Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,720
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Tanner Levasseur
    Newest Member
    Tanner Levasseur
    Joined

February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

20 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Is your average really only around 57"? I feel like it should be a little higher than that.

Both Brattleboro and Greenfield are subject to the usual CRV caveats. Although the Valley is much more forgiving up here it’s still presents shadowing issues, especially on easterly flow.
I can only imagine Keene NH is even a lower snow average.  They have decent latitude and longitude but are shadow hell there. Same for Bennington and North Adams.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

50-75 but nothing more narrow than thata76b91edd693aa3447f71174fc60bb3c.jpg

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk
 

That map is terrible too. No way the 495 belt is less than 50” per year. Not until you get down towards Mansfield/Norton. Not sure what the sub-50 is in SE NH too. 
 

My guess is Brattleboro is somewhere in the 60s for seasonal average in the valley there knowing what the averages are a bit further south in the CT river valley  

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

GFS OP jumped north for the weekend threat.

Yeah it’s going to flip flop a lot I think over the next 24-36 hours until we get more inside of D5-6. Note what the PV was doing that run…it wasn’t anchored in SE Canada and had some lobes rotating pretty far west helping the western shortwave partially phase and amplify rapidly. 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Could this rains to Maines? 

If you get a fairly robust partial phase this could def just slice through BUF and flood all of New England. I’m skeptical right now because the block is actually strengthening and pressing southward during this…but we’ll see. If we have a rainer on guidance still by Tuesday 12z, we’re likely cooked. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If you get a fairly robust partial phase this could def just slice through BUF and flood all of New England. I’m skeptical right now because the block is actually strengthening and pressing southward during this…but we’ll see. If we have a rainer on guidance still by Tuesday 12z, we’re likely cooked. 

Oh man. We are getting precariously close to losing the New England pack  . Please no 

  • Disagree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

We make or break this week into weekend. 

Yeah if Thursday does decent and then we pound on the weekend, we’re well on our way to making the winter respectable…pretty much guaranteed rat if we go weak sauce thursday and then weekend is an ugly rainer. 
 

I looked at all those good runs even on the euro a few days ago and the PV was much more firmly anchored in SE Canada. We need to see that trend again. Not only does it keep this south but it also produces the confluence for a solid high. Notice how on these solutions where the PV is further west, we sneak a perfectly timed low pressure up the St Lawrence valley so there’s basically zero high…it splits it in half so you have one retreating to the Flemish cap and the other stuck out in western/central Canada. 
 

PV being west of James Bay is never good when you have a western trough moving east. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...