February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[HIPPYVALLEY]

57 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

2-3" of mostly rain this weekend on the King

GFS is a bit below that

Let’s get some significant rain and snow melt into those ice choked rivers!

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Let’s get some significant rain and snow melt into those ice choked rivers!

Let's wait another month until we can really warm up quick and get some more qpf events 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Let's wait another month until we can really warm up quick and get some more qpf events 

Ya’ but you want plenty of ice to ensure jams and max flooding! 
 

obviously, I’m just kidding, but I’m sure some on here would welcome it. Lol.

[SnoSki14]

22 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

could be the one. this is a highly favorable look with the decaying block

Probably best chance at something but ensembles showed 20-30" over the next 10 days and look what happened. 

Not taking anything seriously until it's 2-3 days out 

[ORH_wxman]

20th does have a pretty good signal on EPS…been there for a couple days

 

 

Even the weekend still has about 25% of the members as pretty huge hits. I’m not optimistic on weekend but not totally resigned to a rainstorm yet. 
 

The 2/20 threat synoptically looks excellent though as the 2/16 system becomes a huge 50/50 low as it phases with the PV fully after passing us. So you combine it with a western ridge and there’s obviously potential. Not worth going crazy though until we get much closer. 

[mahk_webstah]

Happy to see so many members inside the BM and going fully into the GOM.  The 50-50 isn’t in an overly suppressive spot

[78Blizzard]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Look at those dews

Euro op is all alone with temps in the 50's in SNE.  None of the other ops or ensembles are even close to that.

[Lava Rock]

1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said:

Fook!!!!!

hopefully the euro shits itself. I'd take a little mixed precip Thurs to add some meat to the pack, but a rainer over the wknd would not be good.

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Euro op is all alone with temps in the 50's in SNE.  None of the other ops or ensembles are even close to that.

Those aren’t temps, those are snow eating dews

[78Blizzard]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

Those aren’t temps, those are snow eating dews

If dews are in the 50's, doesn't it follow that the temps are also?

[ineedsnow]

7 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Those aren’t temps, those are snow eating dews

Ya but temps would still be atleast that

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Those aren’t temps, those are snow eating dews

Dew can’t be higher than the temp.

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

If dews are in the 50's, doesn't it follow that the temps are also?

Yup. 

[WinterWolf]

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

20th does have a pretty good signal on EPS…been there for a couple days

 

 

Even the weekend still has about 25% of the members as pretty huge hits. I’m not optimistic on weekend but not totally resigned to a rainstorm yet. 
 

The 2/20 threat synoptically looks excellent though as the 2/16 system becomes a huge 50/50 low as it phases with the PV fully after passing us. So you combine it with a western ridge and there’s obviously potential. Not worth going crazy though until we get much closer. 

Sadly this weekend looked big at first too, and mid last week, this Thursday looked good too.  
 

Anyway, a lot of those on the 20th are powerful storms too.  

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

hopefully the euro shits itself. I'd take a little mixed precip Thurs to add some meat to the pack, but a rainer over the wknd would not be good.

It has many times this season…so that’s quite possible. 

[Typhoon Tip]

We are now moved out of the solar minimum and have begun the +solar transition season.

Snow banks start getting eaten back on sunny days more readily.

Car interiors may feel quite warm if not in the shade.  

Start planting toms from seeds and place them on the southern sills. 

..etc.

[Kitz Craver]

13 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

If dews are in the 50's, doesn't it follow that the temps are also?

Sort of…  just clarifying though

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

We are now moved out of the solar minimum and have begun the +solar transition season.

Snow banks start getting eaten back on sunny days more readily.

Car interiors may feel quite warm if not in the shade.  

Start planting toms from seeds with on the southern sills. 

..etc.

I’m in my car now and want to peel some layers off. Sun is strong for sure

[eduggs]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Look at those dews

Isolated severe?

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

We are now moved out of the solar minimum and have begun the +solar transition season.

Snow banks start getting eaten back on sunny days more readily.

Car interiors may feel quite warm if not in the shade.  

Start planting toms from seeds and place them on the southern sills. 

..etc.

It's official. Nape season is here. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It's official. Nape season is here. 

Felt it today 

[SJonesWX]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Well he's just showing what the mean shows. It's nobody's fault though. And this has worked out in CNE and NNE. We are just on the other side of things, although could be worse.

 

Here's to the Ukie.

i've gotten >30" since 1/11, so it has been fairly decent up here

2 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Douchebag Tolleris

I know who it is, but don't give a rats ass about him or his location. point is, this is the fargin New England forum, and I'd venture to guess that 99.999999999999999999999999999999% of the New Englanders don't give a fuck if he gets snow. MBY or bust

[HimoorWx]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Look at those dews

Do I need to install? 

[klw]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Look at those dews

SNE folks better install!

 

Edit: I need to type faster

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

We are now moved out of the solar minimum and have begun the +solar transition season.

Snow banks start getting eaten back on sunny days more readily.

Car interiors may feel quite warm if not in the shade.  

Start planting toms from seeds and place them on the southern sills. 

..etc.

Was waiting for you to make this now annual Feb 10 post . Every year on Feb 10, it is issued. It’s nape sunburn season from here on out 

[78Blizzard]

Both the Euro and the GFS 12z runs paint a cold 2 weeks ahead, well below normal, sun angle or not.

[dendrite]

50 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Euro op is all alone with temps in the 50's in SNE.  None of the other ops or ensembles are even close to that.

GGEM warm sectors south of Pike. 

[cleetussnow]

32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

We are now moved out of the solar minimum and have begun the +solar transition season.

Snow banks start getting eaten back on sunny days more readily.

Car interiors may feel quite warm if not in the shade.  

Start planting toms from seeds and place them on the southern sills. 

..etc.

Nape!  Its here!  

[Kitz Craver]

36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup. 

Right. My point was, high dew points and thus the corresponding temperatures I suppose eat snow pack. Not the correlation of relative humidity and temperature to achieve dew point.

[WinterWolf]

18 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Both the Euro and the GFS 12z runs paint a cold 2 weeks ahead, well below normal, sun angle or not.

Exactly.  I think those who think it’s nape season should go and lay out on their decks in banana hammocks and oil, and see how red they get. Please report back.