mahk_webstah Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, Layman said: How far south do your draw your CNE line? CON? ASH? I see MHT as northern CNE and CON as lower NNE. I think the western half of Mass is CNE, and over to Ray and then the NH coast. It is inexact and hopefully we don't have a long discussion about this in the thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, dendrite said: It’s not all frozen unless you’re including ZR he just means colder solution ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It's so stupid. Everyone says get a pass....but then when you factor in life, sports etc,,....who has the time to take advantage of going enough so that it's worth it. Eff up north. Better off sticking local if you can. I miss the liftopia days where I could get a 2 day pass to Sunday river for like 90-100 bucks. Now you can’t even get a 1 day pass for that. Cost has gotten insane unless you live close enough for a season pass. Im still going to try and get my boys on skis before winter ends (hopefully in a couple of weekends) but I cringe at the prices now. I think Killington still has kids under 12 ski free if you get a multi-day pass for an adult but not 100% sure. They did fairly recently at least. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS gonna be warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS gonna be warmer. Starting to look more like euro…almost straight cutter. Give it one more tick and we’re there. Rains to Maine as one man would say. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 57 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: That’s what frustrates me so much with winters now. We would never engage in the Olympic level mental gymnastics in any other season. Not for severe, not for tropical, not for temperature & dews discussion. I’m not saying that people can’t be optimistic, and anyone who has been around here long enough knows that I’m right with the positive/grateful for what I got crew most of the time—but we gotta be able to call it like we see it without all this buck up there’s still time stuff. I may have been early on the call (and let the record eternally show that if I’m canceling winter we’re really done), but we HAVE to face what’s in front of us. This season has not, is not, and will not be it. Not down here in the hinterlands. And if you need help understanding it, I have an avatar for that. I think you're mistaking some of us not calling it a rat for just understanding that it happens and say "I don't give a fucc, I'll be back next season" It just makes me laugh at the over reaction and emotionalism to a "bad" winter... Some of us have been through this before and know it happens and the WAAA WAAA WAA gets old 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Dodos to Ditty? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 10 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I see MHT as northern CNE and CON as lower NNE. I think the western half of Mass is CNE, and over to Ray and then the NH coast. It is inexact and hopefully we don't have a long discussion about this in the thread. I won't remain all frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is rapidly morphing into a stronger version of tonight’s sh*tbag event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I don't see a straight cutter with that 12z GFS run, I see a secondary reflection and a transfer along the Maine coast that develops late but then takes over in DE Maine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, dryslot said: I don't see a straight cutter with that 12z GFS run, I see a secondary reflection and a transfer along the Maine coast that develops late but then takes over in DE Maine. From a SNE perspective, that's a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I don't see a straight cutter with that 12z GFS run, I see a secondary reflection and a transfer along the Maine coast that develops late but then takes over in DE Maine. Plowable event up here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Plowable event up here Yes, Actually i thought is was a bit better then 06z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 25 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s not all frozen unless you’re including ZR I consider anything that preserves the pack to be frozen. This probably included freezing rain as long as it isn't too heavy.? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, Actually i thought is was a bit better then 06z. primary slightly weaker and def further east. but worse to our south it seems 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS is trying to turn the corner next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: GFS is trying to turn the corner next week la la lock it in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Trying on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Needs more work but its a start, Slow mover. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Looks like a success for SNE...good trend, as long as it doesn't continue....to Buffalo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't see a straight cutter with that 12z GFS run, I see a secondary reflection and a transfer along the Maine coast that develops late but then takes over in DE Maine. It’s close to a straight cutter. Still enough CAD to make it a mess but one more tick and we’re just about there…you tick it a little stronger and the secondary reflection will mostly disappear and just show up as kinks in the isobars from CAD. There’s going to be CAD regardless…that happens in straight cutters frequently. Just a matter if we actually get a secondary coastal or not. If we do, then it will hold in the cold at the sfc much better. If not, lots of in-situ CAD but many will warm up to 33-35F rain even if they don’t warm sector cleanly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, dryslot said: Needs more work but its a start. screw you man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 EPIC next Wednesday + Thursday just stalls and bombs inside BM - why can't we just lock that in and go home.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I consider anything that preserves the pack to be frozen. This probably included freezing rain as long as it isn't too heavy.? That’s fine. It’s just that technically ZR is liquid precip so I wanted to see how he defines it before we debate model interpretation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: screw you man That's good for the entire forum pretty much widespread 15-30"+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just need to hold that for 8 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Canadian is for a good chunk of CNE…maybe even down to northern SNE interior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: EPIC next Wednesday + Thursday just stalls and bombs inside BM - why can't we just lock that in and go home.. I like the fact that it keeps popping up. I feel like we see these things out there in time, they disappear and never come back. Also, shove that PV further west instead of bullying everything SE. Just not too much or it will be a repeat of thus week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Massachusetts buried alive wow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Purely to help elucidate the idea ... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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