February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[kdxken]

32 minutes ago, dryslot said:

7:00 am

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

LEWISTONAUBURN CLEAR    -10 -15  78 CALM      30.33F

Pfft that ain't cold. Friend of mine went to Great falls Montana last week and I went to Florida. This morning his real feel is 110° colder than mine. He may be rethinking his decision.

 

[dendrite]

-4.0° will do it this morning. 
 

12z mins

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I get the support, but I’ll wait until Sunday to entertain it. 

Got a Brasierre? 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Got a Brasierre? 

The only thing sagging, is my hope for winter. Like D batteries in socks. 

[Lava Rock]

42 minutes ago, dryslot said:

7:00 am

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

LEWISTONAUBURN CLEAR    -10 -15  78 CALM      30.33F

Was 8F at our house, but 350' lower and only 1/2mi away was -6F. I think that's the biggest differential I can recall.

[Torch Tiger]

26 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

Dude, you said you had blocked the kitty cat. BLOCK HIM and stop replying. the kitty feeds on your replies.

Agree, but I wasn't even talking to him

[CoastalWx]

Birds are chirping too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I get the support, but I’ll wait until Sunday to entertain it. 

 

21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ens look great. I get it. Not falling for it again though until we get inside d5.

Fair enough....I get it. Snake bitten.

[Kitz Craver]

22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ens look great. I get it. Not falling for it again though until we get inside d5.

…or like day 2, actually day 1

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

…or like day 2, actually day 1

I’m not on board until snow is actually falling and I’m not watching a 2500 sq mile dry slot open up over my head. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The only thing sagging, is my hope for winter. Like D batteries in socks. 

Skynet sends its love

[Chrisrotary12]

37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That gfs storm next week pelts  past the pike lol. Not that it matters, but 65mph winds and pellets would be interesting.

Legit paint peeling?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Irony is....if I do get 30" over the next two weeks, my driveway will begin to resemble in igloo......I have 3-4' bankings now. Some of those 1-2" ass-mist events had some meat to them.

[WinterWolf]

42 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

Dude, you said you had blocked the kitty cat. BLOCK HIM and stop replying. the kitty feeds on your replies.

Dude..when others quote, I see it. So sometimes I have to push back on the stupidity. Most times I don’t.   

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Dude..when others quote, I see it. So sometimes I have to push back on the stupidity. Most times I don’t.   

This is why I have never bothered to block anyone....the quoting largely defeats the purpose and its not worth the effort.

I wish you guys could stop quoting Kev...

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I’m not on board until snow is actually falling and I’m not watching a 2500 sq mile dry slot open up over my head. 

I get the skepticism completely. I think most all of us are in that boat. I can certainly respect however, when somebody(in this case Ray) gives solid reasoning for why this may be different.  That’s good stuff.  I also like it when Brooklyn (or anybody for that matter)does it too.   Thats What makes the board interesting, and informative/readable.  
 

Im fully ready for the midrange losing of the system too..that more times than not seems to happen, so I’m prepared for that in the next few days.   

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Dude..when others quote, I see it. So sometimes I have to push back on the stupidity. Most times I don’t.   

Who cares…just stop replying to his posts if they bother you. When it’s an obvious troll post, it speaks for itself. There’s a reason most don’t respond to it. 

[ORH_wxman]

42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Let’s just hope we can tick more south. Gfs was actually cold tuck icy here. It won’t be all snow, but I could do without pelicans to Portland Maine like the 00z euro has. 

Let’s go 4-6” and then some Phil ice over the interior like the 06z euro has. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

I get the skepticism completely. I think most all of us are in that boat. I can certainly respect however, when somebody(in this case Ray) gives solid reasoning for why this may be different.  That’s good stuff.  I also like it when Brooklyn(or anybody for that matter)does it too.   Thats What makes the board interesting, and informative/readable.  
 

Im fully ready for the midrange losing of the system too..that more times than not seems to happen, so I’m prepared for that in the next few days.   

