CoastalWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Less risky when your snowpack is what ours will be by Monday. And with more cold looming Cutters don’t really care about pack. I’m talking more the tenor of the season. Next week craps out and then liquid risk after….keep kicking the can. I’m just putting things into perspective. If next week works out it’s a different ballgame. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Serious question. Why do do most of the METs ( at least wfsb and wvit ) always seem to use the Euro maps. They don't seem to put any Credence on the GFS. I noticed that's pretty much what they show when they show the storms coming in. I guess they still feel that the euro is the stronger and more reliable model. Just wondering everyone's thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Bad black ice last night…yikes. Had a trace of snow too. Down to 26.8°. Pack is at 9”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It doesn’t have to be big. But if that craps out and then a risk of cutting as it reshuffles after, it’s back to how great H5 looks. Just my take. No problem from me. I said 2 weeks ago when this started looking encouraging via the various methodologies ... that we are being enabled in our hiding from the truth - so to speak. 'All winter ... ' 'everything's the way it should be'. yeah, riiight. Despite anyone's personal belief, the objective reality is that CC has claimed enough of our tendency vectors, that as soon as we close down the cold source into mid latitude N/A the NE Pacific circulation mode - I even annotated charts to show, "...As long as this feature is there, winter is within reach" - it's perpetual autumn. While it is there, it is easy for people to either not be aware, forget, or just flat out deny that we blow torch ( relative to normal...) at a higher pitch than prior climate generation, and do so more and more dependably. And it shows... Those weirdly extraordinary heat bursts in February and March since the earlier 2000's, taking place regardless of antecedent established long and short telecon correlation biases, ... are a part of that. etc etc. Just as much as the "cold" January turns out to not even be appreciably below normal across the total subforum - somewhere in that reality is a cold pattern that can't quite get it done. Oblivious though... So, hey ... as long as we're dumping -25 C 850 mb plumes through NW Canada and spreading them out to 45 N, we can bury our head in the winter sand of it all, like a cat hiding their head in a brown paper bag while their tail and ass sticks out thinking that is their world and they are all safe. LOL ...seriously, my cat used to do that when it gets scared. It's pretty funny 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: Serious question. Why do do most of the METs ( at least wfsb and wvit ) always seem to use the Euro maps. They don't seem to put any Credence on the GFS. I noticed that's pretty much what they show when they show the storms coming in. I guess they still feel that the euro is the stronger and more reliable model. Just wondering everyone's thoughts? Some may use euro maps to show a storm scenario, but my guess is the actual forecast is based on some sort of blend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Serious question. Why do do most of the METs ( at least wfsb and wvit ) always seem to use the Euro maps. They don't seem to put any Credence on the GFS. I noticed that's pretty much what they show when they show the storms coming in. I guess they still feel that the euro is the stronger and more reliable model. Just wondering everyone's thoughts? It’s because of the wealth of free data ecmwf provides. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You can be “safe” and go cold/dry like much of January. Or you can play with fire and reap the rewards (or failure)…but no guts, no glory. This is as good as a pattern as we could ever hope for in a La Niña February. Now this is perspective…thanks for the reality. We gamble and take our shots..if it fails, so be it and we call it a rat. Rather have the look and shots that are lining up, than the other way around as you pointed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Right so even on that pattern if we are going playoff Aaron Judge it’s time to focus on draft season. Only time will tell if it’s Judge, or Jeter(Mr Clutch). Let’s go Derek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 10 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…and where are the trolls? Hmm. Regrouping at Greta’s house 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bad black ice last night…yikes. Had a trace of snow too. Down to 26.8°. Pack is at 9”. Just went to Walmart in Gardner. The parking lot was pure black ice.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Only time will tell if it’s Judge, or Jeter(Mr Clutch). Let’s go Derek. Let’s get a David Ortiz bloop single. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago For the record, no complaints...love the look. But we need some action I think next week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Let’s get a David Ortiz bloop single. Forget that. Let’s go this 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, ORH_wxman said: Forget that. Let’s go this LOL, yes that hopefully comes early March. Just trying to get the rally going. But maybe we HR next week? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: We patchy 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago So, everyone thinking there's still a chance. Salvage the season? Reminisce of that April 1st of yore was epic. Took a personal day off from work, telling my co-workers it was going to be a humdinger. Garden Apartment in Everett Ma. awoke to the entrance buried all in about 6hrs overnight. Being removed from New England I personally would rather have seen a storm a week to track. Interest has turned into tracking, watching events regardless of location occurrence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For the record, no complaints...love the look. But we need some action I think next week. Agreed. I’m kind of like let’s see what each one brings..looking to far ahead with potential threats can get blurry…and distort things too. But let’s get the rally going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This can’t be synoptic snow in Japan. Must be lake effect type stuff . This is wild https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886740762546581968?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886759214665576452?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This can’t be synoptic snow in Japan. Must be lake effect type stuff . This is wild https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886740762546581968?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886759214665576452?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg I don't think there's any lakes there as I believe the city's right on the ocean. I think this is more enhancement from the sea than it is from a lake, but I could be mistaken. I'm somewhat familiar with that area and landscape... I just don't recollect any big lakes close to that City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I don't think there's any lakes there as I believe the city's right on the ocean. I think this is more enhancement from the sea than it is from a lake, but I could be mistaken. I'm somewhat familiar with that area and landscape... I just don't recollect any big lakes close to that City This. This part of Japan has some of the best cold source and moisture combos in the world, save for the high peaks. We're talking Sea of Japan and Siberian cold. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This can’t be synoptic snow in Japan. Must be lake effect type stuff . This is wild https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886740762546581968?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886759214665576452?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Ocean effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 32 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I don't think there's any lakes there as I believe the city's right on the ocean. I think this is more enhancement from the sea than it is from a lake, but I could be mistaken. I'm somewhat familiar with that area and landscape... I just don't recollect any big lakes close to that City Not THAT is Circle JERK.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This can’t be synoptic snow in Japan. Must be lake effect type stuff . This is wild https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886740762546581968?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886759214665576452?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 48” in less than 12 hours is what danbury New Hampshire had in that December 2020 storm. We got most of our 28 inches in about a six hour period. I think Brian got 34 inches in the storm and Danbury is another 10 miles north if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ray can blog about the VA burial on the GFS next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Forget that. Let’s go this SWING AND A DRIVE! Lets Go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ray can blog about the VA burial on the GFS next week. GFS and CMC....honestly no bullseyes this far out, keep the storm around, but I guess suppression is a worry too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GFS and CMC....honestly no bullseyes this far out, keep the storm around, but I guess suppression is a worry too... I can see that one coming back NW... makes no sense having 2 storms before and the storm after be on a similar track and that one that far SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Was just kidding around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Was just kidding around. Get back in here and clean up your mess! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Getting gusty out there. Registered a 27.3mph gust about 15 minutes ago which is decent for here. Someones recycle bin blew by and I don't live close enough to anyone for that to be typical occurrence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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