codfishsnowman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is all a bummer. I didn't expect much but thought an inch or two tonight then a few Saturday followed by much And we'd have a net gain....even that's too much to hope for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well awhile ago, I said this makes or breaks winter. Gonna be an official ratter now. The LR looks great. Lets get in our high chairs and buckle up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Who effing cares Some of us are trying to claw and scratch our way to 20 in for the season. Don't be a negative Nancy, its not a good look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said: So we have to endure 4 or 5 more terrible winters? Dang I don't think so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Some of us are trying to claw and scratch our way to 20 in for the season. Don't be a negative Nancy, its not a good look. You’re right. All cold and snow had really worked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 That's quite a bit of ice on that 06z Euro run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, dryslot said: That's quite a bit of ice on that 06z Euro run. Hopefully we can trend that a bit colder again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’ve seen cutters with monster blocks before. They can happen as long as you phase some TPV in there with a western trough. That’s exactly what we’re getting now. Dec 2022 all over again. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Hopefully we can trend that a bit colder again That phrase should be on a T-shirt. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Who effing cares Nobody. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, ineedsnow said: Hopefully we can trend that a bit colder again Yeah, Not sure we can get that, We would need a weaker primary and a better secondary or a meso low, That's a big ask i think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: So then a few inches of snow first on Saturday is off the table ? Or it doesn't matter since it all gets washed away. Early next week looks frigid geez With this setup I seriously doubt your area... or even mine sees a few inches before changeover. Maybe an inch for me in Westfield for what I'm seeing since last night before the ice, then plain rain by morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nobody. Well, the guy who plows our shop driveway is going to be insufferable this A.M. when I tell him we aren't even going to get enough to plow from either of these next two. Customers are going to think one of his dogs died or something 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 42 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: My point and click has rain changing to snow and back to rain so many times over the weekend. I feel dizzy. Feeling dizzy from the point and click? That's just the feeling of channeling the lack of brain cells of the ones who create those forecasts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Feeling dizzy from the point and click? That's just the feeling of channeling the lack of brain cells of the ones who create those forecasts... I hardly ever look at those...I don't get the fascination. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Man, the PV drops in right behind that southern streamer on the EURO for the 20th.....that is close. I know, know.....we probably won't get the trend because nothing has gone right. I get it. Hey, Euro looks good for the 24th (ducks and runs) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I mean....try to use objective-mind and tell me this is hopeless: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I know its a day 10 determinstic run....not the point. I think @Typhoon Tip nailed it yesterday when he interjected that it isn't the PV crushing everything, so much as it is just a poor phase attempt. But of course it will phase this weekend just fine.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 So what happened to all of the cross guidance teleconnection support for next week? Poof like every other favorable look this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: So what happened to all of the cross guidance teleconnection support for next week? Poof like every other favorable look this winter? Still there, but we need it to come together and right now guidance is indicating it won't. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Heh.....one issue that I see...when have we seen that PNA ridge placement before, as well as that feature over the CONUS SW??? Like, all season? That is why this won't phase properly IMHO....same issue Jan 11 had. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Alignment and timing is just off this year in what ostensibly, on paper appears to be a "good" pattern. Devil in details- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Looking forward to brown ground by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Gorgeous this morning after 3” or so of fluff last night. 22” at the stake 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, alex said: Gorgeous this morning after 3” or so of fluff last night. 22” at the stake I'm climaxing as we speak. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Alignment and timing is just off this year in what ostensibly on paper appears to be a "good" pattern. Devil in details- If we could get that feature to back out over San Francisco Bay... but with our luck this year I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looking forward to brown ground by Sunday. Any reaction to my ideas? Agree...disagree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Any reaction to my ideas? Agree...disagree? Pretty much. In the long run the smoothed out mean is good on paper. As we get closer, some Inuit queefs and ends up f*cking us over with s/w screwing us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well awhile ago, I said this makes or breaks winter. Gonna be an official ratter now. Your weeniest comment ever. I will put it my sig when you are traipsing through the snow over your knees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: If we could get that feature to back out over San Francisco Bay... but with our luck this year I doubt it Look at the ridge placement in the mean this season....OFF of the coast, which seeminly places a bowling ball over the CONUS SW anytime we have a major phase attempt INVO the ne US. That is a recipe for failure, despite the cold look. Then, the mean vortex back east is right over us......again, in paper you look at that and take it....but its not an ideal paradigm for NE storm enthusiasts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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