February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[ORH_wxman]

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

December 2022.

Yeah this would obviously not be as extreme as that one…that was a much deeper phase. But same concept for sure.

But given the southeast ridge, even a small partial phase too early could screw us. Hopefully the block does its job. 

[Damage In Tolland]

18z Euro gets light snow to I-90 Tuesday night 

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

18z Euro gets light snow to I-90 Tuesday night 

Looks great 

We take that run hopefully some 00z improvement 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

18z Euro gets light snow to I-90 Tuesday night 

Ya few inches to 84 ish 

[40/70 Benchmark]

20 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I don’t think anyone in SNE wants the gradient over the pike region 

Well, okay then...take the -PNA and run.

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah this would obviously not be as extreme as that one…that was a much deeper phase. But same concept for sure.

But given the southeast ridge, even a small partial phase too early could screw us. Hopefully the block does its job. 

I'll take my chances on a net-gainer at my latitude.

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya few inches to 84 ish 

18Z RGEM too would be adv to 84

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'll take my chances on a net-gainer at my latitude.

Just as long as it’s not a larger partial phase you’d prob get a net gainer…but let’s keep that phasing idea off the table and get a true big dog. Still a long ways to go obviously on that threat. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Yup .. took one look this morning . It had the look of trending north 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yup .. took one look this morning . It had the look of trending north 

Hopefully you guys grab a couple down there. Maybe I can scrape a C-1”. Still not enthused but that was a decent jump by 18z euro. 

[CoastalWx]

Let’s get that north 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Let’s get that north 

We knew 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We knew 

We don’t know yet

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We don’t know yet

Kev knows 

[ORH_wxman]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We don’t know yet

Nobody does

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nobody does

Kevin does?

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Kevin does?

Beer knows ?

[Prismshine Productions]

My concern is the further north Tuesday gets the bitchslap effect that is going to drive for Thursday and this weekend by sending those two further north as well

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[H2Otown_WX]

16 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

My concern is the further north Tuesday gets the bitchslap effect that is going to drive for Thursday and this weekend by sending those two further north as well

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I think you should be safe at your latitude

[Prismshine Productions]

So snow this week, rain next week on the GFS

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[WinterWolf]

Really? 

[Prismshine Productions]

Really? 

Yep

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[WinterWolf]

I guess we can hope it’s wrong? 

[H2Otown_WX]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

I guess we can hope it’s wrong? 

We can? Maybe? We just don't know

[WinterWolf]

Just now, H2Otown_WX said:

We can? Maybe? We just don't know

Nope..we don’t. Look where we are now. A couple weeks ago the Euro showed 64 degrees for us at this point. Now it’s snowing..so take with a grain of salt. 

[DavisStraight]

14 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Yep

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Too early to say, take the models with a grain of salt at this point.

[H2Otown_WX]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Nope..we don’t. Look where we are now. A couple weeks ago the Euro showed 64 degrees for us at this point. Now it’s snowing..so take with a grain of salt. 

Haha, I saw you and @RUNNAWAYICEBERG battling it out in the early part of this thread. I was hospitalized 1/25-2/7 and had no phone or internet so it was interesting to see what people were thinking at the end of Jan.

[Prismshine Productions]

Haha, I saw you and [mention=1954]RUNNAWAYICEBERG[/mention] battling it out in the early part of this thread. I was hospitalized 1/25-2/7 and had no phone or internet so it was interesting to see what people were thinking at the end of Jan.

...you ok?

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[H2Otown_WX]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

...you ok?

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Yeah, doing better now thanks

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Haha, I saw you and @RUNNAWAYICEBERG battling it out in the early part of this thread. I was hospitalized 1/25-2/7 and had no phone or internet so it was interesting to see what people were thinking at the end of Jan.

 Oh dam…sincerely hoping you are ok my friend??  Yup, we did.  But it’s all good now.  I guess the colder scenario seems to be playing out. Where we go from here, I don’t know?  Get well H2O. Health is wealth.