mahk_webstah Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 6 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Currier and Ives paying a visit to my office this A.M. fat flakes The streamer coming into western mass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: The streamer coming into western mass? I'm in Simsbury right now, haven't looked at radar EDIT yeah that must be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Is a 952 low 75 miles east of ACY of any interest to anyone here? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Is a 952 low 75 miles east of ACY of any interest to anyone here? Lbsw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Is a 952 low 75 miles east of ACY of any interest to anyone here? I actually wouldn't care for a solution that deep at such a low latitude....LBSW interest anyone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Lbsw BINGO. Unless your telling me we are going to have a 1/100 year jet intensity like the Super Storm, that caps things up here at around a foot...give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I guess others can get their rocks off too low baro....just give me a low that drops 25mb in 12 hours about 100mi south of LI. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: 24 hour Kuchie. Always room to adjust upwards if needed. 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I guess others can get their rocks off with low baro....just give me a low that drops 25mb in 12 hours about 100mi south of LI. I'm guessing the GFS does that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I think I'd literally sacrafice a nut to verify the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think I'd literally sacrafice a nut to verify the GFS. With 4 kids do you really need both? 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm guessing the GFS does that. Close...19mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: Upwards from the 33" I have in that frame?... Doubt. Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Is the storm over by then? This thing is speeding up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: With 4 kids do you really need both? Not at this point, no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 46 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i’ve noticed that the AIFS can be just as wrong as other models but its shifts are just less violent for example, it can still move 100-200 miles in a few days, it’ll just do it in small, consistent increments rather than two big jumps Yep agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Skynet still whiffs So does the EURO AI FWIW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just looks like 06z isn't quite as proficient as a phase, but if that is the level of variance we are seeing at this range, that is about as glaring a signal as one could expect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, snowman19 said: So does the EURO AI FWIW Of course that's the one post you make in this thread. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Of course that's the one post you make in this thread. Don’t worry I’m sure it’s going to cave. But in fairness, everyone has absolutely been in love with that model up until this point lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Don’t worry I’m sure it’s going to cave. But in fairness, everyone has absolutely been in love with that model up until this point lol I think its always been high confidence that there will be a large storm near the east coast, but I'm still leery of how exactly it unfolds....so no, still not entirely sold on a big hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Not sure if I dreamt it since it’s calm now, but there was a gust this morning that made me sit up in bed from a dead sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 The 00z EURO is precisely the type of evolution I'm afraid of, and would fit that narrative of this season like a glove. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think its always been high confidence that there will be a large storm near the east coast, but I'm still leery of how exactly it unfolds....so no, still not entirely sold on a big hit. IMO the risk with next week has always been OTS. The cutter talk by some was ridiculous, next week’s pattern in no way, shape or form ever supported a cutter or runner. This is either a big hit or OTS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: IMO the risk with next week has always been OTS. The cutter talk by some was ridiculous, next week’s pattern in no way, shape or form ever supported a cutter or runner. This is either a big hit or OTS 00z EPS is a modest improvement over 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think I'd literally sacrafice a nut to verify the GFS. Can't have many left you did it last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Extrapolating, I think the 06z EPS would be a bit of a step back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GEFS and EPS both have increasing spread back to the west, with kind of an inverted trough eppendage like feature, so there must be at least a couple of larger hits showing up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 16 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Not sure if I dreamt it since it’s calm now, but there was a gust this morning that made me sit up in bed from a dead sleep. 515am it was gusty...FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 21 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Don’t worry I’m sure it’s going to cave. But in fairness, everyone has absolutely been in love with that model up until this point lol It’s been very erratic outside 5 days… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It’s been very erratic outside 5 days… I mean to me it’s just another model. I haven’t noticed at least in this area how it’s done. I feel like lately. It’s been too cold and a little too far offshore with these systems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I’m sure the PhDs are whacking off to 500mb scores though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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