nycwinter Posted Sunday at 11:41 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:41 AM 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, thats why I see more and more people with those little booties for their dogs. i try and avoid walking on sidewalks with rock salt it is bad for your shoes and your floors.. i can understand why people use it if it is going to snow.. but to put it out when there is no precip just because temps are below freezing is nonsense.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted Sunday at 11:41 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:41 AM A fast moving low pressure system also reduces the snowfall totals. Enjoy whatever snowfall you receive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Sunday at 11:46 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:46 AM The Euro is actually a little further west than the CMC at 0z. The CMC has 6”+ and Euro 4”+ jackpot along those favored North Shore areas in Northern Nassau and NW Suffolk. The SPC HREF has a 6”+ potential in these areas also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted Sunday at 12:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:03 PM 6 hours ago, NEG NAO said: I mentioned this earlier BUT someone please explain why Western Union County has Winter Storm Warnings in effect for 4-6 inches total and Eastern Union only has Winter Weather Advisory in effect for 4 -6 inches total ???? ZFP from KOKX At one point, there was a sharp cutoff line running right through Union County. NWS is a little delayed with every tiny twist and turn. The forecasts on the previous small events gave been pretty accurate this season, but I'm a little skeptical on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted Sunday at 12:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:07 PM 5 hours ago, NEG NAO said: looking at the radars right now - the western side of this setup modeled in west VA and Kentucky is not developing - one would not think a storm is less then 12 hours away from start time here....... We have seen it before when a storm develops later than progged... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Sunday at 12:22 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:22 PM 35 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro is actually a little further west than the CMC at 0z. The CMC has 6”+ and Euro 4”+ jackpot along those favored North Shore areas in Northern Nassau and NW Suffolk. The SPC HREF has a 6”+ potential in these areas also. Post the latest RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Sunday at 12:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:24 PM 8 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: I think one will end up south. Monmouth county surprise jackpot over to Suffolk as the low pulls away Hah, we already know where that will be should it set up; I'd guess around northern Middlesex Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Sunday at 12:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:27 PM 7 hours ago, nightknights said: Or why is there a state of emergency for a minor snow event Have you seen the way people drive anymore? Anything is a state of emergency these days. Stopped into a Wegman's ( a store I don't like by the way; overpriced, always low stock ) and the milks shelves were bare; worse, you could see stacks of it in storage but they wouldn't put it out because it was after 9 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Sunday at 12:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:29 PM 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Post the latest RGEM Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Sunday at 12:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:29 PM 21 minutes ago, Dark Star said: We have seen it before when a storm develops later than progged... " it will come down to nowcasting" I joked several days ago.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Sunday at 12:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:31 PM Just now, bluewave said: Why? It’s now the snowiest meso for city east. After showing 0 run after run. Thought you might find that interesting 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Sunday at 12:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:32 PM 6 hours ago, RU848789 said: Just for giggles, given the increase in snowfall for many models, as well as the broader coverage with more snow and less rain from 95 SE to the coast (at least north of Toms River), I'm expecting the NWS to continue increasing snowfall totals. I'd go for 4-6" within 10-20 miles of 95 from Philly to NYC and for Monmouth County N of 195, with 2-4" for almost all of the rest of NJ, except maybe 1-2" for most of Cape May County and the NJ coast up to LBI. I would also keep the 6-8"+ area NW of 95, but probably move the 6" line SE 10-15 miles to maybe West Chester to New Hope to White Plains and I would have all of LI at 4-6", except eastern Suffolk at 3-4". My guess is that this would mean warnings for the 95-adjacent counties from Philly/SNJ up through NYC and probably advisories for Mommouth, Ocean, SE Burlco and maybe Cumberland, but not Atlantic/Cape May; guessing LI might be 4-6" advisories but not warnings, but close call (like for Middlesex/Mercer, where warning criterion is 6" vs. 4" for counties south of 276/195, so the warnings would make sense for SEPA/SNJ. Been wrong before on guessing NWS moves before, but I find it fun to guess. Didn't notice anyone having posted the NWS maps, so posting them below along with the map of warnings/advisories. Didn't do too badly last night, especially with the prediction on the NWS increasing snowfall amounts at 4 am. Have fun kids - and make sure you shovel by the end of the storm if you get wetter/slushier snow, because that stuff will freeze solid overnight and will be there all week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Sunday at 12:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:32 PM Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Sunday at 12:33 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:33 PM 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: It’s now the snowiest meso for city east. After showing 0 run after run. Thought you might find that interesting The RGEM usually moves in step with what the GEM global does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Sunday at 12:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:34 