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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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Just now, Spanks45 said:

It's still early, but we all knew deep down yesterday was too good to be true....reality is beginning to settle in, it's just going to take others a bit longer to accept. If I could break 30" for the season it would be great. Man, even snow falling on top of snow would be nice...

That's why I said we need next week to work out. 

 

Look I get nobody wants to hear it, but it could be a regional war thing internal to New England lol.

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1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

It's still early, but we all knew deep down yesterday was too good to be true....reality is beginning to settle in, it's just going to take others a bit longer to accept. If I could break 30" for the season it would be great. Man, even snow falling on top of snow would be nice...

All the shots are still there..how they shake out is TBD.  Better than where we were..so it’s all good imo. 

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11 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Next weekend too comes close on the Euro with that high anchored over QC.

Yeah that high was in a very good climo position next weekend. Prob better climo position than Thursday. But Thursday could have some issues too after the initial snow…prob gonna be a lot of back and forth on guidance for those threats. 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Better chance of Scooter taking some time away from the board and getting himself together for a week or two than that verifying 

I'm doing the board a very good service of discussing the possibilities. This is reality. You want my gut? Tuesday maybe 1-3, Thursday a mess and next weekend a mess. Latitude favored. I see nothing wrong with that outlook and it was hinted at last night.

Sure it could trend colder, but do you want to discuss only cold and snow, or actually entertain completely valid situations.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

I'm doing the board a very good service of discussing the possibilities. This is reality. You want my gut? Tuesday maybe 1-3, Thursday a mess and next weekend a mess. Latitude favored. I see nothing wrong with that outlook and it was hinted at last night.

Sure it could trend colder, but do you want to discuss only cold and snow, or actually entertain completely valid situations.

I’m in 100% agreement with this. 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm doing the board a very good service of discussing the possibilities. This is reality. You want my gut? Tuesday maybe 1-3, Thursday a mess and next weekend a mess. Latitude favored. I see nothing wrong with that outlook and it was hinted at last night.

Sure it could trend colder, but do you want to discuss only cold and snow, or actually entertain completely valid situations.

What we really want is Scooter to be great again. That’s been missing for awhile now. 

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm doing the board a very good service of discussing the possibilities. This is reality. You want my gut? Tuesday maybe 1-3, Thursday a mess and next weekend a mess. Latitude favored. I see nothing wrong with that outlook and it was hinted at last night.

Sure it could trend colder, but do you want to discuss only cold and snow, or actually entertain completely valid situations.

Yeah, we did mention the possibility of this not being as good the eps/gefs snowfall means were indicating, but still if it does turn out this way that’s a pretty sizeable bust from cross guidance ensemble support that were all inside 10 days.

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Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yeah, we did mention the possibility of this not being as good the eps/gefs snowfall means were indicating, but still if it does turn out this way that’s a pretty sizeable bust from cross guidance ensemble support that were all inside 10 days.

the precipitation should be there. models cant resolve ptype this far out

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm doing the board a very good service of discussing the possibilities. This is reality. You want my gut? Tuesday maybe 1-3, Thursday a mess and next weekend a mess. Latitude favored. I see nothing wrong with that outlook and it was hinted at last night.

Sure it could trend colder, but do you want to discuss only cold and snow, or actually entertain completely valid situations.

The chances are there…each potential TBD.  They all won’t hit as you said before, and I agree. 

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8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What we really want is Scooter to be great again. That’s been missing for awhile now. 

Then make winter great again. I hate talking about the other side of the coin, but can’t ignore. I am hoping that what happened in the previous two systems happens again, but the systems next week are much more robust.

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