the_other_guy Posted Sunday at 01:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:00 PM it looks like we had some freezing rain last night. car is coated in ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Sunday at 01:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:02 PM Just now, the_other_guy said: it looks like we had some freezing rain last night. car is coated in ice Was the dampness in the air from the rain that went through earlier in the day then temps dropped so it all froze. My job was a skating rink in mahwah, nj. Like crystals shining everywhere from the lights. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Sunday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:10 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Sunday at 01:23 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:23 PM Sunshine gone, low level clouds moved in from the NNE. Looking forward to this snow. Got the snow blower started for first time in 2 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted Sunday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:28 PM Temp has been slowly dropping. Fell 2.4° since 6am. Down to 30.0° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted Sunday at 01:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:29 PM 28 minutes ago, CentralNJSnowman said: Problem is on both Safari and Chrome I can see the option to 'Continue on Safari' or 'Continue on Chrome'...but it's always partially covered by an ad, so there's no way to click it (and no obvious way to close the ad). If I refresh page the link to login works , logging in is the key 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 01:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:31 PM 19 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Temps are still supposed to climb thru 1pm before the front hopefully passes through just ahead of the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted Sunday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:33 PM Light snow is now rapidly breaking out across south central PA. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Sunday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:34 PM 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Temps are still supposed to climb thru 1pm before the front hopefully passes through just ahead of the snow You worry too much 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 01:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:36 PM Just now, Allsnow said: You worry too much Lol I'm not worried...well not much 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Sunday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:45 PM The 3-5" locally 6" the NWS has is probably the right call. Models for the most part backed off a bit from 0z and don't have that consolidated CCB look, and HRRR/RAP are pretty dry in general. We'll see if they moisten back up as the storm comes in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:46 PM Just now, jm1220 said: The 3-5" locally 6" the NWS has is probably the right call. Models for the most part backed off a bit from 0z and don't have that consolidated CCB look, and HRRR/RAP are pretty dry in general. We'll see if they moisten back up as the storm comes in. This is when the hrrr seems to have the most trouble lately. When the event is almost underway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted Sunday at 01:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:48 PM Temps are progged to be above freezing here (HPN) till later this afternoon. Local radio met here thinking along the lines anywhere btwn 2-4 inches, before it tapers off by midnite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Sunday at 01:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:50 PM I'm wondering along the coast how much QPF will be spent cooling the column down for snow to stick as well. It will warm up above freezing before the precip moves in. Inland might end up the best spot to be after all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Sunday at 01:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:54 PM 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I'm wondering along the coast how much QPF will be spent cooling the column down for snow to stick as well. It will warm up above freezing before the precip moves in. Inland might end up the best spot to be after all. it's also bright and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Sunday at 01:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:54 PM 5 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said: Temps are progged to be above freezing here (HPN) till later this afternoon. Local radio met here thinking along the lines anywhere btwn 2-4 inches, before it tapers off by midnite. I dunno. I’m below freezing now myself. I think we do better than 4, but whatever it is I’m thrilled. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 01:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:57 PM 3knam looks nice. Quite a bit wetter than the regular nam 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted Sunday at 01:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:57 PM 27 minutes ago, Breene said: If I refresh page the link to login works , logging in is the key I ended up just downloading taptalk last year it is really annoying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Sunday at 02:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:01 PM 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 3knam looks nice. Quite a bit wetter than the regular nam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Sunday at 02:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:01 PM Snowfall totals are expected to be 6-8 inches for the warning areas, which has been expanded to include Northern New London County in CT and Eastern Bergen County in NJ. Snowfall totals have been slightly increased along the entire coastal CWA. The NYC metro will likely see anywhere from 4-6 inches, with Long Island and coastal CT expecting 3-5 inches. It remains very possible that any coastal area in the advisory see locally up to 6 inches of snow, and/or a subsequent upgrade to a warning, especially if the 12Z guidance continues a SE trend in the low track. This will also likely depend on how much initial mixing of rain occurs and the development of any heavy snow banding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Sunday at 02:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:01 PM This model is erratic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Sunday at 02:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:03 PM 3 minutes ago, nightknights said: I ended up just downloading taptalk last year it is really annoying App sucks. Use it on my phone because the website on Chrome has pop-ups covering everything. Ads everywhere on Tapatalk too and the scrolling is terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Sunday at 02:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:05 PM 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 3knam looks nice. Probably the best looking IMBY of all the guidance. It'll really be a nowcast to see where banding sets up. Since the moisture here is limited there could be a Swiss cheese quality to the snow amounts where the banding areas do well and outside there's subsidence holes. It might fill in somewhat at the coast is more moisture gets involved. But this isn't really one of your more dynamic setups, it's a quickly moving wave along the Arctic front. The storm's speed doesn't help building large amounts either, it's in/out in 6 hours. If your expectation is the 3-5" locally 6" you'll probably be good. If it's for higher warning amounts you might be disappointed. Inland like I said last night might compensate with higher ratios. Hoping temps don't spike too much this afternoon so we waste less on cooling the column. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Probably the best looking IMBY of all the guidance. It'll really be a nowcast to see where banding sets up. Since the moisture here is limited there could be a Swiss cheese quality to the snow amounts where the banding areas do well and outside there's subsidence holes. It might fill in somewhat at the coast is more moisture gets involved. But this isn't really one of your more dynamic setups, it's a quickly moving wave along the Arctic front. The storm's speed doesn't help building large amounts either, it's in/out in 6 hours. If your expectation is the 3-5" locally 6" you'll probably be good. If it's for higher warning amounts you might be disappointed. Inland like I said last night might compensate with higher ratios. Hoping temps don't spike too much this afternoon so we waste less on cooling the column. Yep that's why I'm telling people 3 to 4 unless we get into some heavy banding. I'm hoping for at least 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted Sunday at 02:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:09 PM Latest Hrrr and nam really dont matchup with the aggressive NWS forecast map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted Sunday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:13 PM 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Probably the best looking IMBY of all the guidance. It'll really be a nowcast to see where banding sets up. Since the moisture here is limited there could be a Swiss cheese quality to the snow amounts where the banding areas do well and outside there's subsidence holes. It might fill in somewhat at the coast is more moisture gets involved. But this isn't really one of your more dynamic setups, it's a quickly moving wave along the Arctic front. The storm's speed doesn't help building large amounts either, it's in/out in 6 hours. If your expectation is the 3-5" locally 6" you'll probably be good. If it's for higher warning amounts you might be disappointed. Inland like I said last night might compensate with higher ratios. Hoping temps don't spike too much this afternoon so we waste less on cooling the column. It’s 32 here in Hawthorne NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Sunday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:15 PM The HRRR can suck on systems like this where its organizing/developing very late and in close proximity to an area. I'd still stick with there being risk of more 5s and 6s vs 3s and 4s 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Sunday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:15 PM Just now, allgame830 said: It’s 32 here in Hawthorne NY. My concern for temps is along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM Temps slowly climbing but dews holding steady, if not falling slightly. 35/29. Think the Arctic front is pushing offshore now as there's a noticable wind shift out of the NW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM 1 hour ago, the_other_guy said: it looks like we had some freezing rain last night. car is coated in ice Freezing fog here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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