February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z Icon is way less amped

That’s the way this is going . They all have this winter 

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Does it reach south central?

 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

It's been very localized of late. 2008 in NH got it good, 2013 parts of the Kennebec Valley, last March on the southwest Maine coast.

That type of ice should be expected every 2-3 years.

The big boy regional events are more like 15+ years. There are definitely parts of Maine are ready for nature's tree trimming.

Yeah kind of matches my anecdotal memory to my knowledge of ice climo in central MA....feels like that CNE band that was just north of the big boy stuff in 2008 is due for a biggie. I know you studied some of this prior so was curious....thanks.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Looking like a nice 1 to maybe 2" refresher tonight here if were lucky. Save the HRRR, every model pretty much clips us with an ~1". We're going  C-1 for far S CT locally up to 2" right along the beaches. 

We got it north .. just not quite far enough. I thought it would get to 84 or even the Pike. Enjoy it 

[dendrite]

Here’s Dublin NH in 86. High terrain deal though.

https://www.nhhistory.org/object/300178/ice

[OceanStWx]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Here’s Dublin NH in 86. High terrain deal though.

https://www.nhhistory.org/object/300178/ice

[Kitz Craver]

11 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

We trace

[ORH_wxman]

18z GFS is a little more amped early on and then ends up maybe slightly less so when it passes by us...kind of a similar result to 12z. On a smaller scale, it had the CF further west, so it's not crushing metrowest this run with ice, but ORH county still gets a good hit.

[Prismshine Productions]

18z GFS is a little more amped early on and then ends up maybe slightly less so when it passes by us...kind of a similar result to 12z. On a smaller scale, it had the CF further west, so it's not crushing metrowest this run with ice, but ORH county still gets a good hit.

Synopsis looked a tick colder overall, less ice Greenfield north

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[CT Rain]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFS is a little more amped early on and then ends up maybe slightly less so when it passes by us...kind of a similar result to 12z. On a smaller scale, it had the CF further west, so it's not crushing metrowest this run with ice, but ORH county still gets a good hit.

Looked pretty nasty near here. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Looked pretty nasty near here. 

Looked better WEHA west!

[CT Rain]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Looked better WEHA west!

Phil here, 33 and rain for Woody? 

[OceanStWx]

5 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Looked pretty nasty near here. 

That run is like 1" QPF as freezing rain. Average ILR is like 70%. 

[Damage In Tolland]

We are getting close enough in now to take this as a serious threat for a large area of big ice . I am getting amped . If this continues a few more cycles. It’s game on 

[DJln491]

what a mess. potentially back to snow on the back end as it moves thru?

[Prismshine Productions]

20th was a Carolina Crusher

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[Sey-Mour Snow]

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFS is a little more amped early on and then ends up maybe slightly less so when it passes by us...kind of a similar result to 12z. On a smaller scale, it had the CF further west, so it's not crushing metrowest this run with ice, but ORH county still gets a good hit.

Looked a good bit colder here, solid move SE..

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We are getting close enough in now to take this as a serious threat for a large area of big ice . I am getting amped . If this continues a few more cycles. It’s game on 

LOL. How many times have we heard this since December 2008

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah, 20th is long gone on 18z gfs now.  wowzers

[CoastalWx]

GEFS looked a bit NW of 12z. 

[DJln491]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We are getting close enough in now to take this as a serious threat for a large area of big ice . I am getting amped . If this continues a few more cycles. It’s game on 

start the thread

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

GEFS looked a bit NW of 12z. 

For the weekend

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, DJln491 said:

start the thread

Nyet

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

pretty good info on ice storms

 

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/living_wx/icestorms

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Feb '95 was pretty solid in S NH....not sure how far north the good stuff got. It wasn't historic, but a solid 3/8 to perhaps 1/2 radial ice in spots.

Also had a decent icer into S NH in Jan 2007....wanna say 1/15/07 it was. But again, not sure how far north it was contaminated by IP.

You know you're a "triple-bunner" when you refer to ice as being "contaminated" by sleet lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I love how the Atlantic accretes better than I do 

[WinterWolf]

27 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

20th was a Carolina Crusher

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Yesterday the Euro was ending winter next week, today models are bringing winter to the Carolinas instead of us.  Can’t make it up.   

[HIPPYVALLEY]

29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

don’t invest, it’s going to be mostly snow over to light freezing drizzle for you. 

[dendrite]

21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

pretty good info on ice storms

 

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/living_wx/icestorms

More good info here

Great Ice Storms of the 20th Century