GCWarrior Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Sunday is good timing. No snow days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Sunday is good timing. No snow days!I work Thursday and Fridays so it would be perfect Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 12 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: SWFEs follow a lower ratio? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Almost always. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: SWFEs follow a lower ratio? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Generally yes. You have warmer air overrunning the lower cold dome so that 850-700 layer typically quickly climbs above the -12 to -18C max DGZ. Sometimes you can start with initial decent ratios, but eventually the 9-10:1 piles on top of it. There’s other caveats like secondary lows and if it’s a very cold SWFE (think snow starting with temps near 0F in our area) so that there’s a longer period of overrunning lift in the DGZ. But generally it’s a 9-12:1 ratio snow before any possible sleet moves in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 put on your weenie goggles on for this gfs run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Lol GFS has 2ft 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Looks great at d7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Lol GFS has 2ft nice step towards more of a costal too 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looks great at d7. Man I wouldn’t mind that verbatim here.. several inches of snow and sleet with freezing rain in the middle glacierizing it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Lets get more than one model and inside of the 5 day strike zone before someone threads it. And no snow-maps until day 5 please. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 GGEM big 'un as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Ukie also shifted south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 LFG...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 15 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: GGEM big 'un as well. Hopefully another jump South and colder so Southern New England can benefit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Still not in reality land yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Doesn’t really seem like the pattern is conducive to a big coastal . Still fast flow so a moderate overrunning seems more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still not in reality land yet. Absolutely not... lets just hope something still shows Wednesday. To me the clipper looked a little better this run as well... a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Then we Tip heat burst. End winter before Valentines Day. 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 35 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: ..... And no snow-maps until day 5 please. certain people will be waking up in the middle of the night with the cold sweats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I haven’t seen Euro, but the GFS and Canadian looked decent. Let’s just hope we can hold this for a few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I haven’t seen Euro, but the GFS and Canadian looked decent. Let’s just hope we can hold this for a few days. If it is a swfe redeveloper we can start taking this seriously tomorrow nights runs Tuesday morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 time to lock it in and start a thread! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: If it is a swfe redeveloper we can start taking this seriously tomorrow nights runs Tuesday morning I think Wednesday at the earliest we take it seriously. There’s a strong pressing trend. It would seem unlikely to have it go too far south but we’ve seen that before especially during 2003-04. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Then we Tip heat burst. End winter before Valentines Day. Well not really-verbatim it’s a 3 day break and the gefs don’t seem interested in it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, weathafella said: Well not really-verbatim it’s a 3 day break and the gefs don’t seem interested in it. I think any heat is brief for us and is mostly for the mid-Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Well not really-verbatim it’s a 3 day break and the gefs don’t seem interested in it. I’m just messing around 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 And sure enough euro is a bit too far south but I like our trends overall. Now it can slow and stop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro actually starts as rain for the region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I’ll believe it when I see the snow falling. This keeps happening, the models show big snows a week out and then the rug pull happens in the short range. Can’t even trust it even 1 day out, the gfs and euro had me getting a fairly significant storm last time and I only got a minor snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro verbatim is a non event. Right when it gets cold enough it sinks south. Would be fitting lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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