ORH_wxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I get that. But the idea is 6z was colder . 12z colder again . Trends not done Expand 06z was colder at the height of the storm. Not by a ton but it was a bit colder. But the 12z run did have a better shot of snow on the front end than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 How did the 20th big dog look ? Is it gone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 What a mess we have up here with that 12z Euro run verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Then it whiffs with the big dog potential. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:53 PM, WinterWolf said: How did the 20th big dog look ? Is it gone? Expand Going to hit the Flemish Cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: 06z was colder at the height of the storm. Not by a ton but it was a bit colder. But the 12z run did have a better shot of snow on the front end than 06z. Expand Sounds different pieces are doing different things each run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 This seems to be following the tenor of every other event this winter. Weakest and colder each run. I’d bet we see it continue at 18 and 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:53 PM, WinterWolf said: How did the 20th big dog look ? Is it gone? Expand Wide right. Close but it’s a whiff this run. OP run not useful though for 200+ hour threats. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Then it whiffs with the big dog potential. lol Expand On 2/11/2025 at 5:54 PM, dryslot said: Going to hit the Flemish Cap. Expand As I said earlier..I was ready for it to be lost soon. 12z made me right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:54 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wide right. Close but it’s a whiff this run. OP run not useful though for 200+ hour threats. Expand Ya, let’s see what the Ensembles show? How were the GEFS with the 20th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I wish this was a couple days away.. hopefully it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:55 PM, WinterWolf said: As I said earlier..I was ready for it to be lost soon. 12z made me right. Expand Only useful exercise at this range is to compare ens mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Only useful exercise at this range is to compare ens mean. Expand Agreed. How were the GEFS at 12z…did they still show it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:59 PM, WinterWolf said: Agreed. How were the GEFS at 12z…did they still show it? Expand GEFS have been a close brush for a couple of runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 The FU Ensemble has strong agreement. There is a large cluster right over my asshole. It's been on fire all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 A bit east of the OP up here which is good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:06 PM, CoastalWx said: The FU Ensemble has strong agreement. There is a large cluster right in my asshole which has been on fire all winter. Alot of visits to Rt2 rest stops. Expand 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:49 PM, CoastalWx said: Had a low further NW than 00z. Ahead of it was colder, but verbatim it's 34F rain while the grid goes down 35 miles north. Expand So no 3-6” then ptype change verbatim SOP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:17 PM, Kitz Craver said: So no 3-6” then ptype change verbatim SOP? Expand No, the snow is accurate. CT actually does pretty well on the front end for snow. It’s just a quick transition through sleet/ZR to rain after the initial snow while NOP keeps the ZR longer…aided by cold tuck too on mesolow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:17 PM, Kitz Craver said: So no 3-6” then ptype change verbatim SOP? Expand Like 3-5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 The 12z Euro definitely has that look of whiff followed by another whiff as the PV gets too close....same story, different month/year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:11 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Expand Tap tap tap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:18 PM, ORH_wxman said: No, the snow is accurate. CT actually does pretty well on the front end for snow. It’s just a quick transition through sleet/ZR to rain after the initial snow while NOP keeps the ZR longer…aided by cold tuck too on mesolow. Expand Mesolow won’t lock CT valley if it’s south of LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:54 PM, dryslot said: Going to hit the Flemish Cap. Expand Hey, why not Portugal while we're at it? Portugal.mp4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:21 PM, Kitz Craver said: Mesolow won’t lock CT valley if it’s south of LI? Expand It will definitely lock my part of the valley. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 5:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Then it whiffs with the big dog potential. lol Expand again 2 days after that, too - almost carbon copy na na na-na na misses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:19 PM, Spanks45 said: The 12z Euro definitely has that look of whiff followed by another whiff as the PV gets too close....same story, different month/year Expand That would be an absolutely exceptional seasonal display of anal sodomy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Maybe @brooklynwx99can post a movie to change the vibe? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:28 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe @brooklynwx99can post a movie to chnage the vibe? Expand nah i could go without being the scapegoat for less frozen water falling from the sky. i'm good 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 On 2/11/2025 at 6:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That would be an absolutely exceptional seasonal display of anal sodomy. Expand Buckle Up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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