PM 32/30 now. Not really expecting much on the ground until 6/7 pm. Hoping everyone enjoys today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Sunday at 12:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:36 PM 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: Didn't notice anyone having posted the NWS maps, so posting them below along with the map of warnings/advisories. Didn't do too badly last night, especially with the prediction on the NWS increasing snowfall amounts at 4 am. Have fun kids - and make sure you shovel by the end of the storm if you get wetter/slushier snow, because that stuff will freeze solid overnight and will be there all week. Thanks for posting. Seems to be tak of lesser amounts today but I don't see a real change. looks like a typical snow event to me. Someone is bound to get a little more or less. But I think around 4-5 is a good call. Someone I saw somewhere had a graphic from the midwest; storms are categorized as to how many milks, breads, or eggs you need to hoard... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted Sunday at 12:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:36 PM 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless. Same problem for me. It's horrible and I haven't been able to solve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted Sunday at 12:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:37 PM 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless. Using chrome browser on iPhone I get the annoying pop up but it has option to “continue on chrome “ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted Sunday at 12:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:41 PM 6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless. When you sign in ignore tapatalk and continue on safari, if your on an iPhone, you won't get it anymore. It drove me nuts for a month until I finally realized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Sunday at 12:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:42 PM so expect 0-8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Sunday at 12:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:43 PM 5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Thanks for posting. Seems to be tak of lesser amounts today but I don't see a real change. looks like a typical snow event to me. Someone is bound to get a little more or less. But I think around 4-5 is a good call. Someone I saw somewhere had a graphic from the midwest; storms are categorized as to how many milks, breads, or eggs you need to hoard... Some 6Z models backed off on precip/snow, but not the Euro/GFS, at least, and many forecasters rely on those two...also could just be a blip, so would imagine no forecast changes at this late point unless some big changes at 12Z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Sunday at 12:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:44 PM Final call: No changes from yesterday afternoon to my map. I'm not buying into the NAM/GFS/HRRR hype, but think it's worth taking note of them being solutions if we have an all-snow event. Otherwise, it's a plowable snow for all that will be sticking around for a long time given the bitter cold arriving. Worth noting there may be a screw zone somewhere on either side of I-95 due to subsidence between heavier bands. Likewise, anyone sitting under these heavy bands could pick up an extra inch or two if they remain stationary. Coastal areas will likely still have mixing issues at onset. Enjoy everyone! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted Sunday at 12:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:45 PM 2 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: When you sign in ignore tapatalk and continue on safari, if your on an iPhone, you won't get it anymore. It drove me nuts for a month until I finally realized. Problem is on both Safari and Chrome I can see the option to 'Continue on Safari' or 'Continue on Chrome'...but it's always partially covered by an ad, so there's no way to click it (and no obvious way to close the ad). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Sunday at 12:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:47 PM Crystal clear skies with a bright sunrise this morning. Icy pavements finally melting a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Sunday at 12:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:48 PM 4 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Final call: No changes from yesterday afternoon to my map. I'm not buying into the NAM/GFS/HRRR hype, but think it's worth taking note of them being solutions if we have an all-snow event. Otherwise, it's a plowable snow for all that will be sticking around for a long time given the bitter cold arriving. Worth noting there may be a screw zone somewhere on either side of I-95 due to subsidence between heavier bands. Likewise, anyone sitting under these heavy bands could pick up an extra inch or two if they remain stationary. Coastal areas will likely still have mixing issues at onset. Enjoy everyone! great map imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM HRRR & RAP, both in their longer range, are honing in on the best shows setting up in PA. Something to watch over the next several cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM first plowable to potentially significant event for most on here in a while. excited! could see some nice rates this evening 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM 1 minute ago, steve392 said: Crystal clear skies with a bright sunrise this morning. Icy pavements finally melting a bit. Leaving work this morning I nearly busted my arse with the moisture on the ground, I didn’t think it was icy, but sure enough it was. I also said “wow” you wouldn’t think a snowstorm was coming with the crystal clear skies and the sunrise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Sunday at 12:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:54 PM Everything covered in ice. Temps exactly where forecasted. Everything on track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Sunday at 12:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:55 PM Keep in mind ratios should increase eventually as storm gets going. A lot of the models are based on the standard 10:1 but temps will be dropping as CAA gets underway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now