MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nam is way offshore now like the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Nam is way offshore now like the euro Nice recovery at hour 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Good to see the NAM coming in colder. Hopefully RGEM will start correcting tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 High res NAM looks better than 12K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Euro ftw? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Allsnow said: Euro ftw? Imagine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro ftw? NAM 3km nice and cold with a nice 3 to 4 inch snowfall. Euro and UKMET have been locked in with this type of solution too. I think this outcome is most likely. GFS is probably overdone and RGEM is off its rocker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, winterwx21 said: NAM 3km nice and cold with a nice 3 to 4 inch snowfall. Euro and UKMET have been locked in with this type of solution too. I think this outcome is most likely. GFS is probably overdone and RGEM is off its rocker. Agreed. Too many worried about a short range model that is always amped and wrong with qpf 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: NAM 3km nice and cold with a nice 3 to 4 inch snowfall. Euro and UKMET have been locked in with this type of solution too. I think this outcome is most likely. GFS is probably overdone and RGEM is off its rocker. Watch the rgem go further amped at 0z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: NAM 3km nice and cold with a nice 3 to 4 inch snowfall. Euro and UKMET have been locked in with this type of solution too. I think this outcome is most likely. GFS is probably overdone and RGEM is off its rocker. I doubt it. NWS wouldn't be putting up WSW N and W for 6-10 inches. Don't be fooled by the crappy nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I doubt it. NWS wouldn't be putting up WSW N and W for 6-10 inches. Don't be fooled by the crappy nam. Rgem and cmc are outliers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: NAM 3km nice and cold with a nice 3 to 4 inch snowfall. Euro and UKMET have been locked in with this type of solution too. I think this outcome is most likely. GFS is probably overdone and RGEM is off its rocker. Regular nam 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I doubt it. NWS wouldn't be putting up WSW N and W for 6-10 inches. Don't be fooled by the crappy nam. Not just the NAM. Euro and UKMET have been showing this type of solution too. Still a ways to go though ... obviously nothing is for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, MJO812 said: Rgem and cmc are outliers I'll take a combo of Icon/CMC/RGEM/GFS over Euro/Ukie/Nam 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Regular nam Hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Regular nam Probably just downslope shadowing from the 14,000 foot peaks of the Morris county mountains. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Regular nam 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I'll take a combo of Icon/CMC/RGEM/GFS over Euro/Ukie/Nam I'll take the #1 model, the #2 model and the model with end stage liver failure over the icon/canadian/gfs combo. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 12 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I'll take a combo of Icon/CMC/RGEM/GFS over Euro/Ukie/Nam The GFS is not in the RGEM camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM (I know) looks like a 3-6” type event for everyone. Sign the dotted line. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, psv88 said: The GFS is not in the RGEM camp The answer is somewhere in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Icon will be further southeast this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Hgts lower on the rgem out to 23 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Icon will be further southeast this run Icon 3-6 for the area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Hgts lower on the rgem out to 23 hours Further East but still issues for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Further East but still issues for the coast. Yep tik tik Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Further East but still issues for the coast. It's slowly coming around 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Yep tik tik It’s still pretty awful for the coast. I would have expected more of a cave job but didn’t get it that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 RGEM looks maybe slightly better but definitely still favors inland. Low still tracks over I-95 which is all rain east of there. I don’t expect it to make big moves in one run, don’t think I’ve ever seen that. Icon went maybe 30-50 miles SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Allsnow said: It’s still pretty awful for the coast. I would have expected more of a cave job but didn’t get it that run Yep same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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