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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No deep down I don’t think this is gonna be that big of a deal.

PV will prob keep trending west and by the time we get to D3 we’ll be laughing at what was being shown a week out. 

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How about DC.. getting 4-8” tonight and then a Rainer and 50 on Thursday. I mean they won’t even have a chance to do anything in the snow and it’s gone. 

Better to have loved and lost than never at all?

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

According to Scooter.. that’s all of us in SNE this weekend :cry:

Look deep down I hope this trend better, but I have just zero absolutely zero faith in anything turning favorable. I’m so spent. Just counting down the days until Sandbar scooter opens up.

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34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Look deep down I hope this trend better, but I have just zero absolutely zero faith in anything turning favorable. I’m so spent. Just counting down the days until Sandbar scooter opens up.

It's crazy how the PV always engineers failure for SNE. It will either back up and provide a channel to cut, or refuse to phase in when we need it, or squash everything down to New Orleans after it allows a cutter.

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24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's crazy how the PV always engineers failure for SNE. It will either back up and provide a channel to cut, or refuse to phase in when we need it, or squash everything down to New Orleans after it allows a cutter.

*Cue a Tip post explaining it's a manifestation of CC*

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3 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

*Cue a Tip post explaining it's a manifestation of CC*

Well, he even mentioned that this also happened from 1982-1991...not to imply that CC is not occurring because it is....but John also understands that we have always had lean periods, independent of CC.

They are warmer now, sure.

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Dog walk scene this evening.

Just continues to snow.  The -12C to -18C 850mb temps at the ridgelines for weeks on end is putting the DGZ right in the sweet spot for mesoscale precip.  Even the synoptic snows have been hitting that best DGZ.  Its amazing what a normal, cold winter can do.

The Mansfield stake data indicates a weak La Niña provides the most consistent snowfall seasons, though the data set only goes back to 1954.  There is probably a reason why though, even with randomness.  Northern stream over southern stream?

IMG_2740.thumb.jpeg.1ebe72dd7683c2086079bf3857afdf9f.jpeg

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How about DC.. getting 4-8” tonight and then a Rainer and 50 on Thursday. I mean they won’t even have a chance to do anything in the snow and it’s gone. 

DC is actually having the perfect winter. Some real nice snowstorms, some deep winter cold, some thaws here and there, and then they’ll be 75 with cherry blossoms in another month while we are 36 and fog.

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2 hours ago, dryslot said:

18z Euro is quite icy on the weekend system in CNE/NNE, 18z EPS concurs too.

I'm thinking (mostly hoping) we're too far north for the most significant ice with this, I think I like where we're at for a good dumping of snow even if we aren't in the jackpot. 

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42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, he even mentioned that this also happened from 1982-1991...not to imply that CC is not occurring because it is....but John also understands that we have always had lean periods, independent of CC.

They are warmer now, sure.

So we have to endure 4 or 5 more terrible winters? Dang

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