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Discussion-OBS slippery plowable moderate to high impact snowstorm with many delays near I95 and inland btwn 10AM Sun 1/19-4AM Mon Jan 20. R/S line uncertain near and east of I95 - parts of LI may be limited snowfall of around 1"?


wdrag
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4 minutes ago, Metasequoia said:

Well... maybe the average of all the weather models of days past will be the right answer. 

That was the case with this event. Euro came over 500 miles NW along with the GFS. Plus the RGEM shifted about 50-100 miles east. 

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37 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

And with perhaps some more snow opportunities in the next week or two. Kind of like a mini '13-'14 stretch, one of my favorite all time winters.

This is basically how I’ve been thinking about the pattern for the past few days.  Hopefully it sticks around a bit into Feb before we are probably done outside of some lucky Niña March slop.

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22 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Those models are typically too wet with qpf so it’s not shocking 

 

too many weenies bought into the rgem fantasy 

All the mesos except for the NAM lol it wants no part of this storm, never has

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1 minute ago, guinness77 said:

We’ve gone from getting at least one snow storm a cold month, in the past, to, understandably, frothing at the mouth for a 6-inch event, lol 

Before our bonanza period 2000-2018, starving for this kind of moderate storm was the norm.

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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Before our bonanza period 2000-2018, starving for this kind of moderate storm was the norm.

I remember feeling like there’d be snow on the ground from around Christmas to early March every year. The last couple of years have definitely been a huge disappointment in terms of snow. 

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