February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[Snowcrazed71]

49 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

this whole GFS run is great!

Hopefully the rest of SNE get in the fun

[weathafella]

Euro follows the 0Z trend.  Tomorrow's another day.

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

this whole GFS run is great!

Its great where your located but the further south you go it gets iffy.

[CoastalWx]

3 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Its great where your located but the further south you go it gets iffy.

Yeah decent run verbatim but iffy. It’s just one op run too. 

[Kitz Craver]

SNE is cooked SOP for this next one. It’s either coming south(but not enough) and warm or  too far north and warm. Beyond that, hopefully the gradient sets up far enough south 

[Modfan2]

19 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

SNE is cooked SOP for this next one. It’s either coming south(but not enough) and warm or  too far north and warm. Beyond that, hopefully the gradient sets up far enough south 

Fine with me, need the rain to wash the salt off the roads and cars

[dendrite]

GFS looks drunk for up here compared to other modeling. I shouldn’t have looked at that first. lol

[mahk_webstah]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

GFS looks drunk for up here compared to other modeling. I shouldn’t have looked at that first. lol

We 07-08?  Every few days a nickel or a dime?  Maybe a quarter

[Kitz Craver]

30 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Fine with me, need the rain to wash the salt off the roads and cars

I know it, everything is hammered with salt brine

[40/70 Benchmark]

27 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

We 07-08?  Every few days a nickel or a dime?  Maybe a quarter

I could see it.

[CoastalWx]

58 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

We 07-08?  Every few days a nickel or a dime?  Maybe a quarter

Maybe a penny here or there?

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe a penny here or there?

Just for you 

[mahk_webstah]

33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I could see it.

Pile it up.  Slowly steadily 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Hopefully the rest of SNE get in the fun

It’s a pike gradient. Maybe we sneak something in here but overall it’s more trash.

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Just for you 

Good luck 

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s a pike gradient. Maybe we sneak something in here but overall it’s more trash.

No chance that’ll shift 40 miles TB

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Good luck 

As always this last few years, we need it, just not as bad as you.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s a pike gradient. Maybe we sneak something in here but overall it’s more trash.

Looks like trash to me. Maybe a window or two where we need to say the rosary for an advisory event and then trough retros and we warm.

[CoastalWx]

Outdoor seating by Valentines Day?

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like trash to me. Maybe a window or two where we need to say the rosary for an advisory event and then trough retros and we warm.

5 hail mary’s and 3 our father’s…

[mahk_webstah]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Outdoor seating by Valentines Day?

 

Looks like a great cold air supply and gradient, but I don’t mind sitting outside with a hot toddy in the snow.

[dendrite]

30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe a penny here or there?

Only expecting a peso here. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Maybe some icing at the end . Enough to salt up the roads 

[HoarfrostHubb]

41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Outdoor seating by Valentines Day?

 

 

I would prefer that than the old switcheroo from last Feb 13/14

[HoarfrostHubb]

3K Nam (06z) croaks this area Friday night/Saturday.

In 6 hours it will have a new solution

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

3K Nam (06z) croaks this area Friday night/Saturday.

In 6 hours it will have a new solution

12z HRRR came in colder hoping its a trend at 12z

[ORH_wxman]

Ironically despite the rhetoric in here, the EPS mean is about as snowy as it’s been all winter out to the end of the run. 
 

It’s somewhat high variance as is often the case in a gradient pattern, but it shows that there are likely multiple threats and a decent number of the ensemble members are producing solid snow events in them. 

[Modfan2]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Ironically despite the rhetoric in here, the EPS mean is about as snowy as it’s been all winter out to the end of the run. 
 

It’s somewhat high variance as is often the case in a gradient pattern, but it shows that there are likely multiple threats and a decent number of the ensemble members are producing solid snow events in them. 

Pike north or for all?

[jbenedet]

Leave it to the Nam for a wholesale shift inside 36 hours. 

The 6z Euro continues to tick warmer at 850, and is all rain even here in SE NH.

 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ironically despite the rhetoric in here, the EPS mean is about as snowy as it’s been all winter out to the end of the run. 
 

It’s somewhat high variance as is often the case in a gradient pattern, but it shows that there are likely multiple threats and a decent number of the ensemble members are producing solid snow events in them. 

Couple threats and then later in  the 11-15 looks warm. Same crap.