February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Things always change though so nothing more than weenie map fodder for now. 

They do..but if this was showing the exact opposite, would you be saying that it’s weenie map fodder?  If you would be, then I completely get that.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I unbuttoned, I’ll wait to unzip…

Socks are off and the watch is being put on the nightstand. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

They do..but if this was showing the exact opposite, would you be saying that it’s weenie map fodder?  If you would be, then I completely get that.  

Big warm patterns never fail. It doesn’t take much. Big snowy patterns on the other hand, are much harder to verify. It takes a lot to snow. Any tiny nuance can eff things up. 
 

That said, of course we’d rather be here. Best surface prog of individual events plus LR h5 pattern I’ve seen probably since 2015. 

[lurker]

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

lol what the fuck

[jbenedet]

The 18z nam was a lot colder for the weekend. wagon's south.

 

[TheSnowman]

So wait - I Just got back from LA.  

 

After tomorrow, There is a possible small storm this weekend, and a possible BIG one next Tuesday / Wednesday ya?    

[Typhoon Tip]

5 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

I think it kinda is melding into one on Thursday maybe..?  Long way to go on that. 

sorta yeah.  There's actually a line up on a 2 to 3 day periodicity.  It's not impossible that we're clock punching advisory and/or low end warning scenarios out there.   It's very 1994 esque pumping off an ensemble line.    

It's physically a way to exhaust an energy saturated hemisphere when the flow is too fast for big dawgs.   We could also get screwed by one or two missing, but there's 4 on in pipe line to consider so missing one meh

The one the 13th looks the most impressive at the moment (notwithstanding a 6-8" 9th) but there's another on the 11th that may slip S before, and then another that showing up out between the 15-17th.   

6th, 9th, 11th, 13th and 16th ...   Kind of unusual but like we said, we're not talking systems so big that it makes it unrealistic to turn it over quickly.    Fun pattern for winter enthusiasts...  

Ha, we pass out of the solar minimum on the 8th too LOL