February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I have about 7.5-8" so the satellite-derived one isn't far that off here, but its def slightly high overall which isn't a surprise because of the water content. The pack in ORH was about 11-12" on winter hill.

I think I have about 3 inches of water in the pack...it's ridiculous. I should cut a biscuit and melt it and see what it actually is.

I remember doing one in March 08 and there was like a foot of water. I had to take like 4 stratus cores to reach the bottom. lol

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

I'm good with that, especially being almost March. Hopefully some 40s /50s around the corner

Sometime late march, around my birthday 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I have about 7.5-8" so the satellite-derived one isn't far that off here, but its def slightly high overall which isn't a surprise because of the water content. The pack in ORH was about 11-12" on winter hill.

I think I have about 3 inches of water in the pack...it's ridiculous. I should cut a biscuit and melt it and see what it actually is.

All the lower spots in the yards filled with water, so in some areas it's literally 8" of ice. It's that grey look if you know what I mean. I recall (think 1999) we had like 3-4" of pure glacier on the south shore. Think it was 99. But I can't recall that since. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I have about 7.5-8" so the satellite-derived one isn't far that off here, but its def slightly high overall which isn't a surprise because of the water content. The pack in ORH was about 11-12" on winter hill.

I think I have about 3 inches of water in the pack...it's ridiculous. I should cut a biscuit and melt it and see what it actually is.

I must have 3.75" of water

[Prismshine Productions]

*sigh* here we go again 9 days out... Goddamnit Goofus

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk

[Heisy]

28th time frame growing baby legs, big time hit on the 18z gfs, Ai had it at 12z, OP had a big wound up ULL, just something to keep in mind


.

[H2Otown_WX]

Just now, Heisy said:

28th time frame growing baby legs, big time hit on the 18z gfs, Ai had it at 12z, OP had a big wound up ULL, just something to keep in mind


.

Just sit back and wait for the inevitable rug pull at D5.

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, Heisy said:

28th time frame growing baby legs, big time hit on the 18z gfs, Ai had it at 12z, OP had a big wound up ULL, just something to keep in mind


.

We were in a favorable pattern. Something is going to happen.

[PWMan]

2 hours ago, tunafish said:

Yes, pack was at 19" this AM.  I know there have been packs like this in the past but this is the first I've recorded 20" for PWM (4th season).  Like NW_GYX said, it's usually his area that has deep pack, not us.  Looking at CoCoRAHS, it is odd to see the coast with a deeper pack than inland.  We're only talking 4-6" difference but still.

We really have been blessed during this stretch between the parade of solid if not spectacular storms and excellent retention. And you're right about the immediate coastline; I was driving around Pine Point Beach yesterday afternoon, and it was truly impressive. I've rarely seen depth and drifts like that down there even during some of our more historic stretches. There's usually a noticeable drop-off within the three miles or so from Route 1 to the marsh and beach. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We were in a favorable pattern. Something is going to happen.

Something will happen. You'll waste another 8 days staring at the laptop while drug lords overtake the city.

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, PWMan said:

We really have been blessed during this stretch between the parade of solid if not spectacular storms and excellent retention. And you're right about the immediate coastline; I was driving around Pine Point Beach yesterday afternoon, and it was truly impressive. I've rarely seen depth and drifts like that down there even during some of our more historic stretches. There's usually a noticeable drop-off within the three miles or so from Route 1 to the marsh and beach. 

Is there ocean ice? I remember in the 05 cold snap going to the cape shore and it looked like the north pole.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Something will happen. You'll waste another 8 days staring at the laptop while drug lords overtake the city.

TDA running rampant under his watch.

[8611Blizz]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Something will happen. You'll waste another 8 days staring at the laptop while drug lords overtake the city.

New Jack City all over again.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Hopefully the orientation and positioning of the ridge out west changes.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hopefully the orientation and positioning of the ridge out west changes.

Ya looks the same honestly too far west , this weeks ridge just hit absolutely broken down, barely a ridge by Thursday 

[brooklynwx99]

12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya looks the same honestly too far west , this weeks ridge just hit absolutely broken down, barely a ridge by Thursday 

this is quite a bit healthier. like seeing the -AO over the top too. pretty solid

[ORH_wxman]

Let’s make a run at early March 2007 temps with that PV. We can cheer on a Carolinas/VA snow event. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is quite a bit healthier. like seeing the -AO over the top too. pretty solid

That’s a bit further east good to see, just need some more and for it to actually verify 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is quite a bit healthier. like seeing the -AO over the top too. pretty solid

Better, still not great..I'd like it bit further east, but at least its not leaning positively and it extends up to higher latitudes into the AO domain...as you said.

Now lets see how reality plays out

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is quite a bit healthier. like seeing the -AO over the top too. pretty solid

Getting some more arctic blocking showing up again, but let’s not get congrats north Carolina again please 

[brooklynwx99]

19 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Getting some more arctic blocking showing up again, but let’s not get congrats north Carolina again please 

I'm banking on shorter wavelengths and a weak WAR to help us out here

[dryslot]

You know it’s been a snowy period when you see this in the county, They had to close US Rte 1 because of tractor trailers stuck in drifts.

[DavisStraight]

Windy again today, I don't remember such a windy spell in winter.

[Torch Tiger]

22 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

I'm banking on shorter wavelengths and a weak WAR to help us out here

You're banking on a Spring cut-off?  Or gambling

[Torch Tiger]

I do think we'll see a few more snowers.  I'm kinda against the big-dog idea though, unfortunately.  Into March

[cut]

Hemming and hawing over booking March 4 to 8th at Stowe - could be epic. They certainly won't be losing any snow.

[tunafish]

1 hour ago, PWMan said:

We really have been blessed during this stretch between the parade of solid if not spectacular storms and excellent retention. And you're right about the immediate coastline; I was driving around Pine Point Beach yesterday afternoon, and it was truly impressive. I've rarely seen depth and drifts like that down there even during some of our more historic stretches. There's usually a noticeable drop-off within the three miles or so from Route 1 to the marsh and beach. 

Agreed.  After the last several years this is such a welcomed gift.

[tavwtby]

man it's a different kind of cold out there, not sure if it's the insane amount of ice, wind, but temps ain't crazy cold, just feels worse. my driveway is literally a skating rink of about 2" solid in shaded areas, I was out for hours chopping yesterday, coop door is hit, frost heaves damn near moved the whole thing. hoping for something substantial, but this ice gots to go first...we leave 3/1 for Tampa spring training, and watch, that'll be when it happens.

[kdxken]

32 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Agreed.  After the last several years this is such a welcomed gift.

Can I regift it? Had enough thank you.  Effin' cold today.

[mahk_webstah]

2 hours ago, Heisy said:

28th time frame growing baby legs, big time hit on the 18z gfs, Ai had it at 12z, OP had a big wound up ULL, just something to keep in mind


.

Let’s see if it’s still there on Saturday, Saturday or Sunday.  Otherwise just a waste of time.