February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[tavwtby]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Weeklies

this would get me well on my way to climo .. currently just over 20" season to date, just hoping to cash in on this pattern because we all know they are hard to come by and will change... usually change with a big one that reshuffles the deck, we're due for a big region wide MECS...

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Should we lock in an 1100 hour snow map? 

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Should we lock in an 1100 hour snow map? 

I want a snow map for December 

[dendrite]

32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Should we lock in an 1100 hour snow map? 

Only if it’s a kuchie

[ORH_wxman]

2/16 back to being a big snow hit on GFS....that one is prob gonna be all over the map for a bit.

[ineedsnow]

Gfs only out to 228 and the koochie is wild lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Gfs only out to 228 and my koochie is wild lol

 

[CoastalWx]

I’m back.

[Damage In Tolland]

The colossal meltdown worked ! Dude completely lost it this morning off an op Euro run and is back to an op GFS. You love to see it 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Mid-late month is ripe for a KU. Oozing potential. 

[dendrite]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m back.

I need to hear you scream it like this

 

[brooklynwx99]

36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

2/16 back to being a big snow hit on GFS....that one is prob gonna be all over the map for a bit.

block is really doing its dirty work here. fits the pattern honestly

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The colossal meltdown worked ! Dude completely lost it this morning off an op Euro run and is back to an op GFS. You love to see it 

No melt just pointed out issues. I’m sure 00z will show it lol.

[Torch Tiger]

I wouldn't rule out that 18z gfs type evolution the next few weeks

[ineedsnow]

koochie has 70 in southern VT and 48 here  just once I want a run like that to verify 

[RDRY]

Oh GFS, you're so naughty with your western ridges, blocking, and banana highs.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

koochie has 70 in southern VT and 48 here  just once I want a run like that to verify 

Yeah that won’t happen

[ineedsnow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah that won’t happen

not at all 

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah that won’t happen

he could easily see 40-50" 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah that won’t happen

Why not?

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

not at all 

you are higher than 1k correct?  like 1,200+?  you can hit 50" in a very short time out there in a mediocre pattern, not impossible.  but if there's no luck and timing doesn't work out, it could be ugly"" even there. 20"-30"?

[mreaves]

17 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I need to hear you scream it like this

 

They were so much better when they were still on drugs.  

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

you are higher than 1k correct?  like 1,200+?  you can hit 50" in a very short time out there in a mediocre pattern, not impossible.  but if there's no luck and timing doesn't work out, it could be ugly"" even there. 20"-30"?

1,057   just up the road a few neighborhoods are over 1200

[brooklynwx99]

I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Gfs only out to 228 and the koochie is wild lol

Pics or it didn’t happen 

[Prismshine Productions]

koochie has 70 in southern VT and 48 here  just once I want a run like that to verify 

Got me at 52

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Pics or it didn’t happen 

He still posts like it’s 2001 where it took a super computer to post images. 

[SouthCoastMA]

41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No melt just pointed out issues. I’m sure 00z will show it lol.

I basically pointed out the same thing early this morning with respect to our best shots likely not including the late week storm, per the overnight runs, but you got piggy piled.  

It would be nice if we could eek out one of those storms mid-month. One or both are still likely messy, but at least something to track.

[SouthCoastMA]

Has Kuchie ever verified in any storm???

If the 10:1 maps are cocaine, kuchie is like synthetic crack from China 

[ORH_wxman]

18z Euro looked a little thumpier for Thursday. I think that one still has some solid upside…obviously risks too as we know. But there’s some 12/16/07 possibilities there (maybe even something better if we can redevelop it quicker?)….good airmass ahead of it if the synoptics can do ok.