Torch Tiger Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Heavy heavy snow coming there's hope! jma! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z NAM is definitely flatter vs 12z..but yeah, 84 hr NAM. If the GFS follows, you should definitely come north for a snowy Saturday afternoon and evening and maybe it would still be snowing when you wake up on Sunday before it changes over. The snow is deep up here and really beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: If the GFS follows, you should definitely come north for a snowy Saturday afternoon and evening and maybe it would still be snowing when you wake up on Sunday before it changes over. The snow is deep up here and really beautiful. Too much to do this weekend unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 JMA obviously stepping in for the Euro. PS I thought the American models were going to be broken forever from now on? I guess paradise hasn't broken out in Europe either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 My threshold for a big snow month is 30" - we've had 22 such months in our first 21 winters here, never more than 2 winters without one, but the most recent was January 2019. Maybe the coming 3 storms thru 2/20 can produce a 17"+ total; if not, this will be the 6th in a row w/o a 30-spot month as March looks to be a long shot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 26 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: there's hope! jma! Don't laugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: PS I thought the American models were going to be broken forever from now on? wait what why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: wait what why The donald. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The donald. I have been offline most of the day besides early this morning so I am asking this with honest confusion: what did he do to the American suite of models? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: I have been offline most of the day besides early this morning so I am asking this with honest confusion: what did he do to the American suite of models? Tried making them Great. Realized it was futile. So out behind the woodshed they go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18Z ICON (I know, I know) again slides this off NJ and keeps CNE mostly snow I care because I'm heading to Mt. Snow this weekend and would prefer not to track the kids while pinged with sleet or getting drenched with rain. Maybe wishful thinking. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: I have been offline most of the day besides early this morning so I am asking this with honest confusion: what did he do to the American suite of models? He tried to make them great but failed as usual. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I think they realized how bad and off the Euro suite was with weekend storm compared to other guidance . So they shut the whole thing down to avoid further embarrassment. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, danstorm said: 18Z ICON (I know, I know) again slides this off NJ and keeps CNE mostly snow I care because I'm heading to Mt. Snow this weekend and would prefer not to track the kids while pinged with sleet or getting drenched with rain. Maybe wishful thinking. Icy !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Icon def was cold. But I don’t believe it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 33 minutes ago, tamarack said: My threshold for a big snow month is 30" - we've had 22 such months in our first 21 winters here, never more than 2 winters without one, but the most recent was January 2019. Maybe the coming 3 storms thru 2/20 can produce a 17"+ total; if not, this will be the 6th in a row w/o a 30-spot month as March looks to be a long shot. BOS has had one more recently than you in Jan '22. Before that both Jan and Feb '15, Feb '13, Jan '11, Jan '05, Feb '03, Jan '96, Jan and Feb '94. Then you have to go back to Jan '78 (but *not* Feb), Feb '69, Mar '56, Jan '48, Jan '38. So, five from 1938-1988 10 and counting 1988-2038. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Icon def was cold. But I don’t believe it. Would be nice to have another peice of guidance, maybe from the Euro suite? Lol...maybe the 18z will run I mean the Nam being SE, beside being horrible most of the time, doesn't it tend to be to far NW/amped past 36 hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Early returns say GFS may be flatter than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Icon def was cold. But I don’t believe it. It’s real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Here we go friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS colder and seems like a transfer, though not super clean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12z Euro running now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, ariof said: BOS has had one more recently than you in Jan '22. Before that both Jan and Feb '15, Feb '13, Jan '11, Jan '05, Feb '03, Jan '96, Jan and Feb '94. Then you have to go back to Jan '78 (but *not* Feb), Feb '69, Mar '56, Jan '48, Jan '38. So, five from 1938-1988 10 and counting 1988-2038. Only one winter here with 3, 2013-14, with our least snowy January bracketed by Dec, Feb, Mar. That January had significantly BN temp and significantly AN precip to go with <25% avg snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not me in VT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 39 minutes ago, danstorm said: 18Z ICON (I know, I know) again slides this off NJ and keeps CNE mostly snow I care because I'm heading to Mt. Snow this weekend and would prefer not to track the kids while pinged with sleet or getting drenched with rain. Maybe wishful thinking. I work in town, mountains been ok with no real ice this year. Got to love the RT9 VT drive in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Crazy cold tuck at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18z GFS is solid up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 44 minutes ago, danstorm said: 18Z ICON (I know, I know) again slides this off NJ and keeps CNE mostly snow I care because I'm heading to Mt. Snow this weekend and would prefer not to track the kids while pinged with sleet or getting drenched with rain. Maybe wishful thinking. Im going to be in the Berkshires and am hoping for the same thing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Not me in VT said: I work in town, mountains been ok with no real ice this year. Got to love the RT9 VT drive in the winter. Nice - I grew up skiing there and it's perfect for my kids' levels (though my 8yo daughter is begging to ski the North Face) Snow was great over MLK weekend (if a big skiied off), hoping the ice overnight isn't too bad and that the weekend storm can stay mostly snow/sleet. Monday looks frigid, maybe it'll thin out the crowds! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 47 minutes ago, danstorm said: 18Z ICON (I know, I know) again slides this off NJ and keeps CNE mostly snow I care because I'm heading to Mt. Snow this weekend and would prefer not to track the kids while pinged with sleet or getting drenched with rain. Maybe wishful thinking. this model has not deviate on that event now for 2 day's worth of cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: this model has not deviate on that event now for 2 day's worth of cycles. I realize it's complete puppy piss as a model but may be onto something given the CMC is flatter and the GFS just came in significantly colder, less amped, with a decent secondary forming in time for Pike North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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