Typhoon Tip Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean, it doesn’t take too much imagination to see how the next 15 days leaves us with 4” of snow total that was all subsequently washed away in multiple amped systems where the primary is tracking through Ottawa. My gut though (and it’s not purely gut since it’s sort of supported by guidance) is that we cash in on a couple of these…they seem to get progressively more favorable the further out in time we go too…probably because the PV is slowly being pushed southward making it harder and harder to sustain warmer solutions the deeper in time we go. I think the 6th is good for a 3-5" type deal ... I may start a thread on that this evening - it's a nice pattern entrance kind of appetizer. I also suspect there's at least snow in the air from the waa pulse tomorrow night but should be low in significance. These are all nail biter needle threaders. I know what your saying about the sinking south with the SPV but I'm also a little of leery of some of these systems falling victim to negative interference thru compression. But we'll see. Hint teaser, part of my confidence is because the NAO is falling negative pretty convincingly, multi-sourced. The NAO doesn't cause these systems, no, but ... it's useful in estimating track configurations. In this case the correlation fading away from early left turners. So I see the eye of the needle as being between LI and the Del Marva, unless the total scaffolding changes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I think the 6th is good for a 3-5" type deal ... I may start a thread on that this evening - it's a nice pattern entrance kind of appetizer. I also suspect there's at least snow in the air from the waa pulse tomorrow night but should be low in significance. These are all nail biter needle threaders. I know what your saying about the sinking south with the SPV but I'm also a little of leery of some of these systems falling victim to negative interference thru compression. But we'll see. Hint teaser, part of my confidence is because the NAO is falling negative pretty convincingly, multi-sourced. The NAO doesn't cause these systems, no, but ... it's useful in estimating track configurations. In this case the correlation fading away from early left turners. So I see the eye of the needle as being between LI and the Del Marva, unless the total scaffolding changes Please please DO NOT start a thread . The forum begs you 1 1 6 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 GFS pretty much held serve for next Sunday a bit north and slower with the features. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 That should fuk up a few SB parties. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 And one behind it. What a weenie 18z GFS today! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Just now, weathafella said: And one behind it. What a weenie 18z GFS today! straight from ineedsnow's basement 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Start it Tip. 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 another crazy run.. we need this 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 17 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: straight from ineedsnow's basement 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 24 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: straight from ineedsnow's basement Don’t think he’d like that one it’s 50 and rain for him… that one is NNE special verbatim 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 9 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: bring out the gimp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Lot of rain on that run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 But is it active? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lot of rain on that run I’ll take the action ahead of it. Besides. All of it will change plenty I suspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Unfortunately Dr no said nay and repeated it with nein, nyet, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Unfortunately Dr no said nay and repeated it with nein, nyet, etc.18z Euro is already out?Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 7 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: 18z Euro is already out? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk It only goes out to 144 hours at 18z It doesn’t look like the gfs for Wednesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 8 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: 18z Euro is already out? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Since just past 6pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 6:07 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 16 already DP 4 nice tick insecticide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 16 already DP 4 nice tick insecticide Maybe if it was -46 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said: 18z Euro is already out? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Looks icy for the first threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 18z euro did cool a bit for midweek…still warmer than GFS but more sleet and ice on the front end (after pretty brief snow in SNE)…18z EPS does have some snowier members in there too so while my bet is GFS is too cold, we may see the OP euro cool at least a bit in the future. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro did cool a bit for midweek…still warmer than GFS but more sleet and ice on the front end (after pretty brief snow in SNE)…18z EPS does have some snowier members in there too so while my bet is GFS is too cold, we may see the OP euro cool at least a bit in the future. Fwiw I fired up a thread for this made a case for cooling the Euro future runs but we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro did cool a bit for midweek…still warmer than GFS but more sleet and ice on the front end (after pretty brief snow in SNE)…18z EPS does have some snowier members in there too so while my bet is GFS is too cold, we may see the OP euro cool at least a bit in the future. Maybe this is the icer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Down to -10F. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, alex said: Down to -10F. House is popping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 17 minutes ago, alex said: Down to -10F. It’s f*cking cold out this evening. You feel subzero on that first deep breath. What a winter month January was. Average temperatures can produce a decent winter. Photo from a friend in Stowe Hollow wondering if it snowed every day on the mountain in January? It felt like it, even away from the Spine throughout town. It was cold today. Snowy month on the NW flow in ADK, VT and NH. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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