HeadInTheClouds Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Ukie is 3 to 5 At 10:1. Ratios will be higher especially N and W. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 1 minute ago, HeadInTheClouds said: At 10:1. Ratios will be higher especially N and W. Probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Euro came west. Nice storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago GEPS looks nice. the OP is on the NW envelops of the ENS... most members are SE 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago EPS looks good too. sharper vort with more precip. snowiest run yet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago NWS discussion has me at 3”-5” with 12:1 ratio with 15/20:1 further North. Any subtle shift to the West will increase totals. Sounds good to me. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 14 hours ago Author Share Posted 14 hours ago NWS ensemble probabilities issued this morning for various minimum thresholds of snow. These are pretty high for D3. I hope this works out ok. Much of eastern LI might be suppressed to an inch or so by rain and milder temps. You'll know better. Am off-line much of the next 3 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 3 minutes ago, wdrag said: NWS ensemble probabilities issued this morning for various minimum thresholds of snow. These are pretty high for D3. I hope this works out ok. Much of eastern LI might be suppressed to an inch or so by rain and milder temps. You'll know better. Am off-line much of the next 3 days. Thanks Walt. I like where this is heading / trending. Especially for our part of the sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Rgem more east, less amped which is good. Nam trending more favorably. GFS more amped. Euro still the weaker/less amped solution but everything is trending in a positive direction. Good chance many places see 2-5" with NW burbs seeing 4-8" or better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Rgem definitely not as amped Hopefully moving to a consensus today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 4-8” lala lock it up, less southeast of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWR757 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago The warm air at the beginning of the event should receive the attention it deserves, even inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 06z euro still east area wide 2-4 with more for LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 6z Euro AI 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago 1 hour ago, MANDA said: Thanks Walt. I like where this is heading / trending. Especially for our part of the sub forum. You're very welcome as all. We're going to have to see the NAM get on board... this is bothersome for me. 06z EC not as robust as I expected but nonetheless... CP west-north is in the game. Make it happen NY... I don't want 40 pages of 1/2" in CP. It's been the usual interest for tracking Lets do a better than an inch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Tough call where I am. RGEM looks a little better but verbatim still a washout, GFS at 6z definitely got more amped to the point that just SE of me doesn’t get much. Euro still better but generally weaker. The best zone looks to be 30-50 miles west and north of the city, here I’m definitely sweating but hopefully can get a few inches. Hopefully we see a consensus just a little less amped like the last few GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Kissing the taint . 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 9 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Tough call where I am. RGEM looks a little better but verbatim still a washout, GFS at 6z definitely got more amped to the point that just SE of me doesn’t get much. Euro still better but generally weaker. The best zone looks to be 30-50 miles west and north of the city, here I’m definitely sweating but hopefully can get a few inches. Hopefully we see a consensus just a little less amped like the last few GFS runs. So you’re liking the 287 to 84 corridor for the best snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 2 hours ago, wishcast_hater said: NWS discussion has me at 3”-5” with 12:1 ratio with 15/20:1 further North. Any subtle shift to the West will increase totals. Sounds good to me. . The GGEM/RGEM would be amazing up here! 8-10” 6z GFS did move its highest amounts NW. a nice 4-8” snowfall would be great for all the weenies in this subforum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 5 minutes ago, allgame830 said: So you’re liking the 287 to 84 corridor for the best snows? Seems like all the models hit that area with at least a light to moderate event and even though the RGEM backed off slightly it wasn’t much. I’d rather be there for this than east of the city. Maybe the Euro AI can save us all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 7 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Seems like all the models hit that area with at least a light to moderate event and even though the RGEM backed off slightly it wasn’t much. I’d rather be there for this than east of the city. Maybe the Euro AI can save us all. EPS mean further east haha mean is a little over a inch for the area haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago The GGEM/RGEM would be amazing up here! 8-10” 6z GFS did move its highest amounts NW. a nice 4-8” snowfall would be great for all the weenies in this subforumA fleeting calm descends upon weeniedom . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: EPS mean further east haha mean is a little over a inch for the area haha Pretty crazy this close in. I’m sure today the models will start to converge on something. Hopefully the western models come east more. If you take a consensus of everything I should be good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Seems like all the models hit that area with at least a light to moderate event and even though the RGEM backed off slightly it wasn’t much. I’d rather be there for this than east of the city. Maybe the Euro AI can save us all. If the Euro AI is close to the final outcome that’s a major win for it. It’s been steady for days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago A 6" snowfall would be nice. That would put me at 30" for the season so far. Any more than that makes it a pain in the ass to clear the lake for hockey, and makes ice fishing harder, plus snow insulates the lake from growing ice deeper. Right now it's 8" thick. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago RGEM also ticked like 25 miles SE which is nice to see 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Still unchanged from my view of this being a rainstorm for coastal Monmouth/Ocean County + Eastern LI. Thinking the gradient line sets up along I-95/278/Belt Pkwy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 1 minute ago, TJW014 said: Still unchanged from my view of this being a rainstorm for coastal Monmouth/Ocean County + Eastern LI. Thinking the gradient line sets up along I-95/278/Belt Pkwy well, that is a very traditional New York coastal snowstorm haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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