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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m still shoveling feet upon feet the gfs has given me this season. 

Same here, but it’s good to see something in the mid range. Worth keeping an eye on, but need the Euro to jump on board soon. Euro has been doing pretty good recently. It did good with the clipper, had it going north while the gfs had it going under us and giving us 5-6 inches of snow. Euro was also more north for the storm happening now, and it was right again. If the Euro is way north again, that would be very concerning.

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2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Cut the zr QPF in half (.5:1 for accrual), still a rather ugly natural disaster that will prompt multiple SoEs

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk
 

I'll give up the rest of this winter and Spring can come if this run can verify 

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Same here, but it’s good to see something in the mid range. Worth keeping an eye on, but need the Euro to jump on board soon. Euro has been doing pretty good recently. It did good with the clipper, had it going north while the gfs had it going under us and giving us 5-6 inches of snow. Euro was also more north for the storm happening now, and it was right again. If the Euro is way north again, that would be very concerning.
As expected, Dr. No says no

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Now thst is something I would give up a full winter of snow for. Let’s make this happen 

As long as it stays south of here you can have all the ice you want, I remember sitting in the dark next to the wood stove for a week in 1998 with all our food from the freezer out in the snow bank...

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06z GFS pretty much doubles down on the epic 0z run. Toned down like a hair, but still quite epic and would absolutely change the tenor of the season for pretty much all of SNE. Gotta get Dr No on board however. The GFS has been its little bitch this season.

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Two distinct strong signals on EPS…the Thursday threat which is the warmest one…but it’s been trying to trend colder. 
 

Then next weekend (mostly centered on Sunday) which is a colder look for much of the region. 
 

There are additional weaker signals beyond that as the gradient pattern continues to provide chances, but those signals are weaker and more diffuse as you get out into clown range. 

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