February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[Torch Tiger]

Back broken !!

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That basically is in degree C so a little more impactful. Also resolution probably sucks.

We also drastically underperformed the anomalies at 850...

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That basically is in degree C so a little more impactful. Also resolution probably sucks.

Yea, I think when the better maps are available in a couple of weeks, it will be a bit larger of an anomaly.

[Layman]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Vast majority of the globe is warm....no deabating that.

I think you mentioned this previously, and I believe it says it right there on the bottom right of the image, but when saying "the globe is warm", that is specifically with respect to the global climate from 1991 to 2020, correct?

[DavisStraight]

11 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I’ve heard shoulder surgery rehab is pretty brutal.

That's why I've been holding it off as long as I can. Bothered me even just using the snowblower.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Layman said:

I think you mentioned this previously, and I believe it says it right there on the bottom right of the image, but when saying "the globe is warm", that is specifically with respect to the global climate from 1991 to 2020, correct?

Yes.

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We also drastically underperformed the anomalies at 850...

 

Just for reference, here is 2014-15

 

[powderfreak]

Right there with 2015 for fewest days of 40F or higher at BTV.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, powderfreak said:

Right there with 2015 for fewest days of 40F or higher at BTV.

It was very consistently cold, but just nothing extreme.

[powderfreak]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It was very consistently cold, but just nothing extreme.

Yeah nothing extreme in either direction, even for short bursts.

[WinterWolf]

Not trying to change anybody’s ideas…just saying it’s been a below normal winter for alot of the country.  And some areas that almost never see cold(very very rarely) were in the deep freeze…and still are.  Too bad in SNE, we couldn’t capitalize on it. But other places further south(and a lot further south in some cases) certainly did.  It was nice to dee the cold come back.  

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Not trying to change anybody’s ideas…just saying it’s been a below normal winter for alot of the country.  And some areas that almost never see cold(very very rarely) were in the deep freeze…and still are.  Too bad in SNE, we couldn’t capitalize on it. But other places further south(and a lot further south in some cases) certainly did.  It was nice to dee the cold come back.  

The southeast def had a pretty cold winter and almost nobody called for it given it was a La Nina....usually SE ridge and mild weather dominates there but not this time.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

The southeast def had a pretty cold winter and almost nobody called for it given it was a La Nina....usually SE ridge and mild weather dominates there but not this time.

Yes, that’s more of what I mean.  This was not in the cards…not even close. 

[CoastalWx]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We also drastically underperformed the anomalies at 850...

 

A lot of DSD days with W and even WSW delivery vs more NWly. 

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Right there with 2015 for fewest days of 40F or higher at BTV.

They could put a few more on the board next week 

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Not trying to change anybody’s ideas…just saying it’s been a below normal winter for alot of the country.  And some areas that almost never see cold(very very rarely) were in the deep freeze…and still are.  Too bad in SNE, we couldn’t capitalize on it. But other places further south(and a lot further south in some cases) certainly did.  It was nice to dee the cold come back.  

Yes, agreed.

[Kitz Craver]

15 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

That's why I've been holding it off as long as I can. Bothered me even just using the snowblower.

Mine are both shot, a life of sports and weights

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Mine are both shot, a life of sports and weights

I'm developing some chinks in the armor here in my mid 40s.....left shoulder is a bit iffy, as I had a small tear in the rorator cuff a couple of years ago that I just let heal....now I'm starting to get some "areas" in my knees....nothing severe, but enough to that I am a bit conscious of certain movements these days. Doesn't affect my squat or anything yet, since I wrap my knees.

None of this impairs my heavy lifts yet.

Back is still perfect, save for some occasional, mild inflamation down low.

[Layman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Back is still perfect, save for some occasional, mild inflamation down low.

Don't ever discount this and take for granted how lucky your are!  My back issues have had debilitating affects over my life.  Small and careful improvements/rehab over time allow to continue to do things but it's always an issue.  

[512high]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm developing some chinks in the armor here in my mid 40s.....left shoulder is a bit iffy, as I had a small tear in the rorator cuff a couple of years ago that I just let heal....now I'm starting to get some "areas" in my knees....nothing severe, but enough to that I am a bit conscious of certain movements these days. Doesn't affect my squat or anything yet, since I wrap my knees.

None of this impairs my heavy lifts yet.

Back is still perfect, save for some occasional, mild inflamation down low.

Word of advice, for chest, and bad shoulders stay AWAY from flat/incline barbell press, Go with dumbells instead, thank me later.......

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Layman said:

Don't ever discount this and take for granted how lucky your are!  My back issues have had debilitating affects over my life.  Small and careful improvements/rehab over time allow to continue to do things but it's always an issue.  

I have a heavy 3-day body part split for my lifting that includes ample core work/stretching for about 30 minutes as a warmup....do abs once a week after legs, too, and then believe it or not, the squats are temendous for that core stability and strength that act as a nice primer to finish off with abs. Its no coincidence that I don't have back issues at 44.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, 512high said:

Word of advice, for chest, and bad shoulders stay AWAY from flat/incline barbell press, Go with dumbells instead, thank me later.......

Phil, I haven't done barbell bench press in over 20 years....I have a partially fused left wrist (since Jan 2001) and the surgeon told me I would never lift weights again (hang with 'em, doc), but the dumbells allow me greater range of motion and room for the supination that better positions me to be able to lift heavily with my condition.

[40/70 Benchmark]

You don't need barbell....its ideal to mix it in to maxamize stength, but I'm strong enough.....on my best days I can incline the 105s for about 8...not doing that right now, though....more like 95s.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

There are definitely signs of breaking towards spring on the models, especially in the extended. Like I said a few days ago, a month from now it could easily be 60 degrees if we catch a few breaks.

Im so over the evaporating day 7 snow threats from this winter, and every single snow event underperforming vs forecast, ready for warmth.

This winter might just squeak out of F territory to a D-.

We are still well below half of our average gear and every event has been a mess and or crapped the bed.

[Typhoon Tip]

This winter may have been a good example of how ENSO is too heavily relied upon in seasonal outlooks and always has been.

About 12 or so years ago ... even NCEP began cautioning in their seasonal outlooks that the polarward indices can at times overpower and lead to break down of the correlations they use - name ENSO as primary - for more N latitudes such as the NP-GL-N OV and NE regions.  

This season's layout smacks like it was a poor La Nina performer over N Amer.

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

How long was recovery?

6 weeks for most motion almost full now what 6 months out. 

[Ginx snewx]

@dendrite visited Danielson Airport KIZD today.  ASOS good siting off the tarmac on a level hilly spot.

[FXWX]

Ice hanging tough at high points of Burlington on Day 6.... Peak gust this morning 48 mph!

[FXWX]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

@dendrite visited Danielson Airport KLZD today.  ASOS good siting off the tarmac on a level hilly spot.

Is that in the CT meter group yet

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Is that in the CT meter group yet

Yes