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Discussion-OBS slippery plowable moderate to high impact snowstorm with many delays near I95 and inland btwn 10AM Sun 1/19-4AM Mon Jan 20. R/S line uncertain near and east of I95 - parts of LI may be limited snowfall of around 1"?


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3 minutes ago, snywx said:

They failed miserably for the interior. GFS wasn’t too bad but overall in terms of amounts for our area, Canadians won 

Canadian sort of got it right for the wrong reason.  The low didn’t track anywhere near that far west  

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between 3.5 and 4 and its all but over here.....more in line with what I thought then the higher totals mt holly put me, trenton down to philly were overdone and they should have known that at 3pm with how the short term models were putting out 2-4...hrrr was pretty good with this at least for my area which i think did better than some others because of some initial good bandings...had maybe a 2 and half hour period of inch an hour

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The usual 700mb fronto/convergence band with high ratios set up inland, so even with maybe less liquid those areas will still do better than down here. There's almost always that far NW band that develops and nails someone. Unfortunately it seemed to cause subsidence SE of it and this storm just isn't that organized with a good transport of Atlantic moisture. We have a nice few hours but a better developed CCB would've been much better for everyone. Last night hinted at it possibly then this AM that hope fell apart. But of course it's better than the washout the Canadian had for 2-3 days. 

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Just now, jm1220 said:

The usual 700mb fronto/convergence band with high ratios set up inland, so even with maybe less liquid those areas will still do better than down here. There's almost always that far NW band that develops and nails someone. Unfortunately it seemed to cause subsidence SE of it and this storm just isn't that organized with a good transport of Atlantic moisture. We have a nice few hours but a better developed CCB would've been much better for everyone. Last night hinted at it possibly then this AM that hope fell apart. But of course it's better than the washout the Canadian had for 2-3 days. 

And this will be the first time in quite a while where cold air will set up shop behind a storm so it'll stick around all week

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41 minutes ago, Snowshack said:

You're doing really well --- only about 1/2" here to your east.   Havent had the grass fully covered yet this year - if we get there by the time this ends I'll take it as a win!

Yea longitude was not your friend this time. Models showed the central Suffolk cutoff well 

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

3 inches here. The band has another 30 left and then light snow so we will get to 4. 
 

29 now

It'll be close but I think we make it to 4". Hopefully a couple more moderate bursts and improving ratios. This will definitely stick around-it's going to freeze into a brick. 

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3 hours ago, RU848789 said:

As of 7:45 pm, we have 2.75" OTG at 30F, for 1"/hr the past hour and it's still heavy snow and is definitely higher ratio snow than earlier, as it's drier and has better formed dendrites, so I think we're going to get to 3.5-4.0" assuming we get another hour or so of decent snowfall.  Just wish we didn't miss so much earlier today and for about 20 minutes about 90 minutes ago when we were in a bit of a snow hole with light to moderate snow when everyone around us had heavy echoes. It happens.  

As of 8:45 pm we have 3.3" OTG at 28F, as temps are starting to drop more quickly. That's about 0.6" the last hour, as intensity wasn't as consistently high. Guessing we have another 20 min of moderate/heavy snow, then maybe another 30 min of light/moderate snow after that, so thinking we'll get to 3.7-3.8". Still a cool storm and we're going to have this snow around for a couple of weeks, which is nice (for me).

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1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

As of 8:45 pm we have 3.4" OTG at 28F, as temps are starting to drop more quickly. That's about 0.6" the last hour, as intensity wasn't as consistently high. Guessing we have another 20 min of moderate/heavy snow, then maybe another 30 min of light/moderate snow after that, so thinking we'll get to 3.7-3.8". Still a cool storm and we're going to have this snow around for a couple of weeks, which is nice (for me).

As I live and breathe…

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15 minutes ago, psv88 said:

3 inches here. The band has another 30 left and then light snow so we will get to 4. 
 

29 now

Finally hit 32. Have over a bit over 2" and snowing moderately.  Prob end up around or a bit over 3" here.

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1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Finally hit 32. Have over a bit over 2" and snowing moderately.  Prob end up around or a bit over 3" here.

I think eastern Suffolk ends up ok. Alot of snow moving off the ocean for them. Glad you got some as well. 
 

fuck the RGEM

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