Kitz Craver Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Just now, ORH_wxman said: We're gonna have more chances to screw it up too beyond this weekend. The pattern might be even more favorable after that....we'll see how it progresses, but decent agreement on western ridge building. Like you said, she ain’t lettin us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Enjoy the snow and ice Wed night / Thursday morning and then maybe models trend the weekend south , less amped , less qpf and chillier 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: To be fair, nothing this week has really been a big coastal....it's always been overrunning and trying to be on the correct side of the gradient....this coming weekend sort of looked like it could redevelop into a coastal at one point, but it was like 80% overrunning precip even on those scenarios. It's really the perfect storm of missing all the forcing at all the "correct" times to minimize our snow....there's big overrunning to our south tomorrow which is going to whiff us....then by the time the boundary moves north, we have an ill-timed shortwave riding well west of us to prevent good overrunning snows on Wednesday night and Thursday....so we're left with weak sauce precip....then of course on Saturday night and Sunday, we've alreayd mentioned the PV rotating into a surgically perfect location to knife the banana high in half to allow the storm to ride up right between them and screw us that way. Sometimes, you just get cold cards....maybe we can still salvage the weekend. Oh yea not referring to this week but instead, the last several winters we’ve faced nice looking h5 colors ripe for a coastal that either gets double nipped or sheared out as we get to D5 and in. And when it does wrap up nicely, it sends the ccb to Niagra Falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Can we ban the word ice? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can we ban the word ice? I concur it happens once in 15 years yet appears on the model 5 times a season. How many big ice events over the last 30 years? Like 2-5? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I like the 20th and then the 25th to 28th time frames for a KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Can we ban the term KU? How many KU’s have we had over the last years? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can we ban the term KU? How many KU’s have we had over the last years? Well to be fair..we had alot of them for a long time…much more than any ice storm. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can we ban the term KU? How many KU’s have we had over the last years? Now that you’ve said that we’ll get one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 36 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can we ban the word ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 51 minutes ago, Diggiebot said: I concur it happens once in 15 years yet appears on the model 5 times a season. How many big ice events over the last 30 years? Like 2-5? Big ice events are rare but minor ones not so much. Hell, this Thursday we are expected to get some ice. Possibly the weekend too, but that looks more like plain rain right now. I am more in the Euro camp for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 54 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We're gonna have more chances to screw it up too beyond this weekend. The pattern might be even more favorable after that....we'll see how it progresses, but decent agreement on western ridge building. 53 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Late 80’s into the the very early 90’s were horrific…everything would fail. Then Feb 93 it seemed like we started to come back. Maybe the come back kind of started with the December of ’92 storm that season…? But then Feb 93 started to wake up. Let’s hope we can mimic something like that being we’re kind of in a similar place with things finding ways to fail. As down as I am on this winter, I am still emphatically on board with getting as many rolls as possible. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, George001 said: Big ice events are rare but minor ones not so much. Hell, this Thursday we are expected to get some ice. Ya..we had some ice last Thursday…everything glazed decently. But he is talking Ice Storm…power crushing grid failures is what he’s looking for. Very rare indeed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 58 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can we ban the term KU? How many KU’s have we had over the last years? More like FUs methinks .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can we ban the term KU? How many KU’s have we had over the last years? Quite a bit actually. Some of these didn't affect SNE in a big way but even taking those out there's been 10-15 or so in the past 10 years that are Cat 1 or higher. Last one was probably Jan 28-29 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago The NAM/3K with a pretty sizable jump north for tomorrow night. Probably be a couple/few inches along 95 for CT. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: The NAM/3K with a pretty sizable jump north for tomorrow night. Probably be a couple/few inches along 95 for CT. lets get a 100 mile jump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: The NAM/3K with a pretty sizable jump north for tomorrow night. Probably be a couple/few inches along 95 for CT. This is the normal NAM T-minus 36 hour scare. We feel hopeful until the rest of the models give us a hard no in an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 10 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: This is the normal NAM T-minus 36 hour scare. We feel hopeful until the rest of the models give us a hard no in an hour or two. yeah i dont believe anything the nam is selling good or bad, the model is pure trash, just commenting on what its showing, well see what the globals do in the next couple hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago This week blows. Wish Thursday would evaporate...not blog worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This decade blows. Wish Thursday would evaporate...not blog worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I remember a time when ensembles were hitting these next 7 days hard with snows. Those were the days… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I remember a time when ensembles were hitting these next 7 days hard with snows. Those were the days… Charts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This thread needs some mood elevating model happenings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago big improvement on the GFS with PV location .. if only we could believe it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, ma blizzard said: big improvement on the GFS with PV location .. if only we could believe it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Certainly a wintry appeal this weekend on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The rest of the month into mid-March looks fun for tracking winter weather. This weekend is still tbd but interior SNE is getting at least some accumulating snow I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Certainly a wintry appeal this weekend on the GFS. Cmc is also moving south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago We take the trends on the GFS & GEM for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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