JetsPens87 Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM Good luck all Total accums ceiling step back slightly but general 2 to 5 across the board with 6 plus (if it's gonna be anywhere) NWNJ into New England. Fast moving storm. Banding dependent. Think highest accums will follow where initial axis of snow is setting up now. Possible second maxima S and E of 95 with coastal development. Screw area if any could be along and just NW of 95 (still 2 to 3) with squeeze in between initial finger and coastal banding later. Models playing around with this and that's a nowcast but just alerting. 9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM 14 minutes ago, TJW014 said: App sucks. Use it on my phone because the website on Chrome has pop-ups covering everything. Ads everywhere on Tapatalk too and the scrolling is terrible. You should use a pop up blocker I don't get any popups at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 02:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:20 PM 1 minute ago, JetsPens87 said: Good luck all Total accums ceiling step back slightly but general 2 to 5 across the board with 6 plus (if it's gonna be anywhere) NWNJ into New England. Fast moving storm. Banding dependent. Think highest accums will follow where initial axis of snow is setting up now. Possible second maxima S and E of 95 with coastal development. Screw area if any could be along and just NW of 95 (still 2 to 3) with squeeze in between initial finger and coastal banding later. Models playing around with this and that's a nowcast but just alerting. Yeah I'm not sure why I see some saying the 95 area will be the jackpot. It's always north and west and then further east with these types of setups. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Sunday at 02:22 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:22 PM 1 hour ago, CentralNJSnowman said: Problem is on both Safari and Chrome I can see the option to 'Continue on Safari' or 'Continue on Chrome'...but it's always partially covered by an ad, so there's no way to click it (and no obvious way to close the ad). Let me see what I can do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted Sunday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:24 PM Brilliant sunshine and 37F 30 miles inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Sunday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:26 PM Have you seen the way people drive anymore? Anything is a state of emergency these days. Stopped into a Wegman's ( a store I don't like by the way; overpriced, always low stock ) and the milks shelves were bare; worse, you could see stacks of it in storage but they wouldn't put it out because it was after 9 pm.I love Wegmans. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Sunday at 02:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:27 PM The main problem I see now is DPs/Ts higher than modeled. for example LGA 40/30, both NAM/GFS had 36/27 or so. It may mean any snow from 18-21Z or so won't do a whole lot but not sure it matters a ton as 22-02 was probably when the meaningful rates were coming anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Sunday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:28 PM Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless.I treat myself every November to the half price ($5) ad free version of this app so I can read all of the very stable, very emotionally regulated thoughts of this wretched hive of scum and villainy.. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 02:33 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:33 PM 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The main problem I see now is DPs/Ts higher than modeled. for example LGA 40/30, both NAM/GFS had 36/27 or so. It may mean any snow from 18-21Z or so won't do a whole lot but not sure it matters a ton as 22-02 was probably when the meaningful rates were coming anyway Yeah and fwiw the nam seemed to delay the onset slightly so most accumulations are after 4 or 5 anyway so hopefully we don't waste much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted Sunday at 02:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:39 PM I think this is a 6 inch storm around the 287 corridor I think you guys are hung up on last minute model differences nothing has fundamentally changed. Temperatures around 40 crashing down with precipitation moving in. Urban areas do worse with that situation but they’re still gonna get accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted Sunday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:41 PM Few flurries have begun in Vernon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted Sunday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:42 PM 2 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: I think this is a 6 inch storm around the 287 corridor I think you guys are hung up on last minute model differences RAPs been super consistent and may be picking up on the thermal gradient in “real Time”. As some have mentioned, temps a little higher than progged so will take longer to lay in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM Just now, BoulderWX said: RAPs been super consistent and may be picking up on the thermal gradient in “real Time”. As some have mentioned, temps a little higher than progged so will take longer to lay in some places. I don’t know about higher then progged I am at 32 still and it’s mostly overcast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted Sunday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:50 PM Temp is 30 w/ overcast skies expecting 4-6” up this way. Less than what was Initally expected due to lower precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM 33 minutes ago, Rjay said: Let me see what I can do Seems like logging in gave me the ability to choose to continue with the browser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted Sunday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:58 PM 13 minutes ago, allgame830 said: I don’t know about higher then progged I am at 32 still and it’s mostly overcast now. Not for all but many. RAPs not alone either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted Sunday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:00 PM Couple flurries starting to fly. 30.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Sunday at 03:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:05 PM Ironically the barrier island is running about 2-3 degrees colder than the mainland by me. Looks like temps have plateaued here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Sunday at 03:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:06 PM Haha the rgem never mention that model again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Sunday at 03:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:10 PM 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Haha the rgem never mention that model again but but it was so consistent!!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted Sunday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:15 PM Wind has now shifted to the north, down 2 in the past hour. Currently 34F here in HPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted Sunday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:17 PM 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Haha the rgem never mention that model again Seems consistent with nam/hrrr with totals limited 3-4 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Sunday at 03:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:20 PM 2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Seems consistent with nam/hrrr with totals limited 3-4 inches You have totally missed the point where was is when you were holding on to it when it showed rain? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted Sunday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:22 PM 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: You have totally missed the point where was is when you were holding on to it when it showed rain? Every model out there has been wrong and late to the party at some point so its not alone But lets see if its right currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Sunday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:24 PM On 1/16/2025 at 12:34 PM, winterwarlock said: that is what I am wondering...yeah its ticking west but what if it keeps ticking west 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted Sunday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:26 PM 3 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Every model out there has been wrong and late to the party at some point so its not alone But lets see if its right currently We’ll have a better handle on this in about 12 hours and then we could take victory laps or point fingers. Let’s watch the game before we crow over the score 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted Sunday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:26 PM 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Odd flex ? I can bring up posts from the past few weeks from you too thst were horribly wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Sunday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:28 PM Just now, winterwarlock said: Odd flex ? I can bring up posts from the past few weeks from you too thst were horribly wrong The point wasn’t to prove how inaccurate you are as a poster. It was to remind you how bad the rgem was with this system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted Sunday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:31 PM First flakes here. 34/30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted Sunday at 03:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:34 PM Started as rain in DC area but should turn over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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