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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

gee... thanks yall....

Lol…the reason it’s funny is because zooming in on an EPS 15-day mean is completely worthless in value. It’s already pretty smoothed out too due to having 51 members so it’s not like the zoomed-out version is hiding intricate details.  

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lol…the reason it’s funny is because zooming in on an EPS 15-day mean is completely worthless in value. It’s already pretty smoothed out too due to having 51 members so it’s not like the zoomed-out version is hiding intricate details.  

I had a post typed up saying that about the smoothed nature..then trashed it.  Figured I’d keep quiet. 

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

'Magine if nothing happened ?     ho man.

I mean, it doesn’t take too much imagination to see how the next 15 days leaves us with 4” of snow total that was all subsequently washed away in multiple amped systems where the primary is tracking through Ottawa. 
 

My gut though (and it’s not purely gut since it’s sort of supported by guidance) is that we cash in on a couple of these…they seem to get progressively more favorable the further out in time we go too…probably because the PV is slowly being pushed southward making it harder and harder to sustain warmer solutions the deeper in time we go. 

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13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Little mini-Montreal Express this afternoon and tonight. Despite the colder airmasses at times this winter, we haven’t had many on this type of delivery. These are the ones that bite a bit. We were falling even with the sun trying to poke out midday. 

Coldest of the season tonight

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33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Little mini-Montreal Express this afternoon and tonight. Despite the colder airmasses at times this winter, we haven’t had many on this type of delivery. These are the ones that bite a bit. We were falling even with the sun trying to poke out midday. 

Yeah. We were discussing that this morning.    NNE might have some -25 to -30 temps.  Plus some wind

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Little mini-Montreal Express this afternoon and tonight. Despite the colder airmasses at times this winter, we haven’t had many on this type of delivery. These are the ones that bite a bit. We were falling even with the sun trying to poke out midday. 

Folks 'ill be within frozen spit distance of 0 tomorrow morning.    Probably a lot of 6's

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