Obviously there are no guarantees.....plenty of threats that have had ample support of have supplied the pork this decade.

[Modfan2]

Seems we might be trending similar to last week, maybe a touch more snow and more ice potential. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Who cares…just stop replying to his posts if they bother you. When it’s an obvious troll post, it speaks for itself. There’s a reason most don’t respond to it. 

Quickest way to make it go away....those posts only seek acknowledgement in attempt to elicit emotion, so responding in anger is futile.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Let’s go 4-6” and then some Phil ice over the interior like the 06z euro has. 

I would love a big ice storm here.. still a couple days until we really know though

[Kitz Craver]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Irony is....if I do get 30" over the next two weeks, my driveway will begin to resemble in igloo......I have 3-4' bankings now. Some of those 1-2" ass-mist events had some meat to them.

I freaking love huge driveway banks. Jelly.

[Typhoon Tip]

25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Birds are chirping too. 

Sun was up prior to 7am here... I stood there looking at the red orb just as it crested the eastern horizon, also noting that it is up farther N along the horizon while earlier ( few minutes.. ) than just 10 days ago when I had a similar moment.   I'm a dork.  I noticed shit like that... what can I say.    

We are in the final chapters of winter ... The question becomes, how abruptly does the story end.  No expectations in any given February, but I do think there is enough precedence for early warmth at a planetary consideration, to suspect that whatever stops doing this denial-enabling scenario

... just miiiiight transitions things faster than many think is possible.  

The other aspect, we've had these heat burst in Feb and Mar regardless of any leading long or short duration index this that and the other - so there's that too.   Not chance of one of those given the present tapestry of guidance sources, no.   But it's really a continuation of the above cold isolating theme.   All telecon sources sans the -EPO... but, transition into a +PNA through the 25th.   It's not a warm vibe there...

SO, enabling or not ... whatever persistence led to the above January, seems to really still be partying on for the time being.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I freaking love huge driveway banks. Jelly.

Its the main reason I don't snowblow...my neighbors can't get over it.

[dendrite]

18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Irony is....if I do get 30" over the next two weeks, my driveway will begin to resemble in igloo......I have 3-4' bankings now. Some of those 1-2" ass-mist events had some meat to them.

They’re climbin’

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Who cares…just stop replying to his posts if they bother you. When it’s an obvious troll post, it speaks for itself. There’s a reason most don’t respond to it. 

For the most part I do.  I will try and refrain completely going forward. 

 

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Quickest way to make it go away....those posts only seek acknowledgement, so responding in anger is futile.

I don’t disagree.  I will make a concerted effort going forward. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Sun was up prior to 7am here... I stood there looking at the red orbit as it crested the eastern horizon, I also noted that it is up farther N along the horizon notably earlier ( few minutes.. ) than just 10 days ago when I had a similar moment.   I'm a dork.  I noticed shit like that... what can I say.    

We are in the final chapters of winter ... The question becomes, how abruptly does the story end.  No expectations in any given February, but I do think there is enough precedence for early warmth at a planetary consideration, to suspect that whatever stops doing this denial-enabling scenario

... just miiiiight transitions things faster than many think is possible.  

The other aspect, we've had these heat burst in Feb and Mar regardless of any leading long or short duration index this that and the other - so there's that too.   Not chance of one of those given the present tapestry of guidance sources, no.   But it's really a continuation of the above cold isolating theme.   All telecon sources sans the -EPO... but, transition into a +PNA through the 25th.   It's not a warm vibe there...

We were due for an anomaly like this...its been the opposite for about a decade running.

[Typhoon Tip]

Subtly the EPS mean looks like it's trying to capitulate some to the GEFs flatter/colder weekend scenario.  

It's not hugely obvious ... but the 00z didn't look quite as aggressively warm to me.  

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

For the most part I do.  I will try and refrain completely going forward. 

 

I don’t disagree.  I will make a concerted effort going forward. 

You remind me of MetHerb when you start getting violent over the thought of spring this time of year.