Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,800
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    manaja
    Newest Member
    manaja
    Joined

February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

42 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Somewhat OT here (but it does involve ice), I just heard that Quinn Hughes will be in the line up on Thursday.  Now we need Brady Tkachuk to be OK.  This is gonna be crazy.

i think your definition of "somewhat OT" is different than mine.

you know that there is a banter thread, right?

  • Weenie 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I would agree with you on this. 

As far icon, I don't understand why we use that at all. When has it ever been correct. It usually follows the large big guys like the GFS or Euro, but I would never use the icon as something to look forward to. 

I think it’s just another tool in the toolbox. It rarely ever leads. In my tropical tracking, it led the way with Beryl’s landfall zone but that’s about it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am desperately ready for warmer weather now. This has gotten ridiculous. The ice too in the driveway and at the bottom is absolutely wild. Spent 2+ hours last night working on it. Had to be a good 4" think. Had to go to the dentist this morning and thankfully I was able to get out of the driveway...road here though is a disaster. It was slipping and sliding until I was able to get to the main road. Getting into the driveway...almost didn't happen.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Honestly, we need less eye candy and just continued production. I can live with 2-4, 3-5” events every few days that build on the current glacier. Although reaching climo is probably lost to some of us, I don’t think wintry events are done in SNE. 

most besides the absolute die-hards have checked out.  Snow outside of solar min is pointless unless you're way way inland or skiing /doing something with/in it :lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Driving through Portland over to Cape Elizabeth for an appointment, it's impressive how much pack there is. Been awhile since I've seen this much snow downtown. I'm sure Tuna agrees

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Had the same thought as I drove to Westbrook earlier today. For years my pack in bridgton has been orders of magnitude greater than Portland suburbs. Not the case this season

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

I am desperately ready for warmer weather now. This has gotten ridiculous. The ice too in the driveway and at the bottom is absolutely wild. Spent 2+ hours last night working on it. Had to be a good 4" think. Had to go to the dentist this morning and thankfully I was able to get out of the driveway...road here though is a disaster. It was slipping and sliding until I was able to get to the main road. Getting into the driveway...almost didn't happen.

It becomes .. or 'might' become, particularly more intolerable during these sunny afternoons of latter February.  I mean, it'll be hard pressed to find a sky that pure in the warm season around here, so in some respects the actual photo-ocular effectiveness of the sun's "shining" is going to be even more triggering then a day in May. 

So then you walk out there and your stunned by the cold - that's the intolerable thing.  Your mind was trying to associate that brilliance and so conjures unresolvable nostalgia. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It becomes .. or 'might' become, particularly more intolerable during these sunny afternoons of latter February.  I mean, it'll be hard pressed to find a sky that pure in the warm season around here, so in some respects the actual photo-ocular effectiveness of the sun's "shining" is going to be even more triggering then a day in May. 

So then you walk out there and your stunned by the cold - that's the intolerable thing.  You mind tries to associate that brilliance and so conjures unresolvable nostalgia. 

Thankfully we're about 2 months away from heat and humidity. 

  • Weenie 1
  • Disagree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

image.png.1dffefc1707cfbbe325ca23a2d2a36df.png

 

ShesNotGonnaLetUsOut.gif.e6b16c99443f1e05fd96bace57375c9b.gif

Yeah the GEFs was actually even more aggressive with a new -EPO in the first week of March, and the EPS appears to be collapsing.  Two days ago this was not there in either, and it's now dominating the spatial layout out of nowhere.

Can't say it's a bad outlook...  Persistence alone may force hands.  So, for winter/cold enthusiasts, that's a good sign for more near misses because of poisonous speed flow footing.

The WPO remains neutral or even modestly positive so... hopefully for spring/warm enthusiasts, that will abase the GEFS/EPS and go on to verify at least a nominal temperature theme. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

most besides the absolute die-hards have checked out.  Snow outside of solar min is pointless unless you're way way inland or skiing /doing something with/in it :lol:

I mean I was prescient enough to cancel winter in January. But 70s and sun is nowhere around the corner so we might as well hold onto pack as long as the cold is around. 

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Driving through Portland over to Cape Elizabeth for an appointment, it's impressive how much pack there is. Been awhile since I've seen this much snow downtown. I'm sure Tuna agrees

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Yes, pack was at 19" this AM.  I know there have been packs like this in the past but this is the first I've recorded 20" for PWM (4th season).  Like NW_GYX said, it's usually his area that has deep pack, not us.  Looking at CoCoRAHS, it is odd to see the coast with a deeper pack than inland.  We're only talking 4-6" difference but still.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, dendrite said:

There may be some remote sensing errors in there when comparing our areas to interior SNE. The pack is relatively “dry” up here with barely any rain or melting this year. Here’s the actual.

IMG_4622.jpeg

I'm right between that 10 and 18", so the 14.5" here jives.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Yes, pack was at 19" this AM.  I know there have been packs like this in the past but this is the first I've recorded 20" for PWM (4th season).  Like NW_GYX said, it's usually his area that has deep pack, not us.  Looking at CoCoRAHS, it is odd to see the coast with a deeper pack than inland.  We're only talking 4-6" difference but still.

14-15 was the last season like that, although the difference may have been even greater that season. My friends place in Nobleboro had a decent pack well into April that year 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We just don’t know when but we know it will? 

 

Yes, there will be an Archambault event in the Feb 26th-Mar 10th timeframe. The pattern grows much more amplified on the models, and this time there isn’t any blocking which is a good thing. Blocking sucks! I’m sick of the south getting all the snow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, dendrite said:

There may be some remote sensing errors in there when comparing our areas to interior SNE. The pack is relatively “dry” up here with barely any rain or melting this year. Here’s the actual.

IMG_4622.jpeg

After yesterday and today's wind, this is where we sit.  The rest of the snow is packed into the tree line a few acres east of this stake!

 

IMG_9799.jpeg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm right between that 10 and 18", so the 14.5" here jives.

Yeah the plotted values I posted are human obs. Dryslot posted the satellite derived ones that estimate depth via water content. Human obs of depth and s.w.e. are factored in, but I’m not sure how many data points there are. It’s possible for me to have say 20” and Tip has 14”, but Tip could have more water content due to rain, melt, wet snows, etc. If it’s using the same ratio for both of us it would see my pack as being less than his.

I think this has gotten a lot better though since cocorahs became popular.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have about 7.5-8" so the satellite-derived one isn't far that off here, but its def slightly high overall which isn't a surprise because of the water content. The pack in ORH was about 11-12" on winter hill.

I think I have about 3 inches of water in the pack...it's ridiculous. I should cut a biscuit and melt it and see what it actually is.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...