone because the website on Chrome has pop-ups covering everything. Ads everywhere on Tapatalk too and the scrolling is terrible. Expand You should use a pop up blocker I don't get any popups at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:18 PM, JetsPens87 said: Good luck all Total accums ceiling step back slightly but general 2 to 5 across the board with 6 plus (if it's gonna be anywhere) NWNJ into New England. Fast moving storm. Banding dependent. Think highest accums will follow where initial axis of snow is setting up now. Possible second maxima S and E of 95 with coastal development. Screw area if any could be along and just NW of 95 (still 2 to 3) with squeeze in between initial finger and coastal banding later. Models playing around with this and that's a nowcast but just alerting. Expand Yeah I'm not sure why I see some saying the 95 area will be the jackpot. It's always north and west and then further east with these types of setups. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:45 PM, CentralNJSnowman said: Problem is on both Safari and Chrome I can see the option to 'Continue on Safari' or 'Continue on Chrome'...but it's always partially covered by an ad, so there's no way to click it (and no obvious way to close the ad). Expand Let me see what I can do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Brilliant sunshine and 37F 30 miles inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:27 PM, weatherpruf said: Have you seen the way people drive anymore? Anything is a state of emergency these days. Stopped into a Wegman's ( a store I don't like by the way; overpriced, always low stock ) and the milks shelves were bare; worse, you could see stacks of it in storage but they wouldn't put it out because it was after 9 pm.I love Wegmans. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 The main problem I see now is DPs/Ts higher than modeled. for example LGA 40/30, both NAM/GFS had 36/27 or so. It may mean any snow from 18-21Z or so won't do a whole lot but not sure it matters a ton as 22-02 was probably when the meaningful rates were coming anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 12:32 PM, weatherpruf said: Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless.I treat myself every November to the half price ($5) ad free version of this app so I can read all of the very stable, very emotionally regulated thoughts of this wretched hive of scum and villainy.. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:27 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The main problem I see now is DPs/Ts higher than modeled. for example LGA 40/30, both NAM/GFS had 36/27 or so. It may mean any snow from 18-21Z or so won't do a whole lot but not sure it matters a ton as 22-02 was probably when the meaningful rates were coming anyway Expand Yeah and fwiw the nam seemed to delay the onset slightly so most accumulations are after 4 or 5 anyway so hopefully we don't waste much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I think this is a 6 inch storm around the 287 corridor I think you guys are hung up on last minute model differences nothing has fundamentally changed. Temperatures around 40 crashing down with precipitation moving in. Urban areas do worse with that situation but they’re still gonna get accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Few flurries have begun in Vernon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:39 PM, the_other_guy said: I think this is a 6 inch storm around the 287 corridor I think you guys are hung up on last minute model differences Expand RAPs been super consistent and may be picking up on the thermal gradient in “real Time”. As some have mentioned, temps a little higher than progged so will take longer to lay in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:42 PM, BoulderWX said: RAPs been super consistent and may be picking up on the thermal gradient in “real Time”. As some have mentioned, temps a little higher than progged so will take longer to lay in some places. Expand I don’t know about higher then progged I am at 32 still and it’s mostly overcast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Temp is 30 w/ overcast skies expecting 4-6” up this way. Less than what was Initally expected due to lower precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:22 PM, Rjay said: Let me see what I can do Expand Seems like logging in gave me the ability to choose to continue with the browser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 2:44 PM, allgame830 said: I don’t know about higher then progged I am at 32 still and it’s mostly overcast now. Expand Not for all but many. RAPs not alone either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Couple flurries starting to fly. 30.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Ironically the barrier island is running about 2-3 degrees colder than the mainland by me. Looks like temps have plateaued here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Haha the rgem never mention that model again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:06 PM, Allsnow said: Haha the rgem never mention that model again Expand but but it was so consistent!!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Wind has now shifted to the north, down 2 in the past hour. Currently 34F here in HPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:06 PM, Allsnow said: Haha the rgem never mention that model again Expand Seems consistent with nam/hrrr with totals limited 3-4 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:17 PM, winterwarlock said: Seems consistent with nam/hrrr with totals limited 3-4 inches Expand You have totally missed the point where was is when you were holding on to it when it showed rain? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:20 PM, Allsnow said: You have totally missed the point where was is when you were holding on to it when it showed rain? Expand Every model out there has been wrong and late to the party at some point so its not alone But lets see if its right currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/16/2025 at 5:34 PM, winterwarlock said: that is what I am wondering...yeah its ticking west but what if it keeps ticking west Expand 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:22 PM, winterwarlock said: Every model out there has been wrong and late to the party at some point so its not alone But lets see if its right currently Expand We’ll have a better handle on this in about 12 hours and then we could take victory laps or point fingers. Let’s watch the game before we crow over the score 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:24 PM, Allsnow said: Expand Odd flex ? I can bring up posts from the past few weeks from you too thst were horribly wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 On 1/19/2025 at 3:26 PM, winterwarlock said: Odd flex ? I can bring up posts from the past few weeks from you too thst were horribly wrong Expand The point wasn’t to prove how inaccurate you are as a poster. It was to remind you how bad the rgem was with this system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 First flakes here. 34/30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Started as rain in DC area but should turn over